Nationals vs Pirates match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, April 16th

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Nationals vs Pirates match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, April 16th

WSH @ PIT

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World Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Washington Nationals at Pittsburgh Pirates
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, April 16th
16/04/25 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Nationals vs Pirates Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

James Wood has big-time HR ability (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (28.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bailey Falter has a pitch-to-contact profile (20th percentile K%) — great news for Wood.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 7th-best field in the game for lefty BABIP.

The Pittsburgh Pirates projected lineup grades out as the 3rd-weakest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability.

It is expected that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Ron Kulpa) in charge of the strike zone today.

Mitchell Parker is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.2% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #27 HR venue among all major league stadiums in this matchup.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Enmanuel Valdez, Alexander Canario, Joey Bart).

Dylan Crews’s BABIP skill is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Dylan Crews will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Bats such as Dylan Crews with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bailey Falter who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Dylan Crews has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 96.6-mph over the past week.

Dylan Crews has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .238 figure is quite a bit lower than his .314 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

PNC Park projects as the #7 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Hitters such as Luis Garcia Jr. with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bailey Falter who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Using Statcast data, Luis Garcia Jr. ranks in the 91st percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .283.

Luis Garcia Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 16.1% to 21.4%.

Amed Rosario’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Amed Rosario is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Amed Rosario will have an advantage today.

Extreme flyball bats like Amed Rosario generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Falter.

Amed Rosario has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last year’s 86.9-mph EV.

Out of every team today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Adam Frazier will hold that advantage today.

In the last 7 days, Adam Frazier’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.7%.

Adam Frazier has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .200 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .241 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Adam Frazier has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .254 rate is deflated compared to his .284 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Ke’Bryan Hayes is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Ke’Bryan Hayes will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ke’Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.3-mph average to last season’s 88.7-mph mark.

Bryan Reynolds’s BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Bryan Reynolds will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

In the last week’s worth of games, Bryan Reynolds’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.8% up to 27.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Extreme groundball bats like Nathaniel Lowe usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Falter.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Isiah Kiner-Falefa will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Extreme flyball batters like Isiah Kiner-Falefa usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitchell Parker.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Andrew McCutchen will have an advantage today.

Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Alexander Canario will have an advantage today.

When it comes to his home run talent, Alexander Canario ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Alexander Canario will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Alexander Canario has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year’s 27.18 ft/sec to 27.77 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bailey Falter in the 15th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching skills.

Considering that flyball hitters have a notable advantage over groundball pitchers, Bailey Falter and his 37.3% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a difficult position in this outing going up against 1 opposing GB batters.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Bailey Falter will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Bailey Falter has gone to his four-seam fastball 6% less often this year (42.5%) than he did last season (48.5%).

Alex Call is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Alex Call will have an advantage today.

Alex Call has been lifting the ball well recently, putting up a 25.6° launch angle in the last week’s worth of games.

Alex Call has compiled a .412 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 98th percentile.

When it comes to plate discipline, Alex Call’s skill is quite good, posting a 0.95 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 99th percentile.

Enmanuel Valdez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Enmanuel Valdez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 92.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 88.2-mph.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (20.9) provides evidence that Enmanuel Valdez has been unlucky since the start of last season with his 14.1 actual HR/600.

Negative Match Player Stats with Nationals vs Pirates Series Game 3

The #2 field in the game for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.

The league’s 6th-tallest average fence height can be found at PNC Park.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 2nd-lowest level on the slate at 48°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Bailey Falter will have the handedness advantage against James Wood in today’s matchup.

Today, James Wood is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.6% rate (95th percentile).

The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of every team playing today.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for James Wood today.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games,PNC Park ranks as the #5 venue in the league for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Because groundball hitters hold a sizeable edge over flyball pitchers, Mitchell Parker and his 34.2% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a difficult spot in this game facing 1 opposing GB bats.

The #7 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.

Mitchell Parker will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Dylan Crews is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

PNC Park grades out as the #25 stadium in baseball for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Homers are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest among all stadiums.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dylan Crews in today’s matchup.

Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Bailey Falter throws from, Luis Garcia Jr. will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Luis Garcia Jr. has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 9th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Amed Rosario in today’s game.

Amed Rosario has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .283 figure is considerably higher than his .266 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his home run skill, Adam Frazier ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Adam Frazier is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Adam Frazier ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mitchell Parker will have the handedness advantage over Adam Frazier in today’s game.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 7.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past week.

Over the last week, Ke’Bryan Hayes’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.3%.

Sporting a .266 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ke’Bryan Hayes grades out in the 6th percentile for offensive ability.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Mitchell Parker in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant decline in Bryan Reynolds’s launch angle from last season’s 9.1° to 5.3° this season.

Hitting from the same side that Bailey Falter throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nathaniel Lowe today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 7th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 7.3°, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-7.8°) in the last 14 days.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been cold lately, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) in the past 14 days.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .299 mark is quite a bit higher than his .276 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Andrew McCutchen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 82nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Andrew McCutchen has posted a .225 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alexander Canario in the 15th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Alexander Canario is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.

It may be sensible to expect worse results for the Washington Nationals offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 9th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Bailey Falter has a reverse platoon split and has the benefit of facing 6 opposite-handed bats in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bailey Falter in the 17th percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alex Call in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Call in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Enmanuel Valdez is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Enmanuel Valdez in the 12th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Batting from the same side that Mitchell Parker throws from, Enmanuel Valdez will be in a tough position in today’s game.

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