Phillies vs Astros match player stats | 2025 Tuesday, June 24th

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Phillies vs Astros match player stats | 2025 Tuesday, June 24th

PHI @ HOU

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Matchup Details

Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros

Todays Game is on Tuesday, June 24th
24/06/25 20:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Phillies vs Astros Matchup Today

Otto Kemp’s BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Otto Kemp will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today’s game.

Otto Kemp has been hot lately, compiling a an 18.2% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) over the past week.

Otto Kemp has hit one of the hardest balls in the league over the past 7 days — 111.2-mph — which is a good indicator of recent form and raw power.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Cam Smith is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cam Smith is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Cam Smith will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

Cam Smith will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Cam Smith ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Cam Smith has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 92.8-mph over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Christian Walker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today’s game.

Christian Walker pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Christian Walker will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Christian Walker’s true offensive skill to be a .329, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .044 deviation between that mark and his actual .285 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as MLB’s 3rd-best home run hitter.

Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Kyle Schwarber has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.2-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 94.1-mph mark.

Kyle Schwarber’s launch angle this year (19.3°) is significantly higher than his 14.9° mark last season.

In the last 14 days, Kyle Schwarber has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 23.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.4°.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 20th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

In Major League Baseball, Minute Maid Park’s LF fences are the shallowest.

Nick Castellanos will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez today.

Nick Castellanos has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 9.5% seasonal rate to 26.5% in the past two weeks.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Nick Castellanos ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Isaac Paredes will hold the platoon advantage over Ranger Suarez in today’s matchup.

Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (46.9% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Extreme groundball batters like Isaac Paredes tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Jose Altuve is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Jose Altuve will hold the platoon advantage over Ranger Suarez in today’s matchup.

Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jose Altuve will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Framber Valdez as the 11th-best starting pitcher in the game right now.

Throwing 93.6 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Framber Valdez checks in at the 85th percentile.

Given his large reverse platoon split, Framber Valdez will benefit from squaring off against 8 bats in the projected batting order who bat from the other side in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Framber Valdez in the 82nd percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Trea Turner ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Trea Turner will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Trea Turner’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 15.9% to 19%.

When assessing his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Mauricio Dubon will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Mauricio Dubon will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Mauricio Dubon has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.2-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 87.4-mph.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Mauricio Dubon’s 21.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.5%.

Posting a 1.47 K/BB rate this year, Mauricio Dubon has shown favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 88th percentile.

Mauricio Dubon’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have the upper hand in today’s game.

J.T. Realmuto has been unlucky this year, compiling a .301 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .332 — a .031 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

J.T. Realmuto’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, increasing from 45.9% on the season to 62.1% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Tallying 94 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Ranger Suarez ranks in the 88th percentile.

Ranger Suarez has utilized his change-up 5.8% more often this year (22.2%) than he did last season (16.4%).

In his previous outing, Ranger Suarez conceded a whopping 7 earned runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm as the 19th-best batter in MLB when estimating his batting average ability.

Alec Bohm has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Alec Bohm will have the upper hand in today’s game.

In the past week, Alec Bohm’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.4-mph over the course of the season to 100.2-mph lately.

Alec Bohm has posted a .290 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Edmundo Sosa will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today’s matchup.

By putting up a .323 BABIP since the start of last season, Edmundo Sosa is ranked in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Jeremy Pena will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jeremy Pena ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jeremy Pena will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jake Meyers’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Jake Meyers will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Jake Meyers will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Jake Meyers’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 44.4% to 53.2%.

Johan Rojas will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today’s matchup.

Johan Rojas’s launch angle this season (9.3°) is considerably higher than his 4.5° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Yainer Diaz is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

Yainer Diaz will have the handedness advantage against Ranger Suarez in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Yainer Diaz’s true offensive talent to be a .325, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .044 difference between that mark and his actual .281 wOBA.

Negative Match Player Stats with Phillies vs Astros

Otto Kemp is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.

The league’s 3rd-tallest average fence height can be found at Minute Maid Park.

Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.

Otto Kemp hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Otto Kemp in today’s matchup.

Cam Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 6.4°, Cam Smith has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.1°) in the last 14 days.

Christian Walker has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (96% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

In the last week, Christian Walker’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.7% down to 0%.

Christian Walker’s BABIP talent is projected in the 11th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the same side that Framber Valdez throws from, Kyle Schwarber encounters a tough challenge today.

Kyle Schwarber pulls a lot of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kyle Schwarber in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nick Castellanos today.

With a 3.6 K/BB rate this year, Nick Castellanos has displayed weak plate discipline, checking in at the 25th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Isaac Paredes’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 91.1-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 88-mph over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Isaac Paredes’s true offensive ability to be a .327, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .037 disparity between that figure and his actual .364 wOBA.

When it comes to his home runs, Isaac Paredes has experienced some positive variance this year. His 29.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.6.

Jose Altuve’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 45.8% to 39.6%.

In the last week’s worth of games, Jose Altuve’s 20% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39.6%.

As it relates to his batting average, Jose Altuve has been lucky this year. His .269 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .227.

Jose Altuve has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .324 figure is quite a bit higher than his .284 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ranked in the 4th percentile, Jose Altuve’s average exit velocity of 85.1 mph ranks among the lowest in the league this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yainer Diaz (the Astros’s expected catcher today) projects as a weak pitch framer.

Minute Maid Park ranks as the #10 venue in the league for BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Philadelphia’s 89.8-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the best in the league: #6 overall.

As a team, Philadelphia Phillies batters have shined as it relates to hitting balls in the launch angle band that tends to result the most in base hits (between -4° and 26°), placing 2nd-best in baseball.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Framber Valdez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Given the 0.21 difference between Framber Valdez’s 9.28 K/9 and his 9.07 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to negatively regress in future games.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Trea Turner today.

Trea Turner’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 90.5-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 87.9-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Trea Turner’s launch angle of late (5.1° over the last week) is a considerable dropoff from his 11.6° seasonal figure.

When estimating his home run ability, Mauricio Dubon ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mauricio Dubon is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

Since the start of last season, Mauricio Dubon has been pinch hit for in 11% of his appearances when starting against southpaw.

Mauricio Dubon has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

J.T. Realmuto has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will be challenged by the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for J.T. Realmuto in today’s game.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, J.T. Realmuto’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.8% down to 0%.

The Houston Astros (19.7 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone team of batters of all teams today.

Ranger Suarez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Ranger Suarez’s 90-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 10th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Ranger Suarez’s 1932-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 3rd percentile among all starting pitchers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Ranger Suarez in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent level.

Ranger Suarez has compiled a 2.85 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that concentrates on the things a pitcher has the most control over) this year, placing in the 93rd percentile.

In today’s matchup, Alec Bohm is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 39.3% rate (97th percentile).

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alec Bohm in today’s game.

Alec Bohm’s launch angle this year (6.6°) is significantly lower than his 10° figure last season.

Edmundo Sosa is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

When starting against a left-handed pitcher this year, Edmundo Sosa has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 32% of the time.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Edmundo Sosa in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball batters like Jeremy Pena generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Ranger Suarez.

In the last week, Jeremy Pena’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 89.4 mph to 86.4 mph.

Jeremy Pena’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 12.3% to 8.9%.

Jake Meyers is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.

10% of the time that Jake Meyers has started against a lefty hurler since the start of last season, he has been pulled from the game early.

Jake Meyers hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 9th-deepest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 11th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Johan Rojas is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

When starting against a southpaw this year, Johan Rojas has been pinch hit for 46% of the time.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Johan Rojas ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Yainer Diaz hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Yainer Diaz has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 7.4% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last 7 days.

Yainer Diaz’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 90.6-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 86.9-mph in the last week.

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