Mets vs Orioles match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Thursday, July 10th

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Mets vs Orioles match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Thursday, July 10th

NYM @ BAL

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

New York Mets at Baltimore Orioles
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Thursday, July 10th
10/07/25 17:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Mets vs Orioles Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jordan Westburg will hold that advantage today.

With a .343 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Jordan Westburg is ranked in the 86th percentile for hitting ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Hagenman today… and moreover, Hagenman has a large platoon split.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage today.

Since the start of last season, Colton Cowser’s 13.7% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 92nd percentile among his peers.

As it relates to his home run skill, Colton Cowser ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jackson Holliday’s BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jackson Holliday is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Given Justin Hagenman’s large platoon split, Jackson Holliday will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

Extreme flyball bats like Jackson Holliday are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Justin Hagenman.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

Francisco Lindor pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

By putting up a .346 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Francisco Lindor is ranked in the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Ryan O’Hearn is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Considering Justin Hagenman’s large platoon split, Ryan O’Hearn will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Ryan O’Hearn will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in MLB.

Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

In the league, Oriole Park at Camden Yards’s right field fences are the shallowest.

Juan Soto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage over Tomoyuki Sugano in today’s matchup.

Brandon Nimmo will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Baltimore Orioles has just 1 same-handed RP.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the league.

Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Pete Alonso has made notable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last year to 20.3% this year.

Pete Alonso has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94-mph average to last year’s 89.7-mph average.

Pete Alonso projects as the 8th-best home run hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano today.

Jeff McNeil may have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Baltimore Orioles has just 1 same-handed RP.

Jeff McNeil pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Jeff McNeil’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 39.9% to 46.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 81st percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Ramon Laureano will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Sporting a .359 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ramon Laureano is ranked in the 86th percentile.

Ramon Laureano’s BABIP skill is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Tyler O’Neill as MLB’s 14th-best home run batter.

Tyler O’Neill will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

In the last week’s worth of games, Tyler O’Neill has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, putting up a 50° angle.

Tyler O’Neill has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .273 mark is quite a bit lower than his .315 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O’Neill in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

The switch-hitting Ronny Mauricio will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Tomoyuki Sugano.

Ronny Mauricio pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage over Tomoyuki Sugano in today’s matchup.

Brett Baty will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Baltimore Orioles has just 1 same-handed RP.

Extreme groundball hitters like Brett Baty tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano.

Brett Baty has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, improving his 5.5% rate last year to 14.6% this year.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Considering Justin Hagenman’s large platoon split, Gunnar Henderson will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Gunnar Henderson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Negative Match Player Stats with Mets vs Orioles Series Game 3

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 3rd-deepest LF dimensions among all stadiums.

Justin Hagenman will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Westburg in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Hagenman’s large platoon split.

Jordan Westburg’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 48.4% to 42.1%.

Jordan Westburg has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 33.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 29.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Colton Cowser is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Colton Cowser has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Colton Cowser’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (13.8°) is significantly lower than his 17.7° mark last year.

Colton Cowser has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .332 mark is inflated compared to his .293 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jackson Holliday has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

From last year to this one, Jackson Holliday’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16.4% to 12.9%.

Jackson Holliday’s speed has dropped off this season. His 29.36 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.7 ft/sec now.

When it comes to plate discipline, Jackson Holliday’s skill is quite poor, putting up a 4.21 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 18th percentile.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Tomoyuki Sugano in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Francisco Lindor today.

Francisco Lindor has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 13.6% rate last year has fallen off to 8.3% this season.

Francisco Lindor’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (14.8°) is significantly lower than his 18.8° mark last year.

A high launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a lower rate of base hits, and Francisco Lindor’s 30.5° mark (11th percentile) this year indicates a weak hitting profile.

As it relates to his home runs, Francisco Lindor has had some very good luck this year. His 26.5 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 22.0.

Ryan O’Hearn has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will be challenged by the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

As it relates to his home runs, Ryan O’Hearn has experienced some positive variance this year. His 21.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 16.3.

Despite posting a .364 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ryan O’Hearn has experienced some positive variance given the .026 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .338.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Juan Soto in today’s matchup.

This year, there has been a decline in Juan Soto’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.73 ft/sec last year to 26 ft/sec currently.

Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

This year, there has been a decline in Brandon Nimmo’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.98 ft/sec last year to 27.32 ft/sec currently.

Brandon Nimmo is in the 25th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (41.3% rate this year).

Brandon Nimmo has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 29.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal higher than his 24.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Pete Alonso encounters a tough challenge today.

Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Despite posting a .397 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Pete Alonso has experienced some positive variance given the .028 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .369.

As it relates to his home run ability, Jeff McNeil ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jeff McNeil is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

12% of the time that Jeff McNeil has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Jeff McNeil will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his home runs, Jeff McNeil has had positive variance on his side this year. His 25.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.5.

Jeff McNeil’s BABIP skill is projected in the 16th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jeff McNeil’s true offensive talent to be a .303, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .043 difference between that mark and his actual .346 wOBA.

Given Justin Hagenman’s large platoon split, Ramon Laureano will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today.

Today, Ramon Laureano is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.1% rate (89th percentile).

Ramon Laureano’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (16.9°) is a significant dropoff from his 19.9° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ramon Laureano’s true offensive skill to be a .318, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .042 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .360 wOBA.

Ranked in the 23rd percentile, Ramon Laureano’s average exit velocity of 87.8 mph ranks among the lowest in baseball this year.

Tyler O’Neill has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Because of Justin Hagenman’s large platoon split, Tyler O’Neill will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.

In today’s matchup, Tyler O’Neill is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35% rate (89th percentile).

Tyler O’Neill’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 90.9-mph figure last season has dropped to 87.4-mph.

Tyler O’Neill has compiled a .226 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 25th percentile.

Ronny Mauricio is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ronny Mauricio today.

Ronny Mauricio has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly of late, compiling a -2.7° angle on such balls in the last week’s worth of games.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Ronny Mauricio has had some very good luck this year. His .322 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .284.

Ronny Mauricio is notably slow, grading out in the 11th percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.5 ft/sec this year.

Brett Baty is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

Brett Baty has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 11% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Today, Brett Baty is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.6% rate (83rd percentile).

Brett Baty will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

When it comes to plate discipline, Brett Baty’s skill is quite poor, putting up a 3.89 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 22nd percentile.

From last season to this one, Gunnar Henderson’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 94.7 mph to 90.9 mph.

Gunnar Henderson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 14.1% to 9.1%.

Over the past 7 days, Gunnar Henderson has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a -6.2° angle.

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