Marlins vs Mets match player stats | 2025 Monday, April 7th

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Marlins vs Mets match player stats | 2025 Monday, April 7th

MIA @ NYM

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World Matchup Details

Miami Marlins at New York Mets

Todays Game is on Monday, April 7th
07/04/25 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Marlins vs Mets Matchup Today

Eric Wagaman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Eric Wagaman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s shallowest CF fences today.

In the last 7 days, Eric Wagaman’s swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 40% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

A consistent launch angle is a proxy for good hitting, and Eric Wagaman has been very consistent with his recently, compiling a 33.4° launch angle standard deviation in the last two weeks.

Matt Mervis is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field.

Batting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Matt Mervis will have an advantage today.

Matt Mervis has been cold recently, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the last 7 days.

In the last week, Matt Mervis has averaged an impressive 105.4-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential.

When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Kodai Senga in the 92nd percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball.

The Miami Marlins have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt Mervis, Griffin Conine, Dane Myers, Kyle Stowers).

Paul Clemons profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping in today’s game.

Citi Field grades out as the #3 park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Luisangel Acuna hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s shallowest CF fences today.

Extreme flyball bats like Luisangel Acuna usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Valente Bellozo.

Luisangel Acuna will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.5 ft/sec this year, Luisangel Acuna is quite toolsy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Graham Pauley will have an edge today.

Graham Pauley has been hot of late, posting a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) in the past 7 days.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jesse Winker ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jesse Winker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Valente Bellozo today.

Jesse Winker is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Jesse Winker has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jesse Winker will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Jesse Winker has been cold in recent games, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Francisco Lindor will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his home runs, Francisco Lindor has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His 27.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 32.0.

Posting a .367 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Francisco Lindor finds himself in the 94th percentile for offensive ability.

Extreme flyball hitters like Derek Hill tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Kodai Senga.

In the past 14 days, Derek Hill’s maximum exit velocity (a good indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 112.3-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in MLB.

Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Derek Hill has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.3 mph (an advanced stat to study power), checking in at the 83rd percentile.

Power-wise, Derek Hill finds himself in the 77th percentile, having paced 21.6 dingers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

In the past 14 days, Derek Hill’s swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 58.3% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the league.

Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage in today’s game.

Juan Soto has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage against Valente Bellozo in today’s matchup.

The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Nimmo stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Brandon Nimmo has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as MLB’s 9th-best home run hitter.

Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the past week, Pete Alonso has displayed impressive power, recording a a 37.5% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power).

Pete Alonso projects as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Torrens hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Luis Torrens will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the past 7 days, Luis Torrens has displayed impressive power, recording a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power).

In the last 7 days, Luis Torrens’s swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 41.7% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Luis Torrens and his 18.7% rank in the 81st percentile since the start of last season.

Tyrone Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage today.

Tyrone Taylor has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 11.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is deflated compared to his 17.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Tyrone Taylor ranks in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (49.2% rate since the start of last season).

Ranking in the 90th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.88 ft/sec since the start of last season, Tyrone Taylor is quite fast.

Tyrone Taylor has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .297 figure is considerably lower than his .322 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Tyrone Taylor’s 17° launch angle (a reliable standard to measure a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in baseball: 81st percentile.

Otto Lopez’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Otto Lopez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Otto Lopez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball batters like Otto Lopez tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Kodai Senga.

Otto Lopez has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 5.2% rate last year to 12.1% this year.

When estimating his home run skill, Jose Siri ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Siri has big-time HR ability (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (35.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Valente Bellozo doesn’t generate many whiffs (1st percentile K%) — great news for Siri.

Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Jose Siri will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Over the last week, Jose Siri has posted a 33° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Siri has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .267 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .314.

Jose Siri’s 15% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Mark Vientos is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.

Mark Vientos has big-time power (93rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (28.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Valente Bellozo doesn’t generate many whiffs (19th percentile K%) — great news for Vientos.

Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Mark Vientos’s 13.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) ranks in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season.

Batting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Brett Baty will have an advantage today.

Brett Baty is likely to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Brett Baty has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Hitters such as Brett Baty with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Valente Bellozo who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Kodai Senga.

Xavier Edwards has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Extreme flyball bats like Xavier Edwards generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kodai Senga.

Xavier Edwards’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 50.2% to 57.7%.

When it comes to plate discipline, Xavier Edwards’s ability is quite strong, posting a 1.65 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 88th percentile.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Xavier Edwards is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nick Fortes pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Kyle Stowers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage over Kodai Senga today.

Kyle Stowers hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s shallowest CF fences today.

Kyle Stowers has displayed some good exit velocity stats of late, averaging 102.2-mph on his flyballs in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Kyle Stowers has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 9.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal lower than his 19.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.308) provides evidence that Kyle Stowers has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .277 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 76th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Extreme flyball batters like Jonah Bride usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kodai Senga.

As it relates to plate discipline, Jonah Bride’s skill is quite impressive, putting up a 1.8 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 85th percentile.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Hayden Senger will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Griffin Conine will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today’s matchup.

Griffin Conine has been hot lately, notching a an 18.2% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) over the past 7 days.

Posting a 93.5-mph average exit velocity over the last 7 days, Griffin Conine has been in great form in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Dane Myers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball bats like Dane Myers generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kodai Senga.

Negative Match Player Stats with Marlins vs Mets

Citi Field grades out as the #29 stadium in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Citi Field’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to worse offense.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 8th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 44°.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hurlers.

Batting from the same side that Kodai Senga throws from, Eric Wagaman encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Eric Wagaman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Matt Mervis’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

23% of the time that Matt Mervis has started against a righty on the mound since the start of last season, he has been pinch hit for.

Citi Field profiles as the #29 field in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Mervis ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Compared to league average, Kodai Senga has been granted a below-average leash since the start of last season, tallying an -22.6 fewer adjusted pitches each start.

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Kodai Senga (34.7% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 3 GB hitters in Miami’s projected offense.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Kodai Senga’s overall pitching skill is in the 82nd percentile among all starters in MLB right now.

The Miami Marlins projected offense profiles as the weakest on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.

The Miami Marlins have been the 6th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in the future,Citi Field profiles as the #30 park in the league for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 16th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Luisangel Acuna is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

Graham Pauley’s BABIP talent is projected in the 25th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Graham Pauley is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher since the start of last season, Graham Pauley has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 33% of the time.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Valente Bellozo in the 6th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Valente Bellozo to have a pitch count in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 60 pitches.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Valente Bellozo today.

Jesse Winker is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jesse Winker has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 15% of the time when starting against a northpaw since the start of last season.

Jesse Winker’s BABIP talent is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Valente Bellozo,Francisco Lindor’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 86.5-mph seasonal average has lowered to 83.9-mph in the last week.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Derek Hill ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Derek Hill is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.

Juan Soto has struggled with his Barrel%; his 20% rate last year has decreased to 8% this season.

From last year to this one, Juan Soto’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 14.7% to 8%.

Brandon Nimmo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 15.4% to 12%.

Batting from the same side that Valente Bellozo throws from, Pete Alonso will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Luis Torrens is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Since the start of last season, Luis Torrens has been pulled from the game early in 13% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Tyrone Taylor is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Valente Bellozo will hold the platoon advantage over Tyrone Taylor today.

Batting from the same side that Kodai Senga throws from, Otto Lopez will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

When estimating his home run skill, Otto Lopez ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Siri is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Valente Bellozo throws from, Jose Siri encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 19th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Valente Bellozo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mark Vientos in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his home runs, Mark Vientos has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His 33.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 26.4.

Brett Baty is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

18% of the time that Brett Baty has started against a right-handed starter since the start of last season, he has been pinch hit for.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 0th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Xavier Edwards today.

Nick Fortes’s BABIP ability is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nick Fortes is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

15% of the time that Nick Fortes has started against a right-handed pitcher since the start of last season, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Nick Fortes ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 16th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Kyle Stowers has been pulled from the game early 13% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound since the start of last season.

Kyle Stowers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

When assessing his home run skill, Jonah Bride ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jonah Bride has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (71% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hayden Senger in the 6th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Hayden Senger is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Griffin Conine in the 6th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Griffin Conine is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.

Griffin Conine has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 24% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound since the start of last season.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Griffin Conine ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Dane Myers is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Kodai Senga throws from, Dane Myers will be at a disadvantage today.

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