Orioles vs Red Sox match player stats Tuesday, September 10th 2024. Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Series Game 2

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Orioles vs Red Sox match player stats Tuesday, September 10th 2024. Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Series Game 2

BAL @ BOS

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Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 10th
10/09/24 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Orioles vs Red Sox Series Game 2 Series Game 2 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 13th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best field in MLB for run-scoring.

Jarren Duran will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Albert Suarez today.

Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Kutter Crawford in the 81st percentile among all starting pitchers in the league.

Because flyball pitchers have a sizeable advantage over flyball batters, Kutter Crawford and his 42.8% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong spot in today’s matchup squaring off against 2 opposing FB batters.

Kutter Crawford will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his metrics in all categories.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

The shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the past week, Ceddanne Rafaela’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.6% up to 50%.

Rafael Devers projects as the 18th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage over Albert Suarez in today’s matchup.

Rafael Devers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

The 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park.

Batting from the opposite that Albert Suarez throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Masataka Yoshida will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Ryan O’Hearn’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ryan O’Hearn is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

Fenway Park profiles as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Ryan O’Hearn will hold the platoon advantage over Kutter Crawford today.

The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan O’Hearn can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Adley Rutschman pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Among all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.

The Boston Red Sox have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler O’Neill, Triston Casas, Wilyer Abreu).

Adley Rutschman, the Orioles’s expected catcher today, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Given his reverse platoon split, Albert Suarez figures to be at an advantage matching up with 6 bats in the projected batting order of opposing handedness today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Albert Suarez today.

Wilyer Abreu hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Over the past 7 days, Ceddanne Rafaela’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.1-mph over the course of the season to 101.5-mph in recent games.

Over the last 14 days, Ceddanne Rafaela’s 43.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.9%.

The 4th-best projected lineup of the day in terms of overall batting skill is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Fenway Park projects as the #3 field in baseball for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.6% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Anthony Santander’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 89.6-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 87-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Anthony Santander’s launch angle this season (23.2°) is a significant increase over his 20° angle last year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 16th-best hitter in the majors.

Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford in today’s game.

Gunnar Henderson is likely to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP.

Gunnar Henderson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Tyler O’Neill projects as the 10th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler O’Neill is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Tyler O’Neill has big-time power (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (30.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Albert Suarez has a pitch-to-contact profile (11th percentile K%) — great news for O’Neill.

Tyler O’Neill pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Eloy Jimenez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Hitters such as Eloy Jimenez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kutter Crawford who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

In the past 14 days, Eloy Jimenez has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 20.1° compared to his seasonal mark of 2.8°.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.5) suggests that Eloy Jimenez has been unlucky this year with his 10.7 actual HR/600.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Colton Cowser is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Colton Cowser will have an edge today.

Colton Cowser has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP.

Colton Cowser has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

When estimating his home run ability, Triston Casas ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Albert Suarez throws from, Triston Casas will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Triston Casas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Triston Casas will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Cedric Mullins has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (97% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage against Kutter Crawford in today’s matchup.

Cedric Mullins may have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP.

Cedric Mullins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Albert Suarez in the 25th percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.

The 5th-best projected lineup of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jarren Duran ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Tyler O’Neill ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

Tyler O’Neill will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When estimating his home run talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Wilyer Abreu has strong power (92nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (28.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Albert Suarez doesn’t generate many whiffs (24th percentile K%) — great news for Abreu.

Eloy Jimenez’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Compared to his seasonal average of 19°, Adley Rutschman has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 26° mark over the last two weeks.

Despite posting a .313 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adley Rutschman has suffered from bad luck given the .024 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .337.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Colton Cowser has put up a .341 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 81st percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Triston Casas has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 105-mph average over the last week to his seasonal EV of 97-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ryan O’Hearn ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ryan O’Hearn has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Negative Match Player Stats with Orioles vs Red Sox Series Game 2

Fenway Park has the 2nd-highest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.

Jarren Duran’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, going from 13.8% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

Jarren Duran has been lucky this year, posting a .368 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .339 — a .029 gap.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kutter Crawford is projected to throw 81 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least on the slate.

Ryan Wills projects as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 6th-worst park in the game for strikeouts.

Kutter Crawford’s curveball rate has fallen by 5.6% from last season to this one (12.1% to 6.5%) .

Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.

Albert Suarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ceddanne Rafaela in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, Ceddanne Rafaela ranks in the 19th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .288.

Rafael Devers has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 13.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Rafael Devers’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 95.4-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 84.6-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Masataka Yoshida’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 88-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 81.5-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Masataka Yoshida has been lucky this year, posting a .344 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .014 deviation.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Ryan O’Hearn has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 20% of the time.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan O’Hearn in today’s game.

Ryan O’Hearn has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past 7 days.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Kutter Crawford in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adley Rutschman today.

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Albert Suarez in the 24th percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Albert Suarez to throw 84 pitches today (10th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Albert Suarez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Over the last 7 days, Wilyer Abreu’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.6%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.223) suggests that Wilyer Abreu has been very fortunate this year with his .267 actual batting average.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Kutter Crawford’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 80th percentile out of all SPs in Major League Baseball currently.

The Baltimore Orioles have been the 8th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season, Kutter Crawford is an extreme flyball pitcher (42.8% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #25 HR venue among all stadiums in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Extreme flyball hitters like Anthony Santander tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Kutter Crawford.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Anthony Santander today.

Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his home runs, Gunnar Henderson has had some very good luck this year. His 33.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 23.7.

Albert Suarez will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler O’Neill today.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Tyler O’Neill has been very fortunate this year. His .366 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .327.

Eloy Jimenez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (87% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Kutter Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Eloy Jimenez today.

Colton Cowser is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Colton Cowser today.

Over the past week, Colton Cowser’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 95.3 mph to 80.2 mph.

Triston Casas is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Triston Casas’s launch angle this year (9.5°) is a significant dropoff from his 15.6° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 8th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Cedric Mullins will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Rafael Devers’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (-1.2° in the last 14 days) is significantly worse than his 10.4° seasonal figure.

It may be sensible to expect weaker performance for the Boston Red Sox offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gunnar Henderson’s true offensive talent to be a .364, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .021 difference between that mark and his actual .385 wOBA.

Cedric Mullins has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph dropping to 84.2-mph in the last 14 days.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Eloy Jimenez in today’s matchup.

Cedric Mullins’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 88.9-mph average last year has lowered to 86.9-mph.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Wilyer Abreu has had positive variance on his side this year. His .352 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .315.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 25th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Adley Rutschman has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week.

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