Marlins vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, May 28th

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Marlins vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, May 28th

MIA @ SD

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, May 28th
28/05/25 16:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Marlins vs Padres Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Eric Wagaman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

The #8 field in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

In the league, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.

Eric Wagaman will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Hart today… and moreover, Hart has a huge platoon split.

Eric Wagaman hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

When estimating his batting average skill, Jackson Merrill is projected as the 14th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage over Sandy Alcantara in today’s matchup.

The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Merrill has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 8th-best ballpark in MLB for lefty home runs.

Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby as the 11th-best hitter in the league when estimating his BABIP skill.

Connor Norby is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in the majors.

Considering Kyle Hart’s huge platoon split, Connor Norby will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Given Kyle Hart’s huge platoon split, Agustin Ramirez will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Given Kyle Hart’s huge platoon split, Javier Sanoja will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Javier Sanoja hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball hitters like Javier Sanoja tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Hart.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Xander Bogaerts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Xander Bogaerts will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

The Miami Marlins have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Connor Norby, Jesus Sanchez, Kyle Stowers).

Petco Park profiles as the #3 stadium in the league for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kyle Hart will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats across the board.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Kyle Hart must realize this, because he has relied on his off-speed and breaking pitches a lot since the start of last season: 64.3% of the time, grading out in the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Manny Machado will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage today.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage today.

Luis Arraez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Luis Arraez will have the handedness advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today’s game.

The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Luis Arraez stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average talent.

Sandy Alcantara has averaged 95.1 adjusted pitches per start this year, checking in at the 89th percentile.

In his previous outing, Sandy Alcantara was rolling and notched 7 strikeouts.

Among all starters, Sandy Alcantara’s fastball velocity of 96.7 mph grades out in the 96th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Sandy Alcantara in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall pitching abilities.

In his last start, Sandy Alcantara was on point and conceded 2 ER.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Extreme groundball hitters like Jesus Sanchez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Hart.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Otto Lopez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

Otto Lopez will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Hart today… and even more favorably, Hart has a huge platoon split.

Extreme flyball batters like Otto Lopez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Hart.

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

Gavin Sheets will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today’s matchup.

Gavin Sheets has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Nick Fortes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Hart in today’s matchup… and the cherry on top, Hart has a huge platoon split.

When estimating his home run skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negative Match Player Stats with Marlins vs Padres Series Game 3

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Eric Wagaman today.

The #6 field in MLB for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres.

The #6 park in the league for suppressing batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 6th-worst venue in the game for LHB batting average.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Connor Norby in today’s matchup.

Agustin Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Mesa in the 16th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Victor Mesa is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.

Kyle Hart will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Victor Mesa in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Hart’s huge platoon split.

Victor Mesa will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Javier Sanoja is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Javier Sanoja in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 6th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Xander Bogaerts has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the same side that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kyle Hart is projected to throw 83 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least on the slate.

Ramon De Jesus grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be umping in this game.

As a result of his huge platoon split, Kyle Hart will have a tough challenge matching up with 6 batters in the projected batting order who bat from the other side in this outing.

Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Kyle Hart (35.5% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 3 FB hitters in Miami’s projected offense.

The Miami Marlins projected offense projects as the 2nd-weakest on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.

Petco Park projects as the #27 stadium in Major League Baseball for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kyle Hart was on point in his previous start and conceded 2 ER.

Hitting from the same side that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Manny Machado meets a tough challenge today.

Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the same side that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 0th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

The San Diego Padres (18.5 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone team of hitters on the slate.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Sandy Alcantara in today’s game.

Sandy Alcantara has recorded a 5.43 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that concentrates on the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher’s control) this year, placing in the 10th percentile.

Considering the 4.07 difference between Sandy Alcantara’s 8.04 ERA and his 3.97 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball this year and ought to see positive regression the rest of the season.

Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Considering Kyle Hart’s huge platoon split, Jesus Sanchez will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today.

Jesus Sanchez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

In today’s game, Otto Lopez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40% rate (97th percentile).

Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his home run skill, Otto Lopez ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gavin Sheets pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Fortes in the 1st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Nick Fortes is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.

Nick Fortes will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Nick Fortes ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Given Kyle Hart’s huge platoon split, Kyle Stowers will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.

Kyle Stowers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

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