Orioles vs Red Sox match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Saturday, May 24th

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Orioles vs Red Sox match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Saturday, May 24th

BAL @ BOS

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Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, May 24th
24/05/25 13:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Orioles vs Red Sox Series Game 2 Matchup Today

When estimating his home run skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Fenway Park ranks as the #3 field in the game for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Batting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an edge in today’s game.

Wilyer Abreu pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the game for lefty batting average.

Extreme flyball batters like Wilyer Abreu tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Zach Eflin.

Nick Sogard pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Nick Sogard will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Nick Sogard has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5.6% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past 7 days.

Over the past 7 days, Nick Sogard’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 22.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Batting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Heston Kjerstad has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s shallowest LF fences today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.303) suggests that Heston Kjerstad has had some very poor luck this year with his .257 actual wOBA.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jackson Holliday ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Jackson Holliday will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Dobbins in today’s game.

Jackson Holliday has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball batters like Jackson Holliday are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Dobbins.

Jackson Holliday’s BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Kristian Campbell is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums.

Kristian Campbell will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Kristian Campbell ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In the last 7 days, Kristian Campbell’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.8% up to 16.7%.

Fenway Park grades out as the #4 stadium in the league for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Hunter Dobbins will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Ramon Urias hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

In the last 14 days, Ramon Urias has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 31° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.3°.

Batting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Cedric Mullins will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Cedric Mullins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant improvement in Cedric Mullins’s launch angle from last season’s 21.5° to 24.9° this year.

Checking in at the 81st percentile, Cedric Mullins sits with a .322 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 79th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

Ryan Mountcastle has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Over the last 7 days, Ryan Mountcastle’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.5% up to 33.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Over the last week, Ryan Mountcastle’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.1-mph over the course of the season to 103.1-mph in recent games.

Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Rafael Devers has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Rafael Devers will hold that advantage today.

Trevor Story’s BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trevor Story hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Trevor Story will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

In the last 7 days, Trevor Story’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.3% up to 16.7%.

In the past two weeks, Trevor Story has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 9.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 4.5°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Trevor Story’s true offensive ability to be a .304, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .037 difference between that mark and his actual .267 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Ryan O’Hearn is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

Ryan O’Hearn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Dobbins in today’s game.

Ryan O’Hearn has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ryan O’Hearn ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ryan O’Hearn has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 100.1-mph over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Ramon Laureano pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Ramon Laureano’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.5% up to 28.6%.

When it comes to his home run talent, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ramon Laureano has a ton of pop (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (27.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Hunter Dobbins doesn’t generate many whiffs (18th percentile K%) — great news for Laureano.

The Boston Red Sox (24.5% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 5th-most strikeout-heavy set of batters of the day.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Jarren Duran is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today’s matchup.

Jarren Duran has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jarren Duran ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jarren Duran will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Fenway Park has the shallowest RF fences in the league.

Adley Rutschman has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 96.4-mph in the last week.

Adley Rutschman’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (21.6° in the past two weeks) is considerably better than his 16.4° seasonal angle.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 18th-best batter in Major League Baseball.

Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Gunnar Henderson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Gunnar Henderson has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 95.4-mph average to last year’s 92.7-mph figure.

Negative Match Player Stats with Orioles vs Red Sox Series Game 2

In the league, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.

Fenway Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to less offense.

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-coldest weather of all games on the slate at 57°.

In the last week’s worth of games, Wilyer Abreu’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15.1% down to 0%.

Wilyer Abreu has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 34.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is inflated compared to his 29.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his home run talent, Nick Sogard ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nick Sogard is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Sogard in the 18th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

The switch-hitting Nick Sogard will bat from his weak side (0) today against Zach Eflin,Heston Kjerstad is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Heston Kjerstad has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 22% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Jackson Holliday will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Jackson Holliday’s 7.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.9%.

Zach Eflin will hold the platoon advantage against Kristian Campbell today.

In the past week, Kristian Campbell’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 92.1 mph to 86.7 mph.

Kristian Campbell has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 16.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 12.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Hunter Dobbins in the 22nd percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Dobbins to throw 82 pitches in today’s game (least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The #5 ballpark in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

The Baltimore Orioles have 7 bats in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage over Hunter Dobbins in this matchup.

Ramon Urias is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hunter Dobbins will have the handedness advantage against Ramon Urias today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Cedric Mullins has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Extreme groundball hitters like Cedric Mullins tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Dobbins.

Hunter Dobbins will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Mountcastle in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan Mountcastle today.

Rafael Devers has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 95-mph dropping to 87-mph over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Rafael Devers’s true offensive skill to be a .366, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .031 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .397 wOBA.

Trevor Story is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Zach Eflin will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Story in today’s game.

Trevor Story has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph dropping to 84.2-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

18% of the time that Ryan O’Hearn has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

Ryan O’Hearn will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Ramon Laureano has been pinch hit for 12% of the time.

Hunter Dobbins will have the handedness advantage over Ramon Laureano in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Zach Eflin in the 25th percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Zach Eflin (44.3% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in Boston’s projected offense.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Zach Eflin in today’s game.

Jarren Duran has averaged 6.3 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 18th percentile for power.

Jarren Duran has displayed poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 21st percentile with a 3.95 K/BB rate.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Hunter Dobbins today.

Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Adley Rutschman’s launch angle this year (15.7°) is a significant dropoff from his 18.7° mark last season.

Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

In the last week, Gunnar Henderson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.4% down to 0%.

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