
WSH @ ARI




Todays Game 2 Matchup Details
Game 2
Todays Game is on Tuesday, July 30th
2024-07-30 21:40:00 EST First Pitch
Player match stat positives for Washington at Arizona Game 2 Matchup Today
Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The Barrel% of Alek Thomas has significantly improved, with an increase from 5.2% last year to 10.4% this year.
Alek Thomas has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.6-mph average to last season’s 88.9-mph mark.
Alek Thomas’s launch angle this season (5.4°) is considerably better than his 2.1° figure last season.
Kevin Newman will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Kevin Newman will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Placing in the 76th percentile, Kevin Newman has put up a .268 batting average this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
Chase Field projects as the #5 stadium in the game for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Chase Field projects as the #7 stadium in the game for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats across the board, and Ryne Nelson will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Ryne Nelson’s cutter usage has increased by 5.8% from last season to this one (14.8% to 20.6%) .
Compared to his seasonal average of 4.2°, Jacob Young has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 21.8° mark over the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Harold Ramirez as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP ability.
Harold Ramirez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Corbin Carroll will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Corbin Carroll has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph to 91.8-mph in the last two weeks.
Corbin Carroll’s launch angle recently (24.5° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably better than his 11° seasonal mark.
LaVictor Lipscomb has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.3-mph to 88.4-mph over the last 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Luis Garcia will have an advantage today.
Luis Garcia has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph to 92.4-mph over the past two weeks.
The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Patrick Corbin.
Geraldo Perdomo will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Randal Grichuk is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Randal Grichuk will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 18th-best batter in the league.
Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.
The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Patrick Corbin.
CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.
CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage over Ryne Nelson in today’s matchup.
Compared to last season, CJ Abrams has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 40.1% to 45.2% this season.
Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Ryne Nelson.
Keibert Ruiz’s launch angle this season (19.3°) is significantly higher than his 15.1° angle last season.
Despite posting a .257 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Keibert Ruiz has suffered from bad luck given the .037 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .294.
When it comes to his home run skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an edge today.
Eugenio Suarez has big-time power (92nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (28.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Patrick Corbin has a pitch-to-contact profile (18th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 8th-best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP skill.
James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
James Wood will have the handedness advantage over Ryne Nelson in today’s matchup.
James Wood has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 14.5% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the past 14 days.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Jacob Young has notched a .268 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Posting a .325 BABIP this year, Jacob Young has performed in the 79th percentile.
Patrick Corbin has relied on his sinker 6.8% less often this year (34.7%) than he did last year (41.5%).
Patrick Corbin has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his ERA this year; his 5.26 mark is a good deal higher than his 4.44 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
Patrick Corbin has posted a .331 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the unluckiest hurlers in the game on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.
Harold Ramirez has recorded a .356 BABIP this year, grading out in the 95th percentile.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Eugenio Suarez will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Eugenio Suarez has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9.4% seasonal rate to 20% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Gabriel Moreno has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Gabriel Moreno will have an edge today.
Gabriel Moreno will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Luis Garcia’s launch angle this year (8.8°) is a considerable increase over his 4.5° mark last year.
Compared to his seasonal average of 8.8°, Luis Garcia has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 17.1° mark in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Juan Yepez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
Juan Yepez has posted a .445 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, checking in at the 84th percentile.
Posting a .283 batting average since the start of last season, Juan Yepez has performed in the 92nd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Grading out in the 84th percentile, Juan Yepez has notched a .337 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.
CJ Abrams has been hot recently, putting up a .337 wOBA over the last 7 days.
CJ Abrams has posted a .336 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 77th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Patrick Corbin was in good form in his previous GS and notched 7 strikeouts.
Given the 0.73 difference between Patrick Corbin’s 6.56 K/9 and his 7.28 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors this year in terms of strikeouts and ought to see positive regression in future games.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Randal Grichuk will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (5.2) implies that Geraldo Perdomo has been unlucky this year with his 0.0 actual HR/600.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
James Wood has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.5-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 94.3-mph EV.
Tuesday Game 2 player match stat slumps with Nationals vs D-Backs Matchup
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 24th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Alek Thomas is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.
The 3rd-deepest CF dimensions in the league are found in Chase Field.
Low humidity has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the lowest humidity of all games today at 33%.
Batting from the same side that Patrick Corbin throws from, Alek Thomas encounters a tough challenge today.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Kevin Newman ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Kevin Newman is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.
Kevin Newman has been pinch hit for 19% of the time when starting against a left-handed starter this year.
Low humidity has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the lowest humidity of all games today at 30%.
Kevin Newman has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.
As it relates to plate discipline, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s skill is quite weak, putting up a 5.2 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 7th percentile.
When estimating his home run talent, Kevin Newman ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Ryne Nelson in the 22nd percentile among all starters in baseball.
Chad Fairchild grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 7th-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.
Ryne Nelson didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out in his last outing and accumulated 2 Ks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 1st percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Jacob Young is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.
Ryne Nelson will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Young today.
Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
20% of the time that Harold Ramirez has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
Ryne Nelson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Harold Ramirez today.
Harold Ramirez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Out of every team playing today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Corbin Carroll is penciled in 7th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
Hitting from the same side that Patrick Corbin throws from, Corbin Carroll will not have the upper hand in today’s game.
Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 16.5% to 9.2%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaVictor Lipscomb in the 7th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
LaVictor Lipscomb is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.
Hitting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, LaVictor Lipscomb meets a tough challenge today.
Luis Garcia is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Garcia today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 8th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 17.6°, Geraldo Perdomo has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.8°) in the last 14 days.
When starting against a lefty on the mound this year, Randal Grichuk has been pinch hit for 40% of the time.
Randal Grichuk’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 42.2% to 37.1%.
A high launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a lower rate of base hits, and Randal Grichuk’s 31.3° mark (8th percentile) this year indicates a weak hitting profile.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (25.9) provides evidence that Ketel Marte has experienced some positive variance this year with his 31.9 actual HR/600.
CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 82nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
CJ Abrams will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
CJ Abrams’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 88.6-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 85.8-mph in the last 14 days.
Keibert Ruiz’s BABIP skill is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Keibert Ruiz in today’s matchup.
Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.
Using Statcast metrics, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 25th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .229.
Eugenio Suarez has recorded a .218 batting average this year, checking in at the 17th percentile.
James Wood hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for James Wood in today’s matchup.
When estimating his home run talent, Harold Ramirez ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Patrick Corbin’s overall pitching skill is in the 10th percentile out of all SPs in baseball right now.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the game for base hits.
With 7 hitters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Patrick Corbin will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.
Gabriel Moreno has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Gabriel Moreno’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 91.6-mph figure last season has fallen off to 89.4-mph.
In the last 14 days, Gabriel Moreno’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.5-mph over the course of the season to 94.8-mph lately.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 9.2°, Gabriel Moreno has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.8°) in the past 14 days.
When estimating his home run skill, LaVictor Lipscomb ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Keibert Ruiz’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 85.2-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 82.2-mph over the last 7 days.
Keibert Ruiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 89.9-mph mark last year has lowered to 87.2-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Juan Yepez in the 21st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Ryne Nelson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Juan Yepez in today’s matchup.
The Washington Nationals projected lineup grades out as the worst of all teams today in terms of overall batting ability.
It may be wise to expect negative regression for the Washington Nationals offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 6th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.
Power-wise, Gabriel Moreno is positioned in the 12th percentile, having averaged 8.3 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, CJ Abrams’s 3.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.8%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Patrick Corbin in the 25th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.
The Arizona Diamondbacks (19.2 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today.
Juan Yepez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Juan Yepez has shown some bad exit velocity statistics lately, averaging just 81.5-mph on his flyballs over the last week.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.363) implies that Ketel Marte has experienced some positive variance this year with his .382 actual wOBA.
Randal Grichuk has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .272 rate is inflated compared to his .238 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Ryne Nelson has compiled a 7.8% Swinging Strike rate this year, placing in the 6th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
By putting up a .271 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Alek Thomas is ranked in the 9th percentile.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (4° over the last 14 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 12° seasonal figure.
