
WSH @ MIA






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 3rd
03/09/24 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Nationals vs Marlins Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Luis Garcia is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.
The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.
Hitting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Luis Garcia will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Luis Garcia has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph to 92.5-mph in the past week.
The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.
Nick Fortes will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Corbin in today’s game.
Nick Fortes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Fortes’s true offensive talent to be a .269, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .029 deviation between that mark and his actual .240 wOBA.
Connor Norby is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in LoanDepot Park.
Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Connor Norby will have an advantage today.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Connor Norby will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Connor Norby’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 94.2-mph seasonal average has dropped to 92.2-mph in the past 7 days.
The Miami Marlins have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (David Hensley, Connor Norby, Derek Hill, Cristian Pache).
Patrick Corbin has gone to his sinker 7.2% less often this year (34.3%) than he did last season (41.5%).
Joey Gallo projects as the 7th-best home run batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Joey Gallo will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Joey Gallo has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 95.2-mph.
In terms of his home runs, Joey Gallo has experienced some negative variance this year. His 15.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 23.8.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Derek Hill has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.
Derek Hill will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Corbin in today’s game.
Derek Hill will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Jose Tena is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
Jose Tena will have the handedness advantage over Max Meyer today.
Jose Tena hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Max Meyer in today’s matchup.
There has been a significant improvement in Keibert Ruiz’s launch angle from last season’s 15.1° to 19.8° this year.
Despite posting a .258 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Keibert Ruiz has suffered from bad luck given the .033 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .291.
The Washington Nationals have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Joey Gallo, Jose Tena, James Wood).
Nick Fortes, the Marlins’s expected catcher today, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Max Meyer will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his metrics in all categories.
Max Meyer’s 2387-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 80th percentile among all starting pitchers.
Andres Chaparro is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Andres Chaparro hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
In the last 7 days, Andres Chaparro’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.3% up to 11.1%.
Andres Chaparro has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.4-mph to 95-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
Jose Tena has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 17.8% seasonal rate to 35.7% over the past week.
Compared to his seasonal average of 9.8°, Jose Tena has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 21.6° angle in the last week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
James Wood is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
James Wood will hold the platoon advantage against Max Meyer today.
James Wood hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
Using Statcast data, James Wood grades out in the 87th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .343.
Dylan Crews is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
Over the last 14 days, Dylan Crews’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 20% up to 20%.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Dylan Crews has averaged an impressive 101.4-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential.
Cristian Pache will have the handedness advantage against Patrick Corbin in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Cristian Pache will hold that advantage today.
Cristian Pache has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season’s 27.84 ft/sec to 28.44 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).
Cristian Pache’s 90.7-mph average exit velocity is among the best in Major League Baseball since the start of last season: 85th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Over the past week, Jacob Young’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 1.7% up to 10%.
When it comes to his batting average, Jacob Young has been unlucky this year. His .258 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .276.
Jacob Young has posted a .323 BABIP this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile.
CJ Abrams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Meyer in today’s game.
CJ Abrams has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph to 91-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
CJ Abrams has recorded a .290 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, grading out in the 75th percentile.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Patrick Corbin’s overall pitching ability is in the 8th percentile among all SPs in the majors right now.
The #4 ballpark in the majors for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Jake Burger is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Jake Burger will have the upper hand today.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage today.
With a 5.87 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that deals with the things most within a pitcher’s control), Max Meyer checks in at the 16th percentile.
Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, David Hensley will have an advantage in today’s game.
David Hensley will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
David Hensley has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .220 rate is quite a bit lower than his .241 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Otto Lopez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Otto Lopez will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Corbin in today’s matchup.
Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Jonah Bride is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.
Jonah Bride will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin today.
Jonah Bride will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Placing in the 75th percentile, Jonah Bride has posted a .322 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
Dylan Crews has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well of late, compiling a 22.4° angle on such balls over the last two weeks.
Joey Gallo’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, rising from 38.8% on the season to 56.3% over the past 14 days.
In the last 7 days, Jake Burger’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.1-mph over the course of the season to 100.6-mph recently.
Derek Hill has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 12% seasonal rate to 25% over the past week.
Derek Hill has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 103.3-mph average over the last week to his seasonal EV of 93.8-mph.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Luis Garcia ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
There has been a significant improvement in Luis Garcia’s launch angle from last year’s 4.5° to 8.7° this season.
As it relates to his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Andres Chaparro’s launch angle in recent games (32.7° in the last 7 days) is considerably better than his 18.1° seasonal mark.
Posting a 1.73 K/BB rate this year, Jonah Bride has displayed good plate discipline, grading out in the 89th percentile.
Otto Lopez will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Otto Lopez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 88.4-mph average.
Negative Match Player Stats with Nationals vs Marlins
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense.
In today’s game, Luis Garcia is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.6% rate (95th percentile).
Among every team today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.
Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Garcia today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Garcia’s true offensive ability to be a .317, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .017 difference between that mark and his actual .334 wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Fortes in the 1st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Nick Fortes is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.
When starting against a lefty on the mound this year, Nick Fortes has been pulled from the game early 25% of the time.
Nick Fortes pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.
The #9 venue in the league for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.
In the past week’s worth of games, Connor Norby’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.7% down to 6.3%.
Despite posting a .355 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Connor Norby has been very fortunate given the .054 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .301.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Patrick Corbin in the 21st percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.
LoanDepot Park grades out as the #22 park in the league for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
With 8 batters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Patrick Corbin has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.
Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Patrick Corbin today.
Among all starters, Patrick Corbin’s fastball velocity of 90.9 mph is in the 12th percentile this year.
Joey Gallo is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 9th-worst stadium in the league for LHB home runs.
Joey Gallo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Joey Gallo in today’s matchup.
This year, Derek Hill has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 28% of his appearances when starting against lefty on the mound.
Derek Hill has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.
Derek Hill’s launch angle in recent games (0° over the last 7 days) is significantly lower than his 9.2° seasonal mark.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.7) suggests that Derek Hill has been very fortunate this year with his 27.8 actual HR/600.
Jose Tena will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Jose Tena’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 91.7-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 87.5-mph in the past 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
With 6 batters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Max Meyer will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Chaparro in the 21st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Batting from the same side that Max Meyer throws from, Andres Chaparro will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andres Chaparro in today’s game.
James Wood will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
In the past week, James Wood’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11% down to 0%.
James Wood’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 92.8-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 85.6-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Max Meyer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Crews in today’s game.
Dylan Crews will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Keibert Ruiz in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cristian Pache in the 17th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Cristian Pache is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.
37% of the time that Cristian Pache has started against a lefty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
Cristian Pache has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Jacob Young is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.
Hitting from the same side that Max Meyer throws from, Jacob Young will not have the upper hand today.
Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
CJ Abrams has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (98% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.
CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 82nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
CJ Abrams will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
The worst projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the Miami Marlins.
The 4th-deepest RF fences in Major League Baseball are found in LoanDepot Park.
In his previous game started, Patrick Corbin was in good form and conceded 0 ER.
Jake Burger pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 12.8°, Jake Burger has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.8°) over the last two weeks.
Jake Burger has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 12th percentile with a 4.47 K/BB rate.
The Washington Nationals projected offense grades out as the 4th-worst on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.
It may be sensible to expect weaker performance for the Washington Nationals offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 5th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, David Hensley ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
David Hensley is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.
In today’s game, David Hensley is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.3% rate (86th percentile).
David Hensley has been cold lately, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the last week.
Otto Lopez has been pinch hit for 10% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound this year.
Otto Lopez’s 4.9° launch angle (a reliable metric to study a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in MLB: 3rd percentile.
In notching a .265 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Otto Lopez finds himself in the 7th percentile.
Checking in at the 3rd percentile for power, Otto Lopez has averaged 5.1 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
This year, Jonah Bride has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 26% of his appearances when starting against lefty on the mound.
Jonah Bride pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Jonah Bride’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 85.5-mph seasonal average has decreased to 83-mph over the last two weeks.
In the past 7 days, Jonah Bride’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.5%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Gallo in the 0th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Derek Hill ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
When assessing his home run talent, Jacob Young ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Bride in the 18th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Derek Hill has shown weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 7th percentile with an 11.39 K/BB rate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Fortes in the 9th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 11th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
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