Nationals @ Cubs Series Game 3 2025 WorldSeries Matchup Details

Positives for the Washington Nationals World Series Game 3 Game Today

Brady House’s BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brady House is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.6-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats.

Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Brady House will have an edge today.

Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions in the majors.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Using Statcast data, Carson Kelly is in the 77th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .340.

Extreme groundball hitters like Nasim Nunez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.

Based on Statcast metrics, Nasim Nunez is in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .271.

Nasim Nunez is quite fast, checking in at the 98th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.81 ft/sec since the start of last season.

Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.5% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Matt Shaw pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.249) suggests that Matt Shaw has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .225 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP skill.

James Wood is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Michael Busch is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Michael Busch will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Ian Happ is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

The switch-hitting Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Jake Irvin.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nico Hoerner is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Dansby Swanson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Dansby Swanson has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .309 rate is a fair amount lower than his .328 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of power, Carson Kelly has performed in the 76th percentile, having paced 24.2 HRs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Roberto Ortiz) in charge of the strike zone today.

Wrigley Field ranks as the #3 stadium in the game for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

With a 0.43 discrepancy between Jake Irvin’s 6.20 K/9 and his 6.63 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in MLB since the start of last season when it comes to strikeouts and figures to perform better in future games.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Carson Kelly ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When estimating his home run talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Daylen Lile is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.319) implies that Daylen Lile has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .298 actual batting average.

Jacob Young’s BABIP ability is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jacob Young will hold the platoon advantage over Shota Imanaga in today’s game.

Extreme flyball hitters like Jacob Young generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.

Joey Wiemer is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.

Joey Wiemer will hold the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today’s game.

Joey Wiemer pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Carson Kelly (the Cubs’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) projects as a weak pitch framer.

The Washington Nationals have 6 bats in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Shota Imanaga today.

Given that flyball hitters have a sizeable edge over groundball pitchers, Shota Imanaga and his 45.6% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard spot in today’s game matching up with 3 opposing GB batters.

Shota Imanaga’s 90.2-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season is in the 9th percentile out of all starters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Shota Imanaga in the 75th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

The Washington Nationals have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Brady House, Joey Wiemer, James Wood).

Daylen Lile has put up a .364 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 90th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Moises Ballesteros’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Moises Ballesteros will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin today.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Moises Ballesteros will hold that advantage today.

Andres Chaparro is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Andres Chaparro will have an advantage in today’s game.

Andres Chaparro pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Nico Hoerner has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile with a 1.22 K/BB rate.

Utilizing Statcast data, Moises Ballesteros grades out in the 80th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .333.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Negatives with the Chicago Cubs World Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 7th-worst field in MLB for RHB batting average.

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-coldest weather of all games on the slate today at 57°.

Brady House has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brady House in today’s game.

Carson Kelly’s BABIP skill is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Jake Irvin will hold the platoon advantage over Carson Kelly in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Nasim Nunez ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Nasim Nunez is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Nasim Nunez will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Shota Imanaga in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 13th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The league’s 7th-highest fence height (on average) can be found at Wrigley Field.

The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Shota Imanaga,Matt Shaw is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.

Jake Irvin will hold the platoon advantage against Matt Shaw in today’s matchup.

Ranked in the 2nd percentile, Matt Shaw’s average exit velocity of 84.7 mph ranks among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season.

Wrigley Field profiles as the #25 stadium in baseball for overall lefty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the same side that Shota Imanaga throws from, James Wood will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 1st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Jake Irvin will hold the platoon advantage over Alex Bregman in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.312) provides evidence that Alex Bregman has been lucky since the start of last season with his .355 actual wOBA.

11% of the time that Michael Busch has started against a righty hurler since the start of last season, he has been pulled from the game early.

In today’s matchup, Michael Busch is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.8% rate (82nd percentile).

Among all stadiums, Wrigley Field’s right field dimensions are the 5th-deepest.

The #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

Jake Irvin will hold the platoon advantage against Nico Hoerner in today’s matchup.

Nico Hoerner has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 6.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit higher than his 3.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 7th-worst ballpark in the game for lefty batting average.

Michael Busch’s speed has dropped off this season. His 26.5 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.9 ft/sec now.

Dansby Swanson is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Jake Irvin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dansby Swanson in today’s matchup.

Dansby Swanson has exhibited bad plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 23rd percentile with a 3.44 K/BB rate.

James Wood will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

In terms of his home runs, Brady House has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His 10.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 5.1.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jake Irvin in the 10th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jake Irvin is projected to throw 83 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 9th-most on the slate today.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the Chicago Cubs with a 20.2% underlying K%.

Keibert Ruiz, the Nationals’s expected catcher today, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

CJ Abrams is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the same side that Shota Imanaga throws from, CJ Abrams has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

In terms of his batting average, Alex Bregman has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .272 BA has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .230.

Carson Kelly has not been good at making hard contact. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (105.6 mph) rank him among MLB’s worst: in the 19th percentile since the start of last season.

Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

By putting up a 5.53 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Pete Crow-Armstrong has demonstrated weak plate discipline, placing in the 5th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Shota Imanaga throws from, Daylen Lile has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a key talent for batting average), ranking in the 2nd percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.

Jacob Young is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.

Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Joey Wiemer in today’s matchup.

The Washington Nationals projected lineup grades out as the weakest of all teams today in terms of overall hitting skill.

The Washington Nationals have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in the future,Wrigley Field grades out as the #21 park in baseball for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Shota Imanaga to be on a bit of a short leash in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 81 pitches.

Moises Ballesteros is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Moises Ballesteros has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 26% of the time when starting against a righty hurler since the start of last season.

Andres Chaparro’s BABIP skill is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When assessing his home run talent, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Since the start of last season, Nico Hoerner’s 2.3% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 6th percentile among his peers.

Since the start of last season, Nico Hoerner’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to study power) is in the 4th percentile at 87.6 mph.

Alex Bregman is not very quick, checking in at the 18th percentile in Sprint Speed at 26 ft/sec since the start of last season.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Andres Chaparro in today’s matchup.

Joey Wiemer’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, James Wood ranks in just the 5th percentile with a 6.2° launch angle, which is among the lowest angles in the majors.

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