
NYM @ MIL






Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 29th
29/09/24 15:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Mets vs Brewers Series Game 3 Matchup Today
Jose Iglesias’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jose Iglesias is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense.
Posting a .329 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Jose Iglesias has performed in the 79th percentile for offensive skills.
With a .308 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Jose Iglesias is ranked in the 98th percentile.
The #7 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.
In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 4th-lowest average fence height.
Luisangel Acuna hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Luisangel Acuna has been hot in recent games, tallying a .487 wOBA in the last two weeks.
When estimating his BABIP talent, Starling Marte is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Starling Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 42.4% to 48.8%.
Sporting a .338 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Starling Marte has performed in the 79th percentile for hitting ability.
Based on Statcast data, Starling Marte grades out in the 95th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .293.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.
The #9 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.
As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Blake Perkins will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against David Peterson in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Blake Perkins will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Eric Haase has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.
Among all major league stadiums, American Family Field’s centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.
Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Eric Haase will have the upper hand in today’s game.
When assessing his home run talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Mark Vientos is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Isaac Collins will get to bat from his strong side against David Peterson in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Isaac Collins will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.
American Family Field grades out as the #9 stadium in MLB for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Over the last week, Blake Perkins’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.1% up to 12.5%.
In the last 7 days, Blake Perkins’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.1%.
Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Gary Sanchez will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Gary Sanchez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Gary Sanchez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Gary Sanchez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 94.3-mph over the last 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Garrett Mitchell is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Garrett Mitchell will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
When it comes to his home run ability, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 85th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Francisco Alvarez has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 7% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 14 days.
Brice Turang is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
Brice Turang hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
When assessing his home run skill, Jake Bauers ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jake Bauers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Tyrone Taylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Tyrone Taylor has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.5-mph to 91-mph in the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Ortiz in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Joey Ortiz will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today’s game.
Pete Alonso projects as the 11th-best home run hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Pete Alonso is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Alonso in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Pete Alonso has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 98.9-mph in the last 7 days.
The Milwaukee Brewers have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jake Bauers, Eric Haase, Gary Sanchez).
Lance Barrett projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Francisco Alvarez (the Mets’s expected catcher in today’s game) projects as a good pitch framer.
American Family Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Considering that flyball batters struggle against flyball pitchers, David Peterson (48.7% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today’s game with 3 FB hitters in the opposition’s projected batting order.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
Mark Vientos has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 14.7% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the last week.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Jackson Chourio will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Joey Ortiz will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
By putting up a 1.73 K/BB rate this year, Joey Ortiz has displayed favorable plate discipline, placing in the 86th percentile.
When assessing his home run skill, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage against Colin Rea in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 92nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Willy Adames is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.
Luisangel Acuna has hit one of the hardest balls in the game in the last two weeks’ worth of games — 109.8-mph — which is a good measure of recent form and raw power.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Brice Turang will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Using Statcast metrics, Brice Turang grades out in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .286.
Tyrone Taylor’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 38.1% to 50.4%.
Tyrone Taylor’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 50.4% on the season to 62.5% over the last 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gary Sanchez in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Francisco Alvarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 102.7-mph lately.
William Contreras will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and William Contreras will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Eric Haase will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Utilizing Statcast data, Francisco Lindor grades out in the 94th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .368.
Francisco Lindor has put up a .272 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Rhys Hoskins will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today’s matchup.
Extreme flyball bats like Rhys Hoskins usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jackson Chourio ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Willy Adames will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson in today’s game.
Ranking in the 91st percentile, Garrett Mitchell sports a .351 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
Bats such as Jake Bauers with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like David Peterson who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage today.
There has been a significant improvement in Jake Bauers’s launch angle from last season’s 13.6° to 22.5° this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eric Haase in the 78th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Negative Match Player Stats with Mets vs Brewers Series Game 3
The #8 venue in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.
Colin Rea will have the handedness advantage over Jose Iglesias in today’s game.
Jose Iglesias has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Out of every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers.
Jose Iglesias will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 8th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Luisangel Acuna is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
Colin Rea will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luisangel Acuna today.
Out of every team today, the best infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luisangel Acuna in today’s game.
Starling Marte has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (72% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.
Batting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Starling Marte will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Today, Starling Marte is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.8% rate (87th percentile).
Typically, batters like Jackson Chourio who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as David Peterson.
In the last week’s worth of games, Jackson Chourio’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.
Jackson Chourio’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 91.9-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 82.6-mph over the past 7 days.
Jackson Chourio’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, going from 15.5% on the season to 0% over the last week.
As it relates to his home run talent, Blake Perkins ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Blake Perkins is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
This year, Blake Perkins has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 10% of his appearances when starting against left-handed pitcher.
Blake Perkins has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Blake Perkins’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 88.8-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 85-mph over the past 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eric Haase in the 18th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
This year, Eric Haase has been pinch hit for in 32% of his appearances when starting against lefty on the mound.
In notching a .269 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Eric Haase has performed in the 7th percentile for offensive ability.
Eric Haase has recorded a .221 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
By putting up a .252 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Eric Haase has performed in the 3rd percentile.
Hitting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Mark Vientos will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mark Vientos in today’s game.
Over the past two weeks, Mark Vientos’s 4.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.5%.
In today’s matchup, William Contreras is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.1% rate (92nd percentile).
Extreme flyball bats like William Contreras usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.
Over the past 7 days, William Contreras’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.1% down to 0%.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, William Contreras has experienced some positive variance this year. His .359 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .340.
As it relates to his home run skill, Isaac Collins ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Isaac Collins is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Starling Marte in today’s matchup.
When it comes to his home run talent, Jose Iglesias ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Colin Rea in today’s matchup.
Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Francisco Lindor in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gary Sanchez in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Gary Sanchez is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.
Gary Sanchez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 22% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound this year.
Gary Sanchez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 17.7% to 13.5%.
Hitting from the same side that David Peterson throws from, Garrett Mitchell meets a tough challenge today.
Typically, hitters like Garrett Mitchell who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as David Peterson.
In the past week, Garrett Mitchell’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.5% up to 16.7%.
Over the past 7 days, Garrett Mitchell’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 94.8 mph to 84 mph.
Garrett Mitchell’s launch angle recently (-0.1° over the last two weeks) is significantly lower than his 3° seasonal mark.
Rhys Hoskins’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, going from 16.5% on the season to 6.3% over the past 14 days.
Francisco Alvarez is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Colin Rea will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Francisco Alvarez in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Francisco Alvarez today.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 6.7°, Francisco Alvarez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.3°) in the past 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Hitting from the same side that David Peterson throws from, Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage today.
Typically, batters like Brice Turang who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as David Peterson.
Brice Turang has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph dropping to 79.4-mph in the past 14 days.
Brice Turang’s launch angle this year (5.8°) is significantly lower than his 12.6° mark last season.
David Peterson will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Bauers in today’s game.
Jake Bauers pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
This season, Jake Bauers’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 18.7% last year to just 10.7% this year.
By putting up a .207 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Jake Bauers grades out in the 5th percentile.
Grading out in the 24th percentile, Jake Bauers has put up a .362 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.
Tyrone Taylor is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.
Hitting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Tyrone Taylor will have a tough challenge in today’s game.
Tyrone Taylor will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Sporting a 4 K/BB rate this year, Tyrone Taylor has shown bad plate discipline, placing in the 15th percentile.
Joey Ortiz is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Joey Ortiz has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Extreme groundball hitters like Joey Ortiz tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson.
Joey Ortiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 90.8-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 76-mph in the last week.
Joey Ortiz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 11.3% on the season to 0% over the last week.
Colin Rea will have the handedness advantage against Pete Alonso today.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Pete Alonso in today’s game.
In the last 7 days, Pete Alonso’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.3% down to 0%.
Over the past week, Pete Alonso’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.9%.
The Milwaukee Brewers have 7 hitters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in this matchup.
David Peterson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
David Peterson’s sinker usage has spiked by 6.7% from last year to this one (24.6% to 31.3%) .
David Peterson’s 2142-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 23rd percentile out of all SPs.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brandon Nimmo today.
Jose Iglesias’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 85.6-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 76.1-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
J.D. Martinez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
Colin Rea will have the handedness advantage against J.D. Martinez today.
J.D. Martinez has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will be challenged by the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for J.D. Martinez in today’s matchup.
American Family Field projects as the #23 park in baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
In notching a .270 BABIP this year, Brandon Nimmo is positioned in the 19th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 19th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Gary Sanchez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 13.5% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.
Sporting a .289 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Francisco Alvarez has performed in the 20th percentile for offensive skills.
Rhys Hoskins has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .213 BA is quite a bit higher than his .194 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Posting a .246 BABIP this year, Rhys Hoskins is positioned in the 5th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 25th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
J.D. Martinez’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 90.9-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 88.6-mph over the last two weeks.
Luisangel Acuna has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly recently, putting up a 5.8° angle on such balls in the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 8th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 20th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Tyrone Taylor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 17% to 13.2%.
When it comes to power, Tyrone Taylor has performed in the 25th percentile, having hit 12.5 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 12th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
In terms of plate discipline, Eric Haase’s skill is quite weak, sporting a 5.45 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 6th percentile.
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Latest New York Mets Match Player Stats
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