Padres vs Pirates match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Saturday, May 3rd

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Padres vs Pirates match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Saturday, May 3rd

SD @ PIT

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Series Game 2 Matchup Details

San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, May 3rd
03/05/25 16:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Padres vs Pirates Series Game 2 Matchup Today

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Alexander Canario, Oneil Cruz, Joey Bart).

It is expected that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Mike Estabrook) behind the plate in this game.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Randy Vasquez has gone to his non-fastballs 15% more often this season (70.9%) than he did last season (55.9%).

Randy Vasquez’s 2407.5-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season grades out in the 84th percentile among all starters.

Randy Vasquez has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts since the start of last season, notching a 5.17 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 5.82 — a 0.65 K/9 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Randy Vasquez in the 4th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games,PNC Park projects as the #5 field in the majors for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate at 85%.

Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Jose Iglesias will have an advantage today.

Extreme groundball bats like Jose Iglesias are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Falter.

Jose Iglesias has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 83.9-mph to 87.5-mph over the last 14 days.

Compared to his seasonal average of -5°, Jose Iglesias has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 3° figure in the last 7 days.

Jose Iglesias’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the league for righty batting average.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Over the past week, Xander Bogaerts’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.2% up to 8.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Martin Maldonado will have the upper hand today.

Since the start of last season, Martin Maldonado’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to study power) ranks in the 77th percentile at 93.9 mph.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Martin Maldonado ranks in the 83rd percentile with a 17.7° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in the game.

The #9 park in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.

Adam Frazier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez in today’s matchup.

The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams today.

Adam Frazier will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Compared to his seasonal average of 14.1°, Adam Frazier has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 24.7° figure over the past week.

Ke’Bryan Hayes’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ke’Bryan Hayes will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

In comparison to his 88.7-mph average last year, Ke’Bryan Hayes’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.2 mph.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Randy Vasquez.

Bryan Reynolds’s BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Over the last 14 days, Manny Machado has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 11.9% to 20.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Joey Bart is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

As it relates to his home run talent, Joey Bart ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Joey Bart has a ton of pop (77th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Randy Vasquez struggles to strike batters out (17th percentile K%) — great news for Bart.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Arraez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

By putting up a .316 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Luis Arraez finds himself in the 99th percentile.

Posting a 0.96 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Luis Arraez has demonstrated good plate discipline, checking in at the 99th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Andrew McCutchen will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball bats like Tyler Wade generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Falter.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.295) suggests that Tyler Wade has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .268 actual wOBA.

Oneil Cruz projects as the 7th-best home run batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Oneil Cruz has a ton of pop (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (29.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Randy Vasquez is a pitch-to-contact type (12th percentile K%) — great news for Cruz.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Due to his reverse platoon split, Bailey Falter figures to be at an advantage facing 7 hitters in the projected lineup who bat from the opposite side today.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Bailey Falter will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Connor Joe will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Falter in today’s game.

Oscar Gonzalez’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Oscar Gonzalez is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Oscar Gonzalez will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball hitters like Oscar Gonzalez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Falter.

Enmanuel Valdez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Enmanuel Valdez will have the upper hand today.

Enmanuel Valdez will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

In the last 14 days, Enmanuel Valdez’s 29.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.7%.

Negative Match Player Stats with Padres vs Pirates Series Game 2

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Randy Vasquez in the 1st percentile among all starting pitchers in the league.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Randy Vasquez is projected to throw 83 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Martin Maldonado (the Padres’s expected catcher today) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 3rd-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

The league’s 6th-tallest average fence height can be found at PNC Park.

Randy Vasquez is an extreme flyball pitcher (32.7% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #25 HR venue in Major League Baseball in this matchup.

In his previous start, Randy Vasquez performed well and allowed 0 ER.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Jose Iglesias is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

The #6 field in MLB for suppressing home runs to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.

Home runs are generally less common at ballparks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest among all major league parks.

The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team today.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Iglesias in today’s game.

There has been a significant decline in Jose Iglesias’s launch angle from last season’s 8.8° to -5° this year.

Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Xander Bogaerts’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 89.7-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 84.4-mph in the past 7 days.

Xander Bogaerts has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .260 mark is quite a bit higher than his .245 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Martin Maldonado in the 0th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Martin Maldonado is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

In today’s game, Martin Maldonado is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.8% rate (87th percentile).

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Martin Maldonado in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Martin Maldonado ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Adam Frazier ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Adam Frazier is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Adam Frazier’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 18.4% to 14.1%.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Adam Frazier has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

As it relates to his home run skill, Adam Frazier ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 6th-worst venue in the game for lefty home runs.

Ke’Bryan Hayes is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

Randy Vasquez will have the handedness advantage over Ke’Bryan Hayes in today’s game.

In the last 14 days, Ke’Bryan Hayes’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 88.6 mph to 83.3 mph.

Ke’Bryan Hayes’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, falling from 8.3% on the season to 0% in the last week.

In today’s matchup, Bryan Reynolds is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.3% rate (81st percentile).

Bryan Reynolds’s launch angle this year (4°) is a significant dropoff from his 9.1° mark last year.

In the last 7 days, Bryan Reynolds’s 7.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.1%.

Bryan Reynolds’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, falling from 45.8% on the season to 30.8% in the past 7 days.

Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Randy Vasquez will have the handedness advantage against Joey Bart in today’s game.

Joey Bart pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 82nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Joey Bart has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 10.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last 7 days.

Joey Bart has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 75.6-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Joey Bart’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, going from 20.8% on the season to 0% over the past week.

Batting from the same side that Bailey Falter throws from, Luis Arraez has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Luis Arraez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Arraez today.

Luis Arraez’s 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) is in the 0th percentile this year.

When estimating his home run skill, Luis Arraez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the same side that Randy Vasquez throws from, Andrew McCutchen will not have the upper hand today.

Andrew McCutchen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 80th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Wade in the 3rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Tyler Wade is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Bailey Falter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Wade today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Wade in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Bailey Falter in the 15th percentile among all SPs in baseball.

The San Diego Padres (19.7 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone group of batters of the day.

Connor Joe is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Connor Joe will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Joe in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Oscar Gonzalez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Over the last 14 days, Oscar Gonzalez’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 92.2 mph to 86.8 mph.

With a .245 wOBA over the past 14 days, Oscar Gonzalez has been struggling at the plate.

Enmanuel Valdez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 10th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

This year, Enmanuel Valdez has been pulled from the game early in 15% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

Extreme flyball hitters like Enmanuel Valdez are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Randy Vasquez.

Enmanuel Valdez’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 90-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 86.7-mph in the past week.

Latest Pittsburgh Pirates Match Player Stats

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