Mets vs Cardinals match player stats | 2025 Friday, May 2nd

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Mets vs Cardinals match player stats | 2025 Friday, May 2nd

NYM @ STL

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Matchup Details

New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals

Todays Game is on Friday, May 2nd
02/05/25 20:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Mets vs Cardinals Matchup Today

Victor Scott II will hold the platoon advantage over Clay Holmes in today’s game.

The New York Mets don’t have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Victor Scott II is assured to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the whole game.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Victor Scott II will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Victor Scott II has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.4-mph to 90.6-mph in the past week.

Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Willson Contreras is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Willson Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The 2nd-best projected batting order of the day in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the New York Mets.

Sonny Gray’s 91.3-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a big 1-mph decline from last year’s 92.3-mph figure.

New York Mets hitters as a group have been one of the best in Major League Baseball this year (3rd-) in regard to their 90.4-mph average exit velocity.

When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Sonny Gray in the 91st percentile among all starters in baseball.

Sonny Gray’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 games started (2478 rpm) has been quite a bit better than than his seasonal rate (2387 rpm).

Sonny Gray’s four-seamer usage has decreased by 6.3% from last year to this one (23.8% to 17.5%) .

Jesse Winker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Jesse Winker will have an edge in today’s game.

Jesse Winker has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 104.6-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal figure of 99.6-mph.

In terms of plate discipline, Jesse Winker’s talent is quite impressive, sporting a 1.75 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 86th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jesse Winker ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Compared to his seasonal average of 11.8°, Francisco Lindor has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 21° figure over the past week.

Francisco Lindor has recorded a .271 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Grading out in the 94th percentile, Francisco Lindor has posted a .370 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Francisco Lindor has averaged 31.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 96th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

Nolan Arenado will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Nolan Arenado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, rising from 17.2% on the season to 33.3% in the past 7 days.

In terms of plate discipline, Nolan Arenado’s skill is quite good, sporting a 1.77 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 86th percentile.

Nolan Arenado has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 5.4% seasonal rate to 13.3% over the last week.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in the majors.

Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray in today’s game.

Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Juan Soto has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 100-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 92.8-mph EV.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage against Sonny Gray today.

Brandon Nimmo has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 92.8-mph average.

Brandon Nimmo has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.9-mph average to last season’s 93.1-mph EV.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.254) may lead us to conclude that Brandon Nimmo has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .223 actual batting average.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 14th-best hitter in baseball.

Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Pete Alonso has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last year to 19.8% this year.

Pete Alonso’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 94.3-mph now compared to just 89.7-mph then.

Pete Alonso has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 105.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 96.2-mph.

Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an edge today.

With a 1.84 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jeff McNeil has demonstrated strong plate discipline, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Clay Holmes in the 77th percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.

Clay Holmes’s high usage rate of his secondary pitches (58% this year) ought to work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

Tyrone Taylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Over the past week, Tyrone Taylor’s 60% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.7%.

Tyrone Taylor has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 11.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit lower than his 15.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.258) implies that Tyrone Taylor has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .242 actual batting average.

Tyrone Taylor has recorded a .312 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 91st percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Mark Vientos is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Posting a .344 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Mark Vientos grades out in the 84th percentile.

Mark Vientos’s launch angle in recent games (16.7° over the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 11.6° seasonal figure.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When assessing his home run skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Francisco Alvarez has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, lifting balls between 23° and 34° 30% of the time over the last 7 days.

Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Francisco Alvarez has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.8 mph (an advanced metric to assess power), grading out in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage against Clay Holmes today.

Lars Nootbaar is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever all game since none of the available options for the New York Mets share his handedness.

Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as the league’s 17th-best home run hitter.

Nolan Gorman is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge today.

The New York Mets don’t have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Nolan Gorman is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game.

Batters such as Nolan Gorman with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Clay Holmes who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Pedro Pages has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 17.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 10.7°.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brendan Donovan is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Brendan Donovan is assured to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game considering none of the available options for the New York Mets share his handedness.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Masyn Winn hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Masyn Winn will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Masyn Winn’s launch angle lately (19.6° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 16° seasonal angle.

Utilizing Statcast data, Masyn Winn is in the 85th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .273.

Negative Match Player Stats with Mets vs Cardinals

Victor Scott II is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the 9th-worst field in the league for LHB batting average.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Victor Scott II has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Victor Scott II’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 19.7% on the season to 0% over the past week.

When it comes to his home run talent, Victor Scott II ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

The #5 field in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Clay Holmes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Willson Contreras today.

Extreme flyball bats like Willson Contreras are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Clay Holmes.

Willson Contreras has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 7.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week.

The #9 venue in MLB for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

The #5 venue in the game for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Sonny Gray in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall pitching skills.

The #2 stadium in MLB for suppressing home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Among all parks, Busch Stadium’s RF dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats across the board, and Sonny Gray will hold that advantage today.

The New York Mets (21.2 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 5th-least strikeout-prone lineup of all teams on the slate.

The #7 stadium in baseball for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 15th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

This year, Jesse Winker has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 20% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Jesse Winker has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jesse Winker today.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will bat from his weak side against Sonny Gray today.

Today, Francisco Lindor is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.4% rate (89th percentile).

Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 7th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Hitting from the same side that Clay Holmes throws from, Nolan Arenado will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Nolan Arenado has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.4-mph dropping to 83.7-mph in the last week.

Juan Soto will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Juan Soto’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 14.7% to 5.3%.

Juan Soto’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, falling from 5.3% on the season to 0% over the past 14 days.

Brandon Nimmo has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Brandon Nimmo has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.

Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Busch Stadium has the 5th-most fair ground in MLB — generally bad for homers.

Hitting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Pete Alonso encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Pete Alonso in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 16th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Jeff McNeil is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jeff McNeil’s BABIP talent is projected in the 17th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Clay Holmes in today’s game.

Clay Holmes’s fastball velocity over his last 3 games started (91.6 mph) has been a considerable dropoff from than his seasonal rate (92.9 mph).

Given the 1.97 disparity between Clay Holmes’s 10.57 K/9 and his 8.60 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to see worse results in future games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Clay Holmes as the 12th-best starter in the majors right now.

The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 4th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse the rest of the season,Tyrone Taylor is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Tyrone Taylor faces a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tyrone Taylor in today’s game.

Sonny Gray will have the handedness advantage against Mark Vientos in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mark Vientos today.

In the past 7 days, Mark Vientos’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 91.1 mph to 87.6 mph.

Mark Vientos has struggled with his Barrel%; his 14.2% rate last year has fallen to 5.7% this season.

Francisco Alvarez is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Francisco Alvarez will be at a disadvantage today.

Francisco Alvarez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Lars Nootbaar’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, going from 15.1% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Nolan Gorman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15.2% down to 0%.

In the past 7 days, Nolan Gorman’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 89 mph to 82.5 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 15th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Pages in the 22nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Pedro Pages is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

Today, Brendan Donovan is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35% rate (85th percentile).

Over the last 7 days, Brendan Donovan’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.5% down to 0%.

Brendan Donovan’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 17% to 9.7%.

Brendan Donovan’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, decreasing from 9.7% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

Masyn Winn is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Clay Holmes throws from, Masyn Winn faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

In the past 7 days, Masyn Winn’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%.

Latest St. Louis Cardinals Match Player Stats

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