Todays Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for San Diego at Colorado Game 2 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 94°.

Michael Toglia will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Brenton Doyle’s BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brenton Doyle is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the best hitter in MLB when assessing his batting average talent.

Luis Arraez is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Donovan Solano is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average.

Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in the game for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jake Cave’s BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Cave will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today’s game.

Coors Field projects as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Charlie Blackmon is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Charlie Blackmon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

The Colorado Rockies have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the future, Coors Field grades out as the #1 ballpark in the majors for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Dylan Cease in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

The Colorado Rockies don’t have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Jackson Merrill is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the entire game.

When estimating his home run ability, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jake Cave will hold that advantage today.

This season, Michael Toglia has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.5 mph compared to last year’s 91 mph mark.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

The Colorado Rockies don’t have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Luis Arraez is assured to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

When estimating his home run skill, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brendan Rodgers is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Brendan Rodgers will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

When estimating his strikeout talent, Dylan Cease projects as the 9th-best SP in Major League Baseball currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Compared to the average pitcher, Dylan Cease has been given an above-average leash this year, tallying an additional 10.6 adjusted pitches each start.

The Colorado Rockies have 6 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Michael Toglia, Ryan McMahon, Brenton Doyle, Ezequiel Tovar, Jordan Beck, Jake Cave).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

With 6 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Kyle Freeland will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.

The San Diego Padres have done a favorable job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their highest exit velocity balls. Their 16.1° mark is among the highest in the game this year (#1 overall).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Kyle Freeland’s 91.1-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 2.9-mph rise from last year’s 88.2-mph mark.

Ezequiel Tovar will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Donovan Solano will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Saturday Game 2 player match stat slumps with Padres vs Rockies Matchup

Michael Toglia is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

The San Diego Padres outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among every team on the slate today.

In terms of his home runs, Michael Toglia has had positive variance on his side this year. His 38.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 32.7.

Checking in at the 7th percentile, Michael Toglia has put up a .200 batting average this year.

Batting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, Brenton Doyle will be in a tough position today.

Brenton Doyle has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102.1-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 94-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brenton Doyle’s true offensive talent to be a .296, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .039 deviation between that figure and his actual .335 wOBA.

Brenton Doyle has displayed bad plate discipline this year, grading out in the 20th percentile with a 3.84 K/BB rate.

Hitting from the same side that Kyle Freeland throws from, Luis Arraez will be in a tough position in today’s game.

The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the best among every team on the slate today.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Arraez today.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 89.6-mph mark last year has fallen off to 87.6-mph.

Utilizing Statcast data, Luis Arraez grades out in the 1st percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 1.500.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Donovan Solano in today’s matchup.

Donovan Solano’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 90.2-mph mark last season has decreased to 86.9-mph.

Donovan Solano’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 17.3% to 12.7%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.272) suggests that Donovan Solano has experienced some positive variance this year with his .308 actual batting average.

Jake Cave is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

This year, Jake Cave has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 12% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

There has been a significant decline in Jake Cave’s launch angle from last season’s 15.1° to 6.4° this year.

Jake Cave has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 13.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal higher than his 7.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Charlie Blackmon’s BABIP talent is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Over the last two weeks, Charlie Blackmon’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.

Charlie Blackmon’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 86.4-mph EV last year has fallen off to 84-mph.

Charlie Blackmon has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84-mph dropping to 79.1-mph over the last 14 days.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Manny Machado today.

Over the last 14 days, Manny Machado’s 7.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.1%.

Dylan Cease projects as the 20th-best starting pitcher in MLB right now, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Colorado Rockies projected lineup projects as the weakest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.

Jeremy Riggs projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be behind the plate in this game.

Kyle Higashioka, the Padres’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Kyle Freeland throws from, Jackson Merrill encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jackson Merrill in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jackson Merrill’s true offensive skill to be a .323, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .016 disparity between that figure and his actual .339 wOBA.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.281) may lead us to conclude that Charlie Blackmon has experienced some positive variance this year with his .312 actual wOBA.

When it comes to power, Charlie Blackmon is positioned in the 21st percentile, having hit 11 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.

Ryan McMahon has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week.

Ryan McMahon has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.5-mph dropping to 85.4-mph in the past 14 days.

Despite posting a .328 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ryan McMahon has had positive variance on his side given the .016 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

In notching a .280 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jake Cave is positioned in the 18th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 11th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Michael Toglia has been lucky this year, posting a .328 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .296 — a .032 deviation.

Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Xander Bogaerts has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 5.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last 14 days.

Over the past two weeks, Xander Bogaerts’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 89.5 mph to 85.3 mph.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Xander Bogaerts’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (6.7°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 12.3°.

Grading out in the 11th percentile, Xander Bogaerts has posted a .156 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

Jurickson Profar will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

In the last week’s worth of games, Jurickson Profar’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 12°, Jurickson Profar has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.3°) in the last 14 days.

Jurickson Profar has been lucky this year, notching a .378 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .055 disparity.

When it comes to his home run ability, Luis Arraez ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brenton Doyle’s launch angle of late (17.2° in the past week) is considerably higher than his 12.9° seasonal mark.

Sporting a 3.93 K/BB rate this year, Jackson Merrill has shown bad plate discipline, placing in the 20th percentile.

Dylan Cease will have the handedness advantage over Brendan Rodgers today.

Brendan Rodgers has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 11% rate last year has fallen to 4.8% this season.

Brendan Rodgers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 19.7% to 10.2%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.299) provides evidence that Brendan Rodgers has experienced some positive variance this year with his .321 actual wOBA.

Brendan Rodgers has paced 11.5 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 20th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

Dylan Cease has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, notching an 11.42 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 11.37 — a 0.05 K/9 deviation.

Dylan Cease will have the handedness advantage over Ezequiel Tovar in today’s matchup.

Ezequiel Tovar has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 8.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last week.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.277) implies that Ezequiel Tovar has had some very good luck this year with his .321 actual wOBA.

Ezequiel Tovar has displayed weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 0th percentile with a 10.05 K/BB rate.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected offense for the San Diego Padres today carries an estimated true talent wOBA of .310, which is considerably lower than their actual wOBA of .323 this year.

The San Diego Padres have been the 8th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season, Kyle Freeland will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats across the board.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kyle Freeland is projected to throw 84 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least of all pitchers on the slate.

The San Diego Padres (18.9 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the least strikeout-prone set of hitters of all teams on the slate today.

Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 17.7% to 12.1%.

When assessing his home run skill, Donovan Solano ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Donovan Solano has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .344 mark is a good deal higher than his .302 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake Cave has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .301 mark is a good deal higher than his .274 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.