Mets vs Dodgers match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, June 4th

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Mets vs Dodgers match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, June 4th

NYM @ LAD

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, June 4th
04/06/25 22:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Mets vs Dodgers Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense projects as the strongest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.

Jansen Visconti projects as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be umping in today’s game.

Dodger Stadium grades out as the #3 park in MLB for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium’s CF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.

In the league, Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.

Griffin Canning’s slider utilization has risen by 8.7% from last season to this one (24% to 32.7%) .

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball.

Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best park in the majors for left-handed home runs.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 8th-best park in the game for left-handed batting average.

Francisco Lindor has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.5% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Max Muncy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Griffin Canning in today’s matchup.

Batters such as Max Muncy with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Griffin Canning who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams playing today.

Max Muncy will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

The #8 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball hitters like Mookie Betts tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Griffin Canning.

The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

Tony Gonsolin has a reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 6 opposite-handed batters in this game.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Tony Gonsolin will hold that advantage today.

Tony Gonsolin’s high utilization percentage of his secondary pitches (59.5% this year) should work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

In his previous outing, Tony Gonsolin was firing on all cylinders and compiled 9 strikeouts.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Will Smith ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Will Smith is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Will Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball batters like Will Smith tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Griffin Canning.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Tony Gonsolin throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage in today’s game.

Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tony Gonsolin in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the game’s 10th-best home run hitter.

Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

Pete Alonso projects as the 16th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 78th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Batting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Michael Conforto will have an edge in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Michael Conforto will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Tony Gonsolin throws from, Jeff McNeil will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Jeff McNeil has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 86.4-mph average.

Jeff McNeil’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, increasing from 14.3% on the season to 27.3% in the last week’s worth of games.

Compared to last season, Jeff McNeil has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 39.9% to 50% this season.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Teoscar Hernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

When estimating his batting average skill, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Freddie Freeman will have an edge in today’s game.

Freddie Freeman projects as the 15th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Hitters such as Andy Pages with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Griffin Canning who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Batting from the opposite that Tony Gonsolin throws from, Brett Baty will have an advantage in today’s game.

Extreme flyball bats like Brett Baty are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tony Gonsolin.

Jared Young has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

Jared Young will hold the platoon advantage over Tony Gonsolin in today’s game.

Negative Match Player Stats with Mets vs Dodgers Series Game 3

It may be best to expect weaker performance for the Los Angeles Dodgers offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 8th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Francisco Alvarez (the Mets’s expected catcher today) grades out as a good pitch framer.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

Griffin Canning is an extreme groundball pitcher (43.6% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #3 HR venue in the majors — in this game.

Griffin Canning was firing on all cylinders in his last start and allowed 2 ER.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 9th-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Griffin Canning (43.6% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 4 FB hitters in Los Angeles’s projected batting order.

Griffin Canning will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Griffin Canning’s 2156-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 10th percentile among all starters.

Shohei Ohtani has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 49.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit higher than his 36.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will bat from his bad side against Tony Gonsolin in this game.

Today, Francisco Lindor is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.6% rate (94th percentile).

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Francisco Lindor today.

Francisco Lindor’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 44.4% to 38.3%.

Francisco Lindor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 16.6% to 11.9%.

Max Muncy is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

Max Muncy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

With a .223 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Max Muncy has performed in the 16th percentile.

By putting up a .268 BABIP since the start of last season, Max Muncy is positioned in the 20th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Hitting from the same side that Griffin Canning throws from, Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage today.

Placing in the 13th percentile, Mookie Betts has put up a .249 BABIP this year.

Mookie Betts has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 20.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably higher than his 13.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tony Gonsolin to throw 84 pitches today (9th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The New York Mets projected lineup grades out as the 5th-strongest on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability.

Projected catcher Will Smith profiles as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Tony Gonsolin (36.9% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today’s game with 2 FB hitters in New York’s projected batting order.

Griffin Canning will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Smith today.

In the last 7 days, Will Smith’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.5% down to 0%.

In the last 7 days, Will Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 92.2 mph to 84.2 mph.

In terms of his batting average, Will Smith has been very fortunate this year. His .333 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .290.

Over the past 7 days, Will Smith’s 6.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.9%.

Juan Soto will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

There has been a significant decline in Juan Soto’s launch angle from last year’s 10.6° to 6.5° this year.

Juan Soto’s launch angle lately (3.2° over the last 14 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 6.5° seasonal angle.

Over the past 14 days, Juan Soto’s 28.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.2%.

Juan Soto has compiled a .249 BABIP this year, ranking in the 13th percentile.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brandon Nimmo today.

Placing in the 16th percentile, Brandon Nimmo has put up a .251 BABIP this year.

Brandon Nimmo has struggled to lift the ball in recent games, notching a 7.8° launch angle in the last 14 days.

Hitting from the same side that Tony Gonsolin throws from, Pete Alonso will have a tough challenge today.

Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pete Alonso’s true offensive ability to be a .365, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .028 deviation between that mark and his actual .393 wOBA.

Michael Conforto is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.

This year, Michael Conforto has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 14% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Michael Conforto has recorded a .278 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, placing in the 6th percentile.

Placing in the 2nd percentile, Michael Conforto has notched a .172 batting average this year.

Posting a .279 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Michael Conforto is positioned in the 19th percentile.

Michael Conforto’s BABIP ability is projected in the 23rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 13th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Jeff McNeil is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Jeff McNeil is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.3% rate (75th percentile).

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeff McNeil in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 15th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Griffin Canning will hold the platoon advantage against Teoscar Hernandez today.

Teoscar Hernandez has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

Teoscar Hernandez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, going from 15.7% on the season to 0% in the past week.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Teoscar Hernandez has had some very good luck this year. His .365 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .343.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (26.0) provides evidence that Teoscar Hernandez has been very fortunate this year with his 32.6 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Freddie Freeman’s true offensive ability to be a .365, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .075 gap between that figure and his actual .440 wOBA.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Freddie Freeman’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 95 mph to 89.7 mph.

Andy Pages is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Griffin Canning throws from, Andy Pages will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.9) suggests that Andy Pages has had positive variance on his side this year with his 29.3 actual HR/600.

Andy Pages’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, falling from 19.5% on the season to 10% over the past week.

Brett Baty is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brett Baty in today’s matchup.

Jared Young will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

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