
BAL @ LAD






Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Thursday, August 29th
29/08/24 22:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Orioles vs Dodgers Series Game 3 Series Game 3 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Tommy Edman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best field in the league for right-handed home runs.
In MLB, Dodger Stadium’s CF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.
On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 9th-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
Teoscar Hernandez will have the handedness advantage over Cade Povich today.
When estimating his home run talent, Cedric Mullins II ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Dodger Stadium grades out as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Cedric Mullins II will have the handedness advantage against Bobby Miller in today’s game.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Cedric Mullins II ranks in the 100th percentile with a 23.8° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in the league.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Taylor in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Chris Taylor will have the handedness advantage against Cade Povich today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
Ryan O’Hearn is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
Jackson Holliday’s BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage against Bobby Miller in today’s game.
Jackson Holliday has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .240 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .303 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Miguel Rojas will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Miguel Rojas will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
In the past week, Miguel Rojas’s 80% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.4%.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Colton Cowser ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Colton Cowser is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Utilizing Statcast data, Miguel Rojas ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .275.
Sporting a 1.89 K/BB rate this year, Miguel Rojas has shown favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 81st percentile.
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Colton Cowser is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Chris Taylor will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Anthony Santander is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.
In the last week’s worth of games, Anthony Santander’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.2% up to 23.1%.
Anthony Santander’s launch angle this year (23.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 20° figure last year.
In the past week’s worth of games, Miguel Rojas’s 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 9.8%.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Will Smith ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Will Smith is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Will Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich today.
Gunnar Henderson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Miller in today’s game.
Sporting a .374 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Gunnar Henderson has performed in the 95th percentile for offensive skills.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Max Muncy, Chris Taylor, Teoscar Hernandez).
Adley Rutschman, the Orioles’s expected catcher in today’s game, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Cade Povich has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting a 6.29 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.91 — a 1.62 K/9 difference.
The 3rd-best projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best stadium in baseball for home runs.
Bobby Miller’s 96.9-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a notable 1.5-mph decrease from last season’s 98.4-mph mark.
Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Kike Hernandez will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Kike Hernandez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Kike Hernandez will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
Hitting from the opposite that Bobby Miller throws from, Colton Cowser will have an advantage today.
Colton Cowser’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 17.4% on the season to 30% in the past 7 days.
Ramon Urias has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.1% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Ramon Urias’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 16% on the season to 23.1% in the last two weeks.
Sporting a .333 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ramon Urias is ranked in the 75th percentile.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mookie Betts ranks as the 14th-best batter in the game.
Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.
Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Mookie Betts will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.
Mookie Betts will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Eloy Jimenez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Eloy Jimenez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal EV of 94.1-mph.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best batter in the league.
Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.
Chris Taylor’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 40.4% to 46.7%.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Shohei Ohtani will hold that advantage today.
Compared to his seasonal average of 15.4°, Shohei Ohtani has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24.4° angle in the past 7 days.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Eloy Jimenez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
With a 1.48 deviation between Cade Povich’s 6.10 ERA and his 4.62 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the majors this year and ought to positively regress going forward.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
The switch-hitting Tommy Edman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Cade Povich.
When estimating his home run ability, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Despite posting a .290 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cedric Mullins II has had some very poor luck given the .025 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .315.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Despite posting a .284 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Eloy Jimenez has been unlucky given the .036 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .320.
Hitting from the opposite that Bobby Miller throws from, Ryan O’Hearn will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Ryan O’Hearn has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 8.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past two weeks.
Over the past week, Kike Hernandez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.1% up to 22.2%.
Kike Hernandez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 97.3-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
Will Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.
Will Smith will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Teoscar Hernandez has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.7-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal mark of 96-mph.
There has been a significant improvement in Adley Rutschman’s launch angle from last year’s 12.5° to 18.4° this season.
Despite posting a .320 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adley Rutschman has experienced some negative variance given the .020 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .340.
Anthony Santander’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 18.9% on the season to 38.5% over the past week.
Placing in the 85th percentile, Anthony Santander has put up a .347 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Tommy Edman will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Ramon Urias has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal figure of 92.8-mph.
Negative Match Player Stats with Orioles vs Dodgers Series Game 3
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 8th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today.
Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.
Tommy Edman has been cold of late, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) in the past 7 days.
Tommy Edman has exhibited some bad exit velocity statistics lately, averaging just 85.9-mph on his flyballs in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Tommy Edman and his 6.1° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 7th percentile, among the lowest in the league since the start of last season.
Teoscar Hernandez has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Over the past 14 days, Teoscar Hernandez’s 8.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.3%.
Cedric Mullins II is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Cedric Mullins II in today’s game.
In the last 14 days, Cedric Mullins II’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 89.5 mph to 83.3 mph.
Chris Taylor is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
20% of the time that Chris Taylor has started against a lefty hurler this year, he has been pinch hit for.
Ranked in the 19th percentile, Chris Taylor’s average exit velocity of 85.8 mph ranks among the lowest in baseball this year.
Ryan O’Hearn has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 20% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.
Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ryan O’Hearn today.
In the last 7 days, Ryan O’Hearn’s 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.5%.
Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Jackson Holliday will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Jackson Holliday has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last two weeks.
Jackson Holliday has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph dropping to 86.2-mph in the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Miguel Rojas is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.
This year, Miguel Rojas has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 16% of his appearances when starting against southpaw.
Miguel Rojas has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.
Colton Cowser will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Colton Cowser’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 90.6-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 82.3-mph over the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 21st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Adley Rutschman will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Bobby Miller in today’s game.
Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Adley Rutschman’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 90-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 86.3-mph over the last 14 days.
Adley Rutschman’s launch angle of late (-1° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit lower than his 18.4° seasonal mark.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gunnar Henderson today.
Over the last week, Gunnar Henderson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.9% down to 0%.
Gunnar Henderson’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 95-mph seasonal average has dropped to 88.7-mph over the last two weeks.
Compared to his seasonal angle of 8.7°, Gunnar Henderson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2.4°) in the last two weeks.
Chris Taylor’s launch angle this year (16.2°) is considerably worse than his 21.2° figure last year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins II in the 8th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Anthony Santander in today’s game.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (35.3) provides evidence that Anthony Santander has had some very good luck this year with his 41.7 actual HR/600.
With a .272 BABIP this year, Will Smith grades out in the 22nd percentile.
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Cade Povich is projected to throw 83 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 8th-least of all pitchers today.
Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Cade Povich in today’s matchup.
Placing in the 19th percentile, Cade Povich has compiled a 16% K% this year.
Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Bobby Miller will hold that advantage today.
Given the 3.1 deviation between Bobby Miller’s 7.49 ERA and his 4.39 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in baseball this year and ought to perform better in future games.
Bobby Miller has been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball on balls in play this year with a .342 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kike Hernandez in the 7th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Kike Hernandez is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
This year, Kike Hernandez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 24% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler.
Ramon Urias is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.
When starting against a northpaw this year, Ramon Urias has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 11% of the time.
Hitting from the same side that Bobby Miller throws from, Ramon Urias will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.
Ramon Urias has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Mookie Betts’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 92.4-mph figure last year has lowered to 90.3-mph.
Mookie Betts’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 90.3-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 86.4-mph in the past 7 days.
Mookie Betts has been lucky this year, posting a .382 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .366 — a .016 gap.
Generating 13.2 outs per game per started this year on average, Bobby Miller falls in the 2nd percentile.
Eloy Jimenez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.
Bobby Miller will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eloy Jimenez in today’s game.
Eloy Jimenez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Over the past week, Eloy Jimenez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%.
Cade Povich will have the handedness advantage over Shohei Ohtani in today’s game.
Shohei Ohtani has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 19.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 11.1% in the past 14 days.
Over the past two weeks, Shohei Ohtani’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 99.1 mph to 94.3 mph.
The 2nd-best projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 6th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today.
The best projected lineup on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future games, Over the past 14 days, Kike Hernandez’s 10% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.2%.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (8.9) implies that Kike Hernandez has experienced some positive variance this year with his 16.3 actual HR/600.
Posting a .227 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Anthony Santander grades out in the 21st percentile.
Over the last two weeks, Mookie Betts’s 5.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.1%.
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