
MIA @ CIN
Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Saturday Nights Pitchers: Marlins Rogers, Lodolo Reds
Todays Game is on Saturday, July 13th
14/07/24 13:40:00 PM EST First Pitch @ Great American Ball Park
Marlins at Reds Matchup Prediction for Today
As the Cincinnati Reds prepare to host the Miami Marlins on July 14, 2024, at Great American Ball Park, both teams are looking to find some momentum in a season that’s been less than stellar. The Reds, with a record of 46-49, have been below average, while the Marlins, sitting at 32-62, are having a particularly rough year., This game, the third in the series, features a pitching matchup of left-handers: Nick Lodolo for the Reds and Trevor Rogers for the Marlins. Lodolo, ranked the 49th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced-stat Power Rankings, has been a bright spot for Cincinnati. In contrast, Rogers has struggled mightily, ranking among the worst pitchers in the league., The Reds’ offense has been inconsistent, ranking 26th in team batting average but showing some pop with a 14th place ranking in home runs. They also lead the league in stolen bases, a testament to their aggressive base-running approach. Rece Hinds has been particularly hot, hitting .474 with a 1.711 OPS over the last week, including three home runs and eight RBIs in just five games., On the other side, the Marlins’ offense has been anemic, ranking 24th in batting average, dead last in home runs, and 24th in stolen bases. Dane Myers has been a rare bright spot recently, hitting .417 with a 1.128 OPS over the past week., The Reds are significant betting favorites with a moneyline of -185, translating to an implied win probability of 63%. THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, also favors the Reds, projecting a 56% win probability for Cincinnati. The Marlins, priced at +160, have an implied win probability of 37%, but projections suggest they have a 44% chance, indicating potential value for bettors willing to back the underdog., With a high game total of 9.0 runs, expect a potentially high-scoring affair. The Reds are projected to score 5.32 runs, while the Marlins are expected to put up 4.95 runs. Given the Reds’ edge in pitching and the Marlins’ offensive struggles, Cincinnati looks poised to take advantage in this matchup.
Saturday Series Game 3 Prediction Explination for Marlins vs Reds Matchup
The Cincinnati Reds have done a favorable job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-hit balls. Their 16.3, ° figure is among the highest in the league this year (#1 overall).
If you hit the ball hard but straight at the ground, it doesn’t do you any good. A player that is skilled at lifting his hardest hit balls into the air stands the best chance of turning them into extra-base hits or home runs.