MLB Player match stats positives for Philadelphia at Chicago Tuesday Matchup

Nico Hoerner is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

The #6 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output.

The weather report forecasts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Wrigley Field has the 8th-shallowest among all major league stadiums.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Bryson Stott is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Kody Clemens will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hayden Wesneski today.

Kody Clemens has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.7-mph average to last year’s 90.9-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP ability.

Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (76% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Mercado today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Michael Mercado.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Alec Bohm ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Alec Bohm is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Alec Bohm has been hot recently, cracking 3 HRs in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Michael Busch has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (54% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Alec Bohm’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Miguel Amaya will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Miguel Amaya has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 90.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 16th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average ability.

Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Christopher Morel pulls many of his flyballs (37.8% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Christopher Morel will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Hitting from the opposite that Michael Mercado throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand today.

Hayden Wesneski will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his metrics in all categories.

In his previous outing, Hayden Wesneski was rolling and compiled 7 strikeouts.

Over his previous 3 outings, Hayden Wesneski has produced a notable jump in his fastball velocity: from 93.5 mph over the whole season to 94.5 mph of late.

Hayden Wesneski’s slider utilization has spiked by 5.4% from last year to this one (32.2% to 37.6%) .

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Trea Turner ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Over the past 14 days, Trea Turner’s 21.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.7%.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Nick Castellanos ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Nick Castellanos has been unlucky this year, notching a .286 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .320 — a .034 disparity.

Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage over Hayden Wesneski in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Dansby Swanson has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 93-mph over the last week.

Hitting from the opposite that Michael Mercado throws from, Michael Busch will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Brandon Marsh ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Over the past 14 days, Pete Crow-Armstrong’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.9-mph over the course of the season to 96.8-mph recently.

Nico Hoerner has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 92.6-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 89.5-mph.

Kody Clemens and his 16° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 76th percentile, among the highest in baseball since the start of last season.

Bryson Stott has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.8%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 6th-best venue in the majors for batting average.

With a 1.09 disparity between Hayden Wesneski’s 3.60 ERA and his 4.69 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors this year and should negatively regress in the future.

Hayden Wesneski has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors on balls in play this year with a .238 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.

The Chicago Cubs have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Michael Busch, Christopher Morel, Pete Crow-Armstrong).

Miguel Amaya has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .232 mark is a good deal lower than his .278 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Alec Bohm ranks in the 99th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .311.

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Phillies vs Cubs Matchup for Tuesday

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Wrigley Field has the 7th-tallest average fence height in the majors.

Michael Mercado will have the handedness advantage over Nico Hoerner in today’s game.

Nico Hoerner has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

Over the last 14 days, Nico Hoerner’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-1.5°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 3.7°.

Michael Mercado will hold the platoon advantage against Seiya Suzuki today.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryson Stott in today’s game.

Bryson Stott’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 90.7-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 83.9-mph over the past two weeks.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 12.3°, Bryson Stott’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly in recent games (-2.1° in the past 14 days).

Bryson Stott’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 17.4% to 14.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Kody Clemens is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

When starting against a northpaw since the start of last season, Kody Clemens has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 18% of the time.

Kody Clemens pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Nico Hoerner’s 1.7% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) is in the 2nd percentile this year.

Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Cody Bellinger has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 6.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Cody Bellinger’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 90.6-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 80.5-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Cody Bellinger’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, decreasing from 17.3% on the season to 0% in the past 14 days.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brandon Marsh in today’s game.

In terms of his home runs, Brandon Marsh has had positive variance on his side this year. His 18.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.1.

Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 12.1°, Pete Crow-Armstrong has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.5°) in the last two weeks.

In the last two weeks, Pete Crow-Armstrong has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has recorded a .218 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 13th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Alec Bohm has a tough challenge today.

Alec Bohm has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

In the past week’s worth of games, Alec Bohm’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 90.7 mph to 88.7 mph.

Michael Busch has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 13% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

In the last week, Michael Busch’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12% down to 0%.

In the past week, Michael Busch’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 21.1%.

Michael Busch has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .262 BA is a good deal higher than his .213 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Amaya in the 20th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Miguel Amaya is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.

This year, Miguel Amaya has been pulled from the game early in 20% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Hitting from the same side that Michael Mercado throws from, Miguel Amaya will have a disadvantage today.

Hayden Wesneski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trea Turner in today’s matchup.

Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Over the past 7 days, Trea Turner’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal mark of 91.8 mph to 86.4 mph.

Trea Turner has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .324 mark is considerably higher than his .274 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Christopher Morel has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (90% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Michael Mercado throws from, Christopher Morel will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Grading out in the 2nd percentile, Christopher Morel sports a .212 BABIP this year.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) suggests that Cody Bellinger has had some very good luck this year with his .267 actual batting average.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Hayden Wesneski is projected to throw 78 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least of all pitchers today.

Among all starters, Hayden Wesneski’s fastball spin rate of 2110 rpm ranks in the 16th percentile this year.

Hayden Wesneski has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, posting an 8.80 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.24 — a 0.56 K/9 gap.

Trea Turner has hit 8 homers per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 14th percentile for power.

Hayden Wesneski will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Castellanos in today’s game.

Nick Castellanos will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Over the last 7 days, Nick Castellanos’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.9% down to 0%.

Nick Castellanos has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.5-mph dropping to 81.9-mph over the last 7 days.

Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Michael Mercado will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dansby Swanson in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant decline in Dansby Swanson’s launch angle from last season’s 12.6° to 9.5° this season.

Dansby Swanson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, falling from 15.1% on the season to 10.3% in the past 14 days.

Michael Busch has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .349 rate is a fair amount higher than his .310 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Miguel Amaya’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, falling from 11.6% on the season to 0% over the past week.

Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, decreasing from 19.5% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

Placing in the 25th percentile, Dansby Swanson has posted a .224 batting average this year.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kody Clemens today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 18th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

The underlying talent of the Philadelphia Phillies projected lineup today (.307 projected wOBA via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a good deal worse than their .326 wOBA this year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have been the 5th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games, Wrigley Field has the 5th-deepest right field dimensions in the league.

With a 5.52 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Pete Crow-Armstrong has demonstrated bad plate discipline, grading out in the 15th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Michael Mercado to be limited in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 83 pitches.

Garrett Stubbs, the Phillies’s expected catcher in today’s game, projects as a horrible pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Mercado in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Amaya in the 24th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Alec Bohm’s launch angle of late (7.4° over the last 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 12° seasonal figure.