Mets vs Phillies match player stats Sunday, September 15th 2024. New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Series Game 3

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Mets vs Phillies match player stats Sunday, September 15th 2024. New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Series Game 3

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Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 15th
15/09/24 13:35:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Mets vs Phillies Series Game 3 Matchup Today

When assessing his home run skill, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

J.D. Martinez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums.

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, J.D. Martinez will have an edge in today’s game.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 5th-best home run batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

Among every team today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Johan Rojas will have the handedness advantage against Paul Blackburn in today’s matchup.

Johan Rojas will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Harrison Bader will have an advantage in today’s game.

Harrison Bader pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Harrison Bader has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.4-mph to 93.5-mph over the last 7 days.

Harrison Bader has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90-mph average to last year’s 88-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

J.T. Realmuto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Blackburn in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Paul Blackburn throws from, Weston Wilson will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Weston Wilson will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Buddy Kennedy will have the handedness advantage over Paul Blackburn today.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Buddy Kennedy will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Mark Vientos is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

Mark Vientos will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today’s matchup.

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Nick Castellanos will have the handedness advantage over Paul Blackburn in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Jose Iglesias is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Jose Iglesias will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 6th-best field in the majors for RHB home runs.

Bryson Stott has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph to 89-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the game’s 12th-best home run hitter.

Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Brandon Nimmo has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .226 BA is deflated compared to his .249 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 16th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average talent.

Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Trea Turner will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Blackburn in today’s game.

When assessing his home run ability, Weston Wilson ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nestor Ceja grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Francisco Alvarez (the Mets’s expected catcher today) grades out as a good pitch framer.

David Peterson has experienced some negative variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, notching a 7.28 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.62 — a 1.34 K/9 gap.

Among all major league stadiums, Citizens Bank Park’s left field dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.

Over the past 14 days, Jose Iglesias’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 84.5-mph over the course of the season to 90.8-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Cristopher Sanchez in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent.

Generating 17.7 outs per start this year on average, Cristopher Sanchez ranks in the 88th percentile.

The New York Mets have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse the rest of the season, Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Considering that groundball pitchers hold a sizeable advantage over groundball hitters, Cristopher Sanchez and his 55.6% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good position in this matchup matching up with 3 opposing GB hitters.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Cristopher Sanchez will hold that advantage today.

Cristopher Sanchez’s fastball velocity has increased 2.2 mph this season (93.8 mph) over where it was last year (91.6 mph).

Pete Alonso will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negative Match Player Stats with Mets vs Phillies Series Game 3

The #2 stadium in baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to worse offense.

J.D. Martinez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

J.D. Martinez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 96.9-mph average last year has decreased to 94.5-mph.

J.D. Martinez’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (15°) is considerably lower than his 18.9° figure last season.

The #2 venue in the majors for suppressing BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

Hitting from the same side that Paul Blackburn throws from, Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Despite posting a .370 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kyle Schwarber has had positive variance on his side given the .015 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .355.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 6th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Johan Rojas is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Extreme flyball hitters like Johan Rojas usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Paul Blackburn.

Harrison Bader is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Harrison Bader in today’s matchup.

Ranking in the 21st percentile, Harrison Bader sits with a .289 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

J.T. Realmuto’s launch angle this year (8.5°) is quite a bit worse than his 16.6° mark last season.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 8.5°, J.T. Realmuto has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.7°) in the past two weeks.

With a 3.66 K/BB rate this year, J.T. Realmuto has shown weak plate discipline, placing in the 24th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Weston Wilson in the 15th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Weston Wilson is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Weston Wilson has been lucky since the start of last season. His .392 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .345.

Buddy Kennedy is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

In notching a .900 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Buddy Kennedy grades out in the 8th percentile for power.

Bryson Stott is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

Paul Blackburn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryson Stott in today’s matchup.

Bryson Stott’s launch angle lately (-0.8° in the last week) is considerably lower than his 14.2° seasonal angle.

Mark Vientos will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mark Vientos’s true offensive talent to be a .317, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .051 difference between that figure and his actual .368 wOBA.

Extreme groundball batters like Jose Iglesias tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jose Iglesias today.

Jose Iglesias has been lucky this year, posting a .353 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .291 — a .062 difference.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Johan Rojas ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Johan Rojas’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 12.9% to 9.1%.

When it comes to his home run talent, Bryson Stott ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Posting a 5.05 K/BB rate this year, Harrison Bader has shown weak plate discipline, grading out in the 6th percentile.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Pete Alonso today.

In the last week, Pete Alonso’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.3% down to 0%.

Pete Alonso has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph dropping to 83.4-mph over the last 7 days.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 14.3°, Pete Alonso has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.8°) over the past 14 days.

Hitting from the same side that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

In the last two weeks, Brandon Nimmo’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.9% down to 3%.

Trea Turner has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .298 BA is significantly inflated relative to his .264 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, David Peterson is projected to throw 85 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 13th-most of all pitchers on the slate.

The Philadelphia Phillies have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today’s game.

David Peterson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

David Peterson didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out in his previous start and posted 2 Ks.

It may be wise to expect worse results for the Philadelphia Phillies offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 4th-luckiest offense in the league this year.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #25 ballpark in the league for BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When it comes to his home run talent, Jose Iglesias ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .351 mark is considerably higher than his .327 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Projected catcher J.T. Realmuto projects as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Over his last 3 GS, Cristopher Sanchez has suffered a substantial fall off in his fastball spin rate: from 2115 rpm over the entire season to 2064 rpm lately.

New York Mets batters collectively grade out 5th- in the game for power this year when judging by their 9.1% Barrel%.

Paul Blackburn will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Harper in today’s game.

Bryce Harper has struggled with his Barrel%; his 15.4% rate last year has fallen off to 9.8% this season.

Bryce Harper’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 93.7-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 91.2-mph over the past 14 days.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Brandon Nimmo’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 92.7 mph to 87.7 mph.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (21.9) provides evidence that Bryce Harper has had positive variance on his side this year with his 27.4 actual HR/600.

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