Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Padres vs Dodgers Matchup Today

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 2nd-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

The 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Dodger Stadium.

The weather report expects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Shohei Ohtani will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Cease today.

The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the 2nd-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 9th-best starter in the game currently when assessing his strikeout talent, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Shohei Ohtani will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Dodger Stadium grades out as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Xander Bogaerts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

Out of all the teams today, the 12th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Over the past 14 days, Elias Diaz’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.2-mph over the course of the season to 95.3-mph of late.

Elias Diaz’s launch angle this year (17.6°) is considerably better than his 7.3° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Max Muncy will hold the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Max Muncy’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 18.3% on the season to 31% over the past 14 days.

Sporting a .353 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Max Muncy finds himself in the 87th percentile for offensive skills.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

Mookie Betts will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Smith in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Will Smith is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Will Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Will Smith will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Michael Conforto will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Cease today.

When assessing his home run ability, Michael Conforto ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael Conforto will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

In the past 14 days, Michael Conforto has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 17.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 14°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Shohei Ohtani throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best batter in MLB.

Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Teoscar Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Over the last week, Teoscar Hernandez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.7% up to 21.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Luis Arraez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 2nd-best batter in the game when it comes to his batting average talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Shohei Ohtani throws from, Luis Arraez will have the upper hand today.

Freddie Freeman projects as the 17th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Freddie Freeman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease today.

Dylan Cease projects as the 20th-best pitcher in Major League Baseball right now, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Throwing 93.2 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Dylan Cease places in the 81st percentile.

Given that groundball pitchers have a sizeable advantage over groundball batters, Dylan Cease and his 36.4% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong spot in this matchup going up against 4 opposing GB batters.

Considering the 1.06 deviation between Dylan Cease’s 4.28 ERA and his 3.23 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the game this year and should see positive regression the rest of the season.

As it relates to his strikeout skill, Dylan Cease projects as the 12th-best starter in the game currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In his last start, Dylan Cease performed well and put up 7 strikeouts.

Batting from the opposite that Shohei Ohtani throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage in today’s game.

Gavin Sheets has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year’s 87.8-mph figure.

Gavin Sheets’s launch angle of late (20.4° in the past 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 16.7° seasonal angle.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Andy Pages ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Andy Pages will hold that advantage in today’s game.

With a .339 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Andy Pages has performed in the 75th percentile for hitting ability.

Negative Match Player Stats with Padres vs Dodgers

Shohei Ohtani has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .420 rate is quite a bit higher than his .387 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Shohei Ohtani has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 46.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal higher than his 37.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The San Diego Padres (17.9 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the least strikeout-heavy team of hitters on the slate.

Will Smith, the Dodgers’s expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-worst ballpark in MLB for strikeouts.

Shohei Ohtani will hold the platoon advantage over Xander Bogaerts in today’s matchup.

Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 12.6°, Xander Bogaerts has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.5°) over the last 14 days.

In notching a .276 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Xander Bogaerts is positioned in the 16th percentile.

Sporting a .128 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Xander Bogaerts has performed in the 8th percentile.

When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Xander Bogaerts and his 11% rank in the 12th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Elias Diaz is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the same side that Shohei Ohtani throws from, Elias Diaz will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Elias Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.184) implies that Elias Diaz has had some very good luck this year with his .211 actual batting average.

In the past 14 days, Elias Diaz’s 9.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.2%.

With a .251 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Elias Diaz is positioned in the 2nd percentile for offensive ability.

Max Muncy is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

Max Muncy pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.9% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

Extreme flyball bats like Max Muncy tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Dylan Cease.

Over the past 7 days, Max Muncy’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.9% down to 0%.

Max Muncy’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 94.4-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 81.4-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 6th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Dylan Cease will have the handedness advantage against Mookie Betts in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball batters like Mookie Betts tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Dylan Cease.

Mookie Betts has compiled a .268 BABIP this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile.

Batting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, Will Smith will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Typically, batters like Will Smith who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Dylan Cease.

Over the last 14 days, Will Smith’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.1% down to 3.1%.

Will Smith has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .317 BA is a good deal higher than his .287 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Will Smith’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (15.5°) is a considerable dropoff from his 21.3° angle last season.

Will Smith has been lucky this year, putting up a .392 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .356 — a .036 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Michael Conforto is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Over the last 14 days, Michael Conforto’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.3% down to 3.4%.

In the last 7 days, Michael Conforto’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 92.5 mph to 89.7 mph.

Michael Conforto has notched a .281 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, checking in at the 4th percentile.

Michael Conforto has notched a .277 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 16th percentile.

Shohei Ohtani will hold the platoon advantage over Manny Machado in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Manny Machado in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 14.2°, Manny Machado has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8.7°) in the last two weeks.

Manny Machado has been lucky this year, posting a .380 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .349 — a .031 deviation.

Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jake Cronenworth will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Jake Cronenworth’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 88.3-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 85.4-mph in the last 7 days.

Jake Cronenworth’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 16.5% to 13%.

When it comes to his home runs, Jake Cronenworth has been lucky this year. His 13.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 8.0.

Jake Cronenworth’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 47.2% to 40.7%.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jake Cronenworth has had positive variance on his side this year. His .337 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .320.

Shohei Ohtani will have the handedness advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. today.

In the past week’s worth of games, Fernando Tatis Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.1% down to 0%.

Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle of late (-0.5° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit worse than his 7.1° seasonal mark.

Fernando Tatis Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 48.8% to 38%.

Last season, Fernando Tatis Jr. had a launch angle of 10.4° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 7.3°.

Hitting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, Teoscar Hernandez will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Teoscar Hernandez has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

When it comes to plate discipline, Teoscar Hernandez’s skill is quite bad, sporting a 4.87 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 12th percentile.

Teoscar Hernandez has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 33.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount higher than his 25.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his home run talent, Luis Arraez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Arraez in today’s matchup.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 87.9-mph figure last year has dropped to 85.2-mph.

Luis Arraez has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 6.5 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount higher than his 1.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Luis Arraez has averaged 5.3 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 12th percentile for power.

Luis Arraez has put up a .269 BABIP this year, placing in the 23rd percentile.

Freddie Freeman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 17.1% on the season to 5.6% over the past 7 days.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.350) provides evidence that Freddie Freeman has been lucky this year with his .410 actual wOBA.

Freddie Freeman has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph dropping to 87.4-mph in the last 14 days.

The best projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the league for home runs.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (21.4 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 4th-least strikeout-prone group of hitters of the day.

Dylan Cease will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Dylan Cease has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up an 11.42 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 11.03 — a 0.39 K/9 gap.

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Gavin Sheets pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Gavin Sheets will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Gavin Sheets’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 17.5% to 12.4%.

Gavin Sheets has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 30.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 23.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 20th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Andy Pages is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

Dylan Cease will have the handedness advantage over Andy Pages in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball bats like Andy Pages generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Dylan Cease.

Over the past 7 days, Andy Pages’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.8% down to 0%.

There has been a significant decline in Andy Pages’s launch angle from last year’s 20.6° to 16.9° this season.

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