Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Padres vs D-Backs Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Jackson Merrill’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in baseball for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Batting from the opposite that Anthony DeSclafani throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Locklear in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Tyler Locklear is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

Chase Field ranks as the #2 field in MLB for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Batting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Tyler Locklear will have the upper hand today.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Tyler Locklear will hold that advantage today.

Tyler Locklear has been lifting the ball well recently, compiling a 20.5° launch angle in the past week’s worth of games.

Ketel Marte projects as the 11th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will get to bat from his good side against Nestor Cortes today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Xander Bogaerts has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 6.7% seasonal rate to 13.3% over the last 14 days.

It may be best to expect positive regression for the San Diego Padres offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (James Hoye) in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.

Chase Field projects as the #3 venue in the game for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Ramon Laureano has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12% seasonal rate to 21.6% in the last 14 days.

Ramon Laureano has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.2-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 81st percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Ramon Laureano’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 18.6% on the season to 24.3% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Manny Machado has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93-mph to 95.5-mph in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Jake Cronenworth will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Anthony DeSclafani in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal average of 15.1°, Jake Cronenworth has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 25° mark in the last week’s worth of games.

When it comes to plate discipline, Jake Cronenworth’s skill is quite good, sporting a 1.71 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 80th percentile.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.9-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 97-mph.

Nestor Cortes’s cutter usage has risen by 8.5% from last season to this one (28.2% to 36.7%) .

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Nestor Cortes in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Luis Arraez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Anthony DeSclafani throws from, Luis Arraez will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Using Statcast data, Luis Arraez is in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .295.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 2nd-best hitter in the game when assessing his batting average ability.

As it relates to plate discipline, Luis Arraez’s talent is quite good, sporting a 0.64 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 100th percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, James McCann will have an edge in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and James McCann will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Grading out in the 76th percentile for power, James McCann has averaged 20.8 homers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

Geraldo Perdomo will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Compared to his seasonal average of 15.3°, Geraldo Perdomo has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 21.8° mark over the last 14 days.

Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 13% to 19.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Blaze Alexander will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nestor Cortes today.

Extreme groundball batters like Blaze Alexander are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Nestor Cortes.

Blaze Alexander will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Extreme groundball hitters like Alek Thomas tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nestor Cortes.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the last two weeks, Alek Thomas’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92-mph over the course of the season to 97.1-mph in recent games.

Alek Thomas’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, rising from 11.5% on the season to 25% in the past week’s worth of games.

Jorge Barrosa will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Ranking in the 77th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.32 ft/sec this year, Jorge Barrosa is quite fast.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

Corbin Carroll will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Negative Match Player Stats with Padres vs D-Backs Series Game 3

The league’s 10th-highest fences can be found at Chase Field.

In today’s matchup, Jackson Merrill is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.1% rate (97th percentile).

The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among every team playing today.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jackson Merrill today.

Chase Field ranks as the #25 venue in MLB for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all major league stadiums, Chase Field’s CF dimensions are the 3rd-deepest.

Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres.

This year, there has been a decline in Tyler Locklear’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.52 ft/sec last year to 25.97 ft/sec currently.

Tyler Locklear has been cold recently, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) in the past 7 days.

Putting up a lowly a 78.2-mph average exit velocity in the past week, Tyler Locklear has been in a slump in recent games.

Chase Field grades out as the #25 field in MLB for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Ketel Marte’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 94-mph EV last season has fallen to 90.9-mph.

In the last two weeks, Ketel Marte’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (2.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.4°.

In terms of his batting average, Ketel Marte has been very fortunate this year. His .291 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .260.

Anthony DeSclafani will have the handedness advantage against Xander Bogaerts today.

Xander Bogaerts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Xander Bogaerts has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph dropping to 84.4-mph in the last week.

Anthony DeSclafani will hold the platoon advantage over 6 opposing batters in today’s game.

Anthony DeSclafani will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats across the board.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony DeSclafani to throw 76 pitches in today’s game (2nd-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The San Diego Padres (18.2 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the least strikeout-heavy group of hitters of all teams on the slate.

Chase Field projects as the #23 ballpark in MLB for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Ramon Laureano is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Hitting from the same side that Anthony DeSclafani throws from, Ramon Laureano faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ramon Laureano today.

Batting from the same side that Anthony DeSclafani throws from, Manny Machado will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Manny Machado in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Manny Machado’s true offensive ability to be a .349, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .019 disparity between that mark and his actual .368 wOBA.

Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Cronenworth today.

Jake Cronenworth has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 83.7-mph over the last week.

Anthony DeSclafani will hold the platoon advantage over Fernando Tatis Jr. today.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 8.1°, Fernando Tatis Jr. has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.7°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nestor Cortes to throw 80 pitches in this matchup (3rd-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s launch angle lately (5.1° over the last week) is quite a bit worse than his 15.9° seasonal angle.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to assess power) has been 109.1 mph this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile.

Sporting a .291 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is ranked in the 22nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 0th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 87.9-mph mark last season has fallen off to 85.6-mph.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 85.6-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 81.3-mph over the past week.

James McCann is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

James McCann hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

James McCann’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 89.9-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 83.9-mph in the last two weeks.

James McCann’s launch angle this season (4.7°) is significantly lower than his 13.7° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 18th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Over the last two weeks, Geraldo Perdomo’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 90.3 mph to 86.7 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Geraldo Perdomo’s true offensive skill to be a .310, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .041 gap between that figure and his actual .351 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 15th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

When estimating his home run ability, Freddy Fermin ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Freddy Fermin is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

Anthony DeSclafani will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Fermin in today’s game.

Freddy Fermin hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Freddy Fermin in today’s game.

Blaze Alexander is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.

Blaze Alexander has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

There has been a significant decline in Blaze Alexander’s launch angle from last season’s 8.4° to 4° this season.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Blaze Alexander’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 6.5%.

Alek Thomas is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the same side that Nestor Cortes throws from, Alek Thomas faces a tough challenge today.

Alek Thomas has notched a .296 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Barrosa ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jorge Barrosa is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Nestor Cortes will have the handedness advantage against Corbin Carroll today.

Corbin Carroll pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

Over the past two weeks, Corbin Carroll’s 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 37.8%.

Corbin Carroll has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph dropping to 84.3-mph over the past week.

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