Padres vs Dodgers match player stats Wednesday, September 25th 2024. San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers Series Game 2

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Padres vs Dodgers match player stats Wednesday, September 25th 2024. San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers Series Game 2

SD @ LAD

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Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 25th
25/09/24 22:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Padres vs Dodgers Series Game 2 Matchup Today

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mookie Betts ranks as the 14th-best batter in baseball.

Mookie Betts is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best field in the game for right-handed home runs.

Dodger Stadium has the shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.

Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs.

The 5th-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Tommy Edman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 12.6% to 17.9%.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 8th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP ability.

Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Teoscar Hernandez will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 7th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his batting average talent.

Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Tommy Edman’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Mookie Betts will hold that advantage today.

Compared to his seasonal average of 20.8°, Mookie Betts has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 24.3° angle over the last 14 days.

Freddie Freeman will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Cease in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Freddie Freeman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Gavin Lux’s BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Gavin Lux will have the upper hand today.

Gavin Lux hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

Gavin Lux will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.259) provides evidence that Gavin Lux has experienced some negative variance this year with his .244 actual batting average.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Will Smith ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Will Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Will Smith will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 13th-best batter in the majors.

Teoscar Hernandez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 15.1% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the last two weeks.

Over the past 14 days, Teoscar Hernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.3-mph over the course of the season to 104-mph lately.

The best projected batting order on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season, It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Andy Fletcher) behind the plate in this game.

The #3 stadium in the league for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

Dylan Cease projects as the 13th-best pitcher in the majors right now when it comes to his strikeout skill, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Compared to the average hurler, Dylan Cease has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher this year, recording an extra 10.4 adjusted pitches each start.

The San Diego Padres projected lineup grades out as the 5th-best of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.

Will Smith has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 11% seasonal rate to 17.9% over the past two weeks.

Will Smith’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (21.5°) is a significant increase over his 12.4° mark last season.

Shohei Ohtani will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Cease today.

Shohei Ohtani will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jack Flaherty projects as the 18th-best SP in the game currently when estimating his strikeout ability, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jack Flaherty has been granted more leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying 6.4 more adjusted pitches-per-start than average.

Jack Flaherty has recorded a 13.4% Swinging Strike rate this year, checking in at the 90th percentile.

Negative Match Player Stats with Padres vs Dodgers Series Game 2

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day.

Batting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, Mookie Betts will have a tough challenge today.

Mookie Betts’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 92.4-mph average last year has dropped off to 90-mph.

Mookie Betts’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 91.1-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 87.9-mph in the last two weeks.

Mookie Betts has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .378 figure is inflated compared to his .354 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Tommy Edman is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Tommy Edman will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Dylan Cease in today’s game.

Tommy Edman’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 90.6-mph EV last year has fallen to 88.1-mph.

In the past 7 days, Tommy Edman’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 88.1 mph to 84 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Shohei Ohtani’s true offensive skill to be a .407, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .014 gap between that figure and his actual .421 wOBA.

Hitting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, Teoscar Hernandez will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Teoscar Hernandez has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

In the last two weeks, Freddie Freeman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.1% down to 0%.

Gavin Lux is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Gavin Lux has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 13% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Gavin Lux has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past two weeks.

Gavin Lux’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 90.4-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 83.2-mph in the past two weeks.

Will Smith has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (90% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.

Dylan Cease will hold the platoon advantage against Will Smith in today’s game.

Sporting a .272 BABIP this year, Will Smith finds himself in the 20th percentile.

Teoscar Hernandez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 16.1% on the season to 13% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Dylan Cease in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Kyle Higashioka (the Padres’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) profiles as a good pitch framer.

In his previous start, Dylan Cease was rolling and conceded 0 ER.

Dylan Cease’s fastball velocity has spiked 1.3 mph this year (96.2 mph) over where it was last season (94.9 mph).

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Dylan Cease in today’s matchup.

Over his previous 3 outings, Dylan Cease has suffered a sizeable decline in his fastball spin rate: from 2555 rpm over the whole season to 2489 rpm recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Jack Flaherty in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent level.

Jack Flaherty will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats across the board.

Jack Flaherty has compiled a 3.44 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that is concerned with the things a pitcher can most influence) this year, grading out in the 81st percentile.

Jack Flaherty has posted a 5.35 K/BB rate this year, grading out in the 93rd percentile.

The San Diego Padres (18.5 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the least strikeout-heavy set of batters of all teams on the slate today.

Jack Flaherty has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 10.83 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.48 — a 0.35 K/9 gap.

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