
NYM @ LAA





Todays Game 3 Matchup Details
Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, August 4th
2024-08-04 16:07:00 EST First Pitch
Player match stat positives for New York at Los Angeles Game 3 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Jesse Winker is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
The #7 ballpark in baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.
Kevin Pillar is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
The #7 park in the majors for boosting base hits to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.
In MLB, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.
Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Kevin Pillar will have an advantage in today’s game.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Zach Neto ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Zach Neto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage against Griffin Canning in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
The #10 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.
Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Brandon Drury will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Taylor Ward is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Griffin Canning’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 24th percentile among all starters in MLB right now.
The New York Mets projected batting order projects as the 4th-strongest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.
It may be sensible to expect positive regression for the Los Angeles Angels offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 7th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.
The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team playing today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O’Hoppe in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Logan O’Hoppe is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.
The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.
When it comes to his home run talent, Jo Adell ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nolan Schanuel is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as MLB’s 15th-best home run hitter.
Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Michael Stefanic will have an advantage in today’s game.
Angel Stadium projects as the #2 field in the majors for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
This year, Jose Quintana has introduced a new pitch to his repertoire (a slider), throwing it on 5.3% of his pitches.
Jo Adell will have the handedness advantage against Jose Quintana in today’s matchup.
Griffin Canning has utilized his change-up 5.8% more often this year (27.6%) than he did last year (21.8%).
Griffin Canning has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, notching a 6.56 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.50 — a 0.94 K/9 gap.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
Matt Thaiss will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
By putting up a .336 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Francisco Alvarez grades out in the 82nd percentile.
Checking in at the 83rd percentile, Francisco Alvarez has notched a .336 BABIP this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Mark Vientos has made significant gains with his Barrel%, upping his 10.7% rate last year to 17.4% this season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Stefanic in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Sunday Game 3 player match stat slumps with Mets vs Angels Matchup
Today, Jesse Winker is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.2% rate (79th percentile).
Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jesse Winker in today’s matchup.
Jesse Winker has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 8.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past two weeks.
Jesse Winker has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph dropping to 84-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Jesse Winker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 14.7% to 9.8%.
Kevin Pillar’s BABIP skill is projected in the 20th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
10% of the time that Kevin Pillar has started against a lefty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.
Kevin Pillar pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.8% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Kevin Pillar’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 90.6-mph mark last season has fallen to 87.8-mph.
Kevin Pillar’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 47% to 40.3%.
In the league, Angel Stadium’s LF dimensions are the 10th-deepest.
Posting a 3.73 K/BB rate this year, Zach Neto has displayed bad plate discipline, grading out in the 23rd percentile.
Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Jeff McNeil will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
By putting up a .286 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Jeff McNeil is positioned in the 19th percentile for offensive ability.
By putting up a .254 BABIP this year, Jeff McNeil is ranked in the 13th percentile.
Mark Vientos is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.
Griffin Canning will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mark Vientos today.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Mark Vientos today.
Despite posting a .376 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mark Vientos has had positive variance on his side given the .058 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.
Brandon Drury is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.
Brandon Drury has struggled with his Barrel%; his 11.1% rate last season has lowered to 3.5% this season.
There has been a significant decline in Brandon Drury’s launch angle from last year’s 11.8° to 3.4° this season.
Brandon Drury’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (3.6° in the past two weeks) is significantly worse than his 10.3° seasonal figure.
The New York Mets have been the 9th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in the future, It is likely that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Alex MacKay) calling pitches in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 7th-worst park in the game for walks.
Griffin Canning will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his metrics in all categories.
Projected catcher Francisco Alvarez profiles as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Because of his reverse platoon split, Jose Quintana will benefit from being matched up with 7 batters in the projected offense who bat from the opposite side in today’s outing.
In today’s matchup, Logan O’Hoppe is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.2% rate (88th percentile).
Logan O’Hoppe has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 26.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 22.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Batting from the same side that Griffin Canning throws from, J.D. Martinez faces a tough challenge today.
J.D. Martinez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
J.D. Martinez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 96.9-mph mark last year has fallen to 94.7-mph.
J.D. Martinez’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (15.8°) is quite a bit worse than his 18.9° mark last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 10th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (10.5) implies that Jeff McNeil has experienced some positive variance this year with his 14.5 actual HR/600.
Jo Adell is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.
Over the last week, Jo Adell’s 20% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 36.5%.
Grading out in the 3rd percentile, Jo Adell has put up a .221 BABIP this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 4th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Jose Quintana will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan Schanuel in today’s game.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (10.8) suggests that Nolan Schanuel has experienced some positive variance this year with his 15.7 actual HR/600.
Ranking in the 23rd percentile, Nolan Schanuel has notched a .187 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.
Griffin Canning will have the handedness advantage against Pete Alonso in today’s matchup.
Pete Alonso pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Pete Alonso in today’s game.
Pete Alonso’s launch angle this year (14.1°) is a considerable dropoff from his 17.9° mark last year.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (26.3) provides evidence that Pete Alonso has had some very good luck this year with his 29.2 actual HR/600.
Kevin Pillar has been lucky this year, posting a .347 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .300 — a .047 disparity.
In terms of plate discipline, Logan O’Hoppe’s skill is quite poor, putting up a 4.33 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 15th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Stefanic in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
Michael Stefanic is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.273) may lead us to conclude that Michael Stefanic has been lucky since the start of last season with his .309 actual wOBA.
Jose Quintana will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Jose Quintana’s 90.1-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 5th percentile out of all starters.
Among all SPs, Jose Quintana’s fastball spin rate of 2062 rpm ranks in the 11th percentile this year.
In the last two weeks, Brandon Drury’s 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 37.3%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Thaiss in the 13th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Matt Thaiss is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
Jose Quintana will hold the platoon advantage over Matt Thaiss in today’s matchup.
Utilizing Statcast metrics, Matt Thaiss is in the 9th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .213.
Matt Thaiss is not very toolsy, ranking in the 5th percentile in Sprint Speed at 24.8 ft/sec this year.
In notching a .287 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jo Adell has performed in the 23rd percentile.
Michael Stefanic’s quickness has dropped off this season. His 25.95 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.29 ft/sec now.
Over the last 7 days, Zach Neto’s 7.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.4%.
Griffin Canning’s 92.8-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1.2-mph decline from last year’s 94-mph mark.
Out of all starters, Griffin Canning’s fastball spin rate of 2107 rpm ranks in the 10th percentile this year.
Placing in the 8th percentile, Griffin Canning has notched a 16.3% K% this year.
Brandon Nimmo has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Brandon Nimmo has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 11.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Brandon Nimmo’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 92-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 82.6-mph in the last 7 days.
Brandon Nimmo’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 45.9% on the season to 25% in the past 14 days.
In notching a .351 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, Matt Thaiss is positioned in the 18th percentile.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Matt Thaiss has experienced some positive variance this year. His .318 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .284.
The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Griffin Canning, Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Francisco Lindor has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 13.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 23rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Francisco Alvarez is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
Griffin Canning will hold the platoon advantage against Francisco Alvarez in today’s game.
Francisco Alvarez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Francisco Alvarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 89-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 72.1-mph in the past 7 days.
Francisco Lindor has put up a .272 BABIP this year, placing in the 25th percentile.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Brandon Nimmo’s 7.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.7%.
Compared to his seasonal angle of 14.2°, Jo Adell has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2°) over the past two weeks.
