
NYM @ ARI






Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Thursday, August 29th
29/08/24 15:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Mets vs D-Backs Series Game 3 Series Game 3 Matchup Today
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.
The #2 field in baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.
The weather report projects the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Jake McCarthy is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
Hitting from the opposite that Paul Blackburn throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an advantage today.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.
The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
When estimating his home run skill, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Over the past 7 days, J.D. Martinez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.3% up to 30%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.
Jeff McNeil will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today’s matchup.
Compared to last year, Jeff McNeil has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.7% to 15.9% this season.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jesse Winker ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jesse Winker is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
Josh Bell will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Jesse Winker will have an edge in today’s game.
J.D. Martinez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 91-mph average.
Geraldo Perdomo will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Geraldo Perdomo has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.4-mph average to last season’s 87.1-mph average.
Geraldo Perdomo’s launch angle of late (22.8° over the past 14 days) is significantly better than his 17.1° seasonal figure.
Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Pete Alonso has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 93.7-mph in the past two weeks.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Mark Vientos is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
Corbin Carroll will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Blackburn in today’s game.
As it relates to his home run ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Mark Vientos has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 95.4-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.
As it relates to his home run talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage today.
Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Eugenio Suarez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.8-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal mark of 92.5-mph.
Francisco Lindor has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 13.3% seasonal rate to 20.5% in the past two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage against Zac Gallen today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake McCarthy has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Alonso in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Negative Match Player Stats with Mets vs D-Backs Series Game 3
As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Zac Gallen in today’s game.
Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Lindor today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 11th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
In MLB, Chase Field’s CF dimensions are the 3rd-deepest.
Compared to his seasonal angle of 11.3°, Jake McCarthy has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.5°) in the past two weeks.
Despite posting a .354 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake McCarthy has had positive variance on his side given the .047 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .307.
From last season to this one, Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 40.3% to 34%.
Over the last two weeks, Corbin Carroll’s 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 34%.
Corbin Carroll has notched a .231 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Corbin Carroll has compiled a .243 BABIP this year, placing in the 6th percentile.
Paul Blackburn will hold the platoon advantage against Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today’s matchup.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 91.9 mph to 88.5 mph.
In the last two weeks, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s 6.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.5%.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .275 rate is a fair amount higher than his .256 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
J.D. Martinez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (97% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
Batting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, J.D. Martinez meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
In today’s game, J.D. Martinez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35% rate (83rd percentile).
Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for J.D. Martinez today.
Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Batting from the same side that Paul Blackburn throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have a tough challenge today.
When assessing his home run ability, Jeff McNeil ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jeff McNeil is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.
Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Jeff McNeil will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Jeff McNeil’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 87-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 81.8-mph in the last week.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jesse Winker in today’s game.
Jesse Winker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.7% to 9%.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jesse Winker has had some very good luck this year. His .344 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .323.
Chase Field grades out as the #29 park in the league for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Over the last 14 days, Josh Bell’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.7% down to 0%.
Josh Bell has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 80.5-mph in the past 7 days.
Josh Bell’s launch angle lately (-3.2° over the last two weeks) is significantly lower than his 10.9° seasonal angle.
Francisco Alvarez is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.
Zac Gallen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Francisco Alvarez in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Alvarez in today’s game.
In the last week’s worth of games, Francisco Alvarez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6% down to 0%.
Josh Bell has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .311 figure is inflated compared to his .291 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Chase Field projects as the #29 field in MLB for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 14th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Geraldo Perdomo will bat from his bad side against Paul Blackburn in this game.
From last season to this one, Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 19% to 13.7%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 15th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Zac Gallen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pete Alonso today.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Pete Alonso in today’s matchup.
Over the past week, Pete Alonso’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.1% down to 0%.
Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Mark Vientos will have a disadvantage today.
Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mark Vientos in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mark Vientos’s true offensive skill to be a .317, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .056 deviation between that figure and his actual .373 wOBA.
Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 16.5% to 9.5%.
Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, going from 9.5% on the season to 5.9% in the last 7 days.
Pete Alonso’s launch angle in recent games (-2° over the past 7 days) is considerably worse than his 14.4° seasonal figure.
Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Brandon Nimmo has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 9.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last 7 days.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.9°, Brandon Nimmo’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly in recent games (3.3° in the past 14 days).
Sporting a .232 batting average this year, Brandon Nimmo has performed in the 25th percentile.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 15.2°, Jeff McNeil has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (9.1°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
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