Mets @ Nationals Matchup Details

Positives for the New York Mets Game Today

In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park’s right field fences are the 7th-shallowest.

,The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

,The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.

,Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, A.J. Ewing will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,In the past week’s worth of games, A.J. Ewing has displayed impressive power, recording a a 25% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power).

,Carson Benge has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (73% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

,Carson Benge will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin today.

,Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Luis Torrens has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Over the past two weeks, Luis Torrens’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 97.8-mph of late.

,Luis Torrens has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .219 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .302 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Mark Vientos is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

,Nationals Park has the 10th-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects A.J. Ewing in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Extreme flyball batters like Nasim Nunez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Christian Scott.

,Nasim Nunez will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Daylen Lile’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Daylen Lile is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, CJ Abrams ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,CJ Abrams is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, CJ Abrams will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 7th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Bo Bichette is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

,Bo Bichette has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Brett Baty will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,In the past 7 days, Brett Baty’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.3-mph over the course of the season to 104-mph recently.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Jake Irvin will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his metrics across the board.

,In his last GS, Jake Irvin was rolling and compiled 7 strikeouts.

,With 8 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Christian Scott encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.

,Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Christian Scott (38.8% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 5 FB hitters in Washington’s projected offense.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Marcus Semien has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.3% seasonal rate to 13.8% over the last 14 days.

,Marcus Semien has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal figure of 91-mph.

,MJ Melendez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

,MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today’s matchup.

,MJ Melendez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Luis Garcia Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Christian Scott.

,Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage today.

,When estimating his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,James Wood is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Luis Garcia Jr. ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Extreme groundball hitters like Jacob Young are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Christian Scott.

,Jacob Young will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Jose Tena’s BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jose Tena has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Christian Scott in the 81st percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

,Christian Scott’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 starts (2446 rpm) has been significantly better than than his seasonal rate (2349 rpm).

,Among all starting pitchers, Christian Scott’s fastball velocity of 95.1 mph ranks in the 75th percentile this year.

,Batting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, Jose Tena will have an edge in today’s game.

,James Wood projects as the 14th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,When assessing his home run ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Daylen Lile ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jake Irvin performed well in his previous start and allowed 2 ER.

,Given the 1.16 discrepancy between Jake Irvin’s 5.91 ERA and his 4.75 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league this year and figures to positively regress going forward.

,Placing lowest in baseball since the start of last season, New York Mets hitters collectively have put up a 10.8° launch angle on their highest exit velocity balls (a reliable metric to study power skills).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Luis Torrens has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .268 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .350.

Negatives with the Washington Nationals Game Today

When estimating his home run ability, A.J. Ewing ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,A.J. Ewing is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,Nationals Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.

,A.J. Ewing will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Carson Benge today.

,In the past 14 days, Carson Benge’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 92.1 mph to 89.7 mph.

,Carson Benge’s 9.9° launch angle (an advanced standard to evaluate a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the lowest in the majors: 23rd percentile.

,Juan Soto will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Juan Soto has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 19.5% seasonal rate has fallen to 11.8% in the last 14 days.

,When it comes to his home run skill, Luis Torrens ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Luis Torrens is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

,When starting against a righty hurler this year, Luis Torrens has been pulled from the game early 19% of the time.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the worst field in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters.

,Mark Vientos has been pulled from the game early 15% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

,Nationals Park grades out as the #27 stadium in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Batting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Mark Vientos will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mark Vientos in today’s game.

,Nationals Park projects as the #29 venue in the game for overall lefty offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Juan Soto’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 42.2% to 34.1%.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Nasim Nunez ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nasim Nunez is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Nasim Nunez’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.4%.

,CJ Abrams has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week.

,CJ Abrams has been lucky this year, notching a .396 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .073 discrepancy.

,Jake Irvin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette today.

,Bo Bichette will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Bo Bichette has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph dropping to 83.2-mph over the last week.

,Brett Baty is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

,When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Brett Baty has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 17% of the time.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brett Baty today.

,Nationals Park grades out as the #27 venue in baseball for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Keibert Ruiz, the Nationals’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Jake Irvin’s curveball percentage has decreased by 6.4% from last year to this one (29.9% to 23.5%) .

,Jake Irvin’s 91.9-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 19th percentile among all starters.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Christian Scott’s overall pitching skill ranks in the 82nd percentile among all SPs in the league currently.

,The 2nd-weakest projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Washington Nationals.

,It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the Washington Nationals offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the luckiest offense in MLB this year.

,Projected catcher Luis Torrens grades out as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 20th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Marcus Semien is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Hitting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Marcus Semien meets a tough challenge today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 8th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,This year, MJ Melendez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 49% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for MJ Melendez in today’s game.

,This year, Luis Garcia Jr. has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 47% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

,Luis Garcia Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 15.3% to 10.8%.

,Keibert Ruiz’s BABIP ability is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Keibert Ruiz has been pulled from the game early 12% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Marcus Semien in today’s game.

,Marcus Semien’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 88.4-mph EV last year has lowered to 86.1-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 1st percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Jacob Young is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

,Christian Scott will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Young today.

,Jacob Young’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 87.5-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 84.2-mph over the past two weeks.

,When starting against a righty hurler this year, Jose Tena has been pinch hit for 35% of the time.

,Despite posting a .329 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jose Tena has been lucky given the .033 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .296.

,Sporting a 6.700 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jose Tena grades out in the 19th percentile for power.

,Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Christian Scott is projected to throw 81 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of all pitchers on the slate.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the Washington Nationals with a 20.2% underlying K%.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Nasim Nunez ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,From last season to this one, Brett Baty’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 14.8% to 10.1%.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Keibert Ruiz ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,As it relates to his home runs, Keibert Ruiz has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His 10.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 0.9.

,In terms of power, Jose Tena has performed in the 24th percentile, having hit 4.6 dingers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

,MJ Melendez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 15.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week.

,In notching a .237 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, MJ Melendez has performed in the 14th percentile for offensive ability.

,With a 12.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Daylen Lile is ranked in the 21st percentile for power.

,Mark Vientos has displayed poor plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 19th percentile with a 3.88 K/BB rate.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jacob Young ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Recording 14.2 outs per outing this year on average, Jake Irvin places him the 19th percentile.

,The New York Mets have been the unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future,With a .235 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Bo Bichette is positioned in the 7th percentile.

,Jake Irvin will have the handedness advantage against Luis Torrens today.

,Nasim Nunez has been cold recently, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

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