Phillies vs Astros match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Thursday, June 26th

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Phillies vs Astros match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Thursday, June 26th

PHI @ HOU

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Thursday, June 26th
26/06/25 14:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Phillies vs Astros Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Minute Maid Park.

Out of all the teams today, the 13th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Cristopher Sanchez has recorded 17.5 outs per outing this year, ranking in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Cristopher Sanchez in the 77th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 4th-best stadium in the game for strikeouts.

Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

In his last start, Cristopher Sanchez was rolling and notched 7 strikeouts.

When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Hunter Brown in the 95th percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball.

Hunter Brown has averaged 94.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year, placing in the 90th percentile.

Hunter Brown has been lucky this year, putting up a 1.88 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 3.52 — a 1.64 difference.

Hunter Brown has been one of the luckiest mound aces in the game on balls in play this year with a .246 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.

Negative Match Player Stats with Phillies vs Astros Series Game 3

Cristopher Sanchez projects as the 14th-best pitcher in the game currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-tallest average fence height among all stadiums.

The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.

Cristopher Sanchez was in good form in his last start and conceded 1 ER.

Out of all starting pitchers, Cristopher Sanchez’s fastball velocity of 94.7 mph is in the 77th percentile this year.

Given the 0.62 discrepancy between Cristopher Sanchez’s 9.44 K/9 and his 8.82 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB this year as it relates to strikeouts and should perform worse in the future.

Hunter Brown’s higher utilization percentage of his fastball this year (60.2 compared to 53% last season) is not ideal consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

With a 0.53 disparity between Hunter Brown’s 10.78 K/9 and his 10.25 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year in terms of strikeouts and ought to see negative regression the rest of the season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Hunter Brown as the 13th-best SP in MLB right now.

Hunter Brown was on point in his last outing and allowed 2 ER.

Hunter Brown’s 96.2-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 90th percentile out of all SPs.

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