Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Marlins vs White Sox Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Eric Wagaman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for dingers.

Eric Wagaman has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.1-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.6-mph average.

Based on Statcast metrics, Eric Wagaman is in the 76th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .258.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 7th-best ballpark in baseball for righty batting average.

The #9 stadium in the game for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.

Ranked in the 82nd percentile, Eric Wagaman has one of the highest average exit velocities in Major League Baseball this year (91.6-mph).

Connor Norby’s BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Connor Norby pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Connor Norby has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, notching a 21.8° angle.

Connor Norby has been unlucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 23.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount lower than his 28.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Connor Norby has compiled a .322 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 76th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Javier Sanoja’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Edgar Quero’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Edgar Quero is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #3 field in MLB for overall lefty offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Edgar Quero will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The #7 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 9th-best field in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs.

Edgar Quero has been hot in recent games, notching a 93.6-mph average exit velocity over the last 14 days.

The Miami Marlins projected batting order grades out as the 3rd-weakest on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill.

The Miami Marlins have been the 7th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in future games,Roberto Ortiz profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be calling pitches in this game.

Shane Smith is an extreme groundball pitcher (43.3% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Guaranteed Rate Field — the #7 HR venue in the league — in this game.

The Miami Marlins have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Connor Norby, Kyle Stowers, Dane Myers).

Given that groundball hitters struggle against groundball pitchers, Shane Smith (43.3% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 4 GB hitters in the opposing club’s projected lineup.

Shane Smith will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his metrics across the board.

Brooks Baldwin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Luis Robert Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Luis Robert Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Smith in today’s matchup.

Jesus Sanchez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Edward Cabrera in the 81st percentile among all SPs in the league.

Edward Cabrera will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing hitters in this game.

Out of all SPs, Edward Cabrera’s fastball velocity of 96.2 mph is in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.

It may be wise to expect better numbers for the Chicago White Sox offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Andrew Vaughn will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Jacob Amaya has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jacob Amaya will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Jacob Amaya has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .150 rate is quite a bit lower than his .209 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Miguel Vargas is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitters such as Miguel Vargas with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Edward Cabrera who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Miguel Vargas will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Xavier Edwards is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Xavier Edwards will get to bat from his strong side against Shane Smith in today’s matchup.

Xavier Edwards has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Xavier Edwards has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 86.6-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 83.9-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Kyle Stowers will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Kyle Stowers has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 11% rate last year to 20% this season.

Lenyn Sosa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Lenyn Sosa will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

In the last 14 days, Lenyn Sosa’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.5-mph over the course of the season to 96.8-mph in recent games.

Lenyn Sosa’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, rising from 53.1% on the season to 66.7% over the last 14 days.

In the past 7 days, Lenyn Sosa’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 8.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers as the 8th-best batter in baseball when estimating his BABIP skill.

Dane Myers has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 95.3-mph.

Over the past two weeks, Dane Myers has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 15.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 11.4°.

Since the start of last season, Dane Myers has an average exit velocity of 91.1 mph, which is one of the best in Major League Baseball at the 89th percentile.

Negative Match Player Stats with Marlins vs White Sox Series Game 2

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this game forecasts the lowest temperature of the day at 52,°.

Shane Smith will have the handedness advantage against Eric Wagaman in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Eric Wagaman today.

Eric Wagaman’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, going from 38.7% on the season to 19.2% in the last week’s worth of games.

Eric Wagaman’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (1.5° in the past 14 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 7.1° seasonal figure.

Connor Norby is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Shane Smith throws from, Connor Norby encounters a tough challenge today.

Connor Norby will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

This season, Connor Norby’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 14.8% last year to just 8.9% this year.

When estimating his home run skill, Javier Sanoja ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Javier Sanoja is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Shane Smith throws from, Javier Sanoja will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Typically, bats like Javier Sanoja who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Shane Smith.

Javier Sanoja will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Edgar Quero will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Edward Cabrera,Edgar Quero’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 11.3% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

Edgar Quero has been cold lately, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) in the past two weeks.

When assessing his home run talent, Edgar Quero ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shane Smith to throw 85 pitches in today’s game (7th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 7th-best field in the league for home runs.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks.

Given the 2.08 discrepancy between Shane Smith’s 2.41 ERA and his 4.49 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year and figures to negatively regress in future games.

The Miami Marlins jointly rank 4th- overall in baseball this year in regard to the maximum exit velocity of all of the baseballs their [HITTER}s have hit.

The #6 ballpark in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.

Brooks Baldwin is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

In the last 7 days, Brooks Baldwin’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.1% down to 0%.

Brooks Baldwin’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 89.3-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 87.1-mph over the last 14 days.

In the last 7 days, Brooks Baldwin’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14%.

Batting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Luis Robert Jr. meets a tough challenge today.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Luis Robert Jr. ranks in the 12th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .210.

Luis Robert Jr. has exhibited poor plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 17th percentile with a 4.06 K/BB rate.

Checking in at the 15th percentile, Luis Robert Jr. sits with a .197 batting average this year.

Luis Robert Jr.’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 90-mph mark last season has lowered to 87.7-mph.

By putting up a .290 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Luis Robert Jr. is ranked in the 25th percentile for offensive ability.

In notching a .282 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Luis Robert Jr. grades out in the 19th percentile.

Typically, hitters like Jesus Sanchez who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Shane Smith.

Jesus Sanchez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Jesus Sanchez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week.

Over the last week, Jesus Sanchez’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.1%.

Edward Cabrera will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Edward Cabrera has used his change-up 6.2% less often this year (27%) than he did last season (33.2%).

With a 0.56 deviation between Edward Cabrera’s 9.77 K/9 and his 9.21 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball since the start of last season when it comes to strikeouts and figures to see negative regression going forward.

The Chicago White Sox projected lineup grades out as the 4th-weakest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability.

Edward Cabrera is an extreme groundball pitcher (46.2% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Guaranteed Rate Field — the #7 HR venue in the majors — in this matchup.

Edward Cabrera has recorded 14.6 outs per start this year, checking in at the 24th percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Andrew Vaughn will have a disadvantage today.

In the last week’s worth of games, Andrew Vaughn’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.4%.

Checking in at the 13th percentile, Andrew Vaughn has notched a .291 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

Andrew Vaughn has shown weak plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 21st percentile with a 3.77 K/BB rate.

Grading out in the 9th percentile, Andrew Vaughn has put up a .186 batting average this year.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jacob Amaya ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jacob Amaya is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Jacob Amaya has been pulled from the game early 56% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

Batting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Jacob Amaya has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Miguel Vargas will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Miguel Vargas has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 6.8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Miguel Vargas’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 92.5-mph seasonal average has decreased to 88.5-mph in the past two weeks.

In the past week, Miguel Vargas’s 7.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.1%.

Miguel Vargas’s BABIP talent is projected in the 20th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Typically, hitters like Xavier Edwards who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Shane Smith.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Xavier Edwards in today’s game.

Xavier Edwards’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 87.1-mph average last season has fallen off to 83.9-mph.

Xavier Edwards’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (5.3°) is a considerable dropoff from his 10.8° figure last season.

When estimating his home run talent, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Kyle Stowers has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 17% of the time.

Kyle Stowers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

By putting up a 4.21 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Kyle Stowers has displayed weak plate discipline, placing in the 15th percentile.

Kyle Stowers has been lucky this year, notching a .375 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .064 gap.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Lenyn Sosa ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Lenyn Sosa is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Lenyn Sosa faces a tough challenge today.

From last season to this one, Lenyn Sosa’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16% to 8.8%.

Dane Myers is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.

Batting from the same side that Shane Smith throws from, Dane Myers meets a tough challenge today.

Typically, hitters like Dane Myers who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Shane Smith.

Dane Myers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

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