Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Miami at Milwaukee Series Game 2 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Jake Burger is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.

American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks.

Among all parks, American Family Field has the 4th-lowest average fence height.

Jake Burger has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.9-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 90.9-mph mark.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The #10 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Bryan De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

Bryan De La Cruz has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last year’s 92.4-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 89th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Willy Adames is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 10th-best ballpark in MLB for LHB base hits.

Hitting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Jake Bauers will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gordon in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Nick Gordon will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Civale in today’s game.

Nick Gordon hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Otto Lopez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .264 rate is a fair amount lower than his .314 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Garrett Mitchell will have the handedness advantage against Max Meyer in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Ortiz in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Joey Ortiz will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Joey Ortiz has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 94.2-mph over the last 7 days.

Utilizing Statcast data, Joey Ortiz ranks in the 88th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .350.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage today.

Jesus Sanchez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last year’s 90.3-mph figure.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Sal Frelick is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Sal Frelick will have an advantage today.

Sal Frelick hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

William Contreras’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

William Contreras is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Xavier Edwards has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (82% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

Xavier Edwards hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage today.

Sal Frelick’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for walks.

Max Meyer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Aaron Civale will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his metrics across the board.

Aaron Civale’s 2408-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 83rd percentile out of all starters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Brice Turang is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Brice Turang will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Brice Turang hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Garrett Mitchell will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jackson Chourio will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Jackson Chourio has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.7-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal mark of 90.1-mph.

The #3 field in baseball for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

Miami’s 2nd-worst outfield defense of the day creates a favorable matchup for Jake Bauers, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an advantage in today’s game.

The Milwaukee Brewers have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Garrett Mitchell, Blake Perkins, Jake Bauers).

Xavier Edwards has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph to 91.9-mph over the past 7 days.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Josh Bell has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7.4% seasonal rate to 13% in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Saturday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Marlins vs Brewers Matchup

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for hurlers.

Aaron Civale will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Burger today.

Jake Burger will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Jake Burger’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 97.3-mph average last season has fallen off to 94.3-mph.

Posting a 4.72 K/BB rate this year, Jake Burger has shown poor plate discipline, grading out in the 10th percentile.

Out of every team playing today, the best infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.

Batting from the same side that Aaron Civale throws from, Bryan De La Cruz will not have the upper hand today.

Bryan De La Cruz has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Bryan De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Bryan De La Cruz has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph dropping to 85.7-mph in the last two weeks.

Max Meyer will hold the platoon advantage over Willy Adames in today’s game.

Jake Bauers is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Jake Bauers pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Jake Bauers has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 18.7% rate last year has fallen to 10% this year.

Jake Bauers’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 96.5-mph average last year has fallen off to 93.5-mph.

Nick Gordon is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

19% of the time that Nick Gordon has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nick Gordon today.

Jackson Chourio is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Max Meyer throws from, Jackson Chourio faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

As it relates to his home runs, Jackson Chourio has experienced some positive variance this year. His 18.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 11.7.

Jackson Chourio has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 5.4° angle is among the lowest in the majors this year (9th percentile).

Otto Lopez is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the same side that Aaron Civale throws from, Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage today.

Otto Lopez has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Josh Bell in today’s matchup.

Josh Bell has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .295 mark is inflated compared to his .280 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Grading out in the 23rd percentile, Josh Bell has posted a .268 BABIP this year.

Garrett Mitchell is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Garrett Mitchell’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (-0.7° in the last week) is a considerable dropoff from his 6.7° seasonal mark.

In the past week, Garrett Mitchell has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power).

Garrett Mitchell has been cold recently, compiling an 86.1-mph average exit velocity over the last 7 days.

Joey Ortiz is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Max Meyer throws from, Joey Ortiz will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Today, Joey Ortiz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36% rate (88th percentile).

Compared to his seasonal mark of 11.4°, Joey Ortiz has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3.4°) over the past two weeks.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jazz Chisholm Jr. in today’s matchup.

Last season, Jazz Chisholm Jr. had a launch angle of 17.6° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 12.6°.

In the last two weeks, Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (2.2°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 12.6°.

Jesus Sanchez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (91% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jesus Sanchez in today’s matchup.

Jesus Sanchez has shown poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 9th percentile with a 4.77 K/BB rate.

When it comes to his home run talent, Sal Frelick ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Over the last two weeks, Sal Frelick’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 84.8 mph to 76.6 mph.

From last year to this one, Sal Frelick’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 10.9% to 7.8%.

Sal Frelick’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, going from 7.8% on the season to 0% over the past 14 days.

Hitting from the same side that Max Meyer throws from, William Contreras will be at a disadvantage today.

William Contreras’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 92.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 87.5-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

William Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 9.6% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

William Contreras has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .284 figure is inflated compared to his .262 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will bat from his weak side (0) today against Aaron Civale, Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.249) implies that Sal Frelick has experienced some positive variance this year with his .266 actual batting average.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Milwaukee Brewers in today’s game owns an estimated true talent wOBA of .307, which is considerably lower than their actual wOBA of .320 this year.

It may be wise to expect negative regression for the Milwaukee Brewers offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in the league this year.

It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Dan Bellino) behind the plate in this game.

Projected catcher Nick Fortes grades out as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

It may be sensible to expect better results for the Miami Marlins offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

Aaron Civale’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 outings (2571 rpm) has been significantly lower than than his seasonal rate (2628 rpm).

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.326) implies that William Contreras has been lucky this year with his .342 actual wOBA.

Brice Turang’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (2.8°) is quite a bit lower than his 10.2° angle last season.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Brice Turang’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-1.4°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 2.8°.

Despite posting a .313 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brice Turang has been lucky given the .023 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.

As it relates to his home run ability, Brice Turang ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brice Turang has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 9.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is inflated compared to his 5.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his home run talent, Otto Lopez ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Aaron Civale’s cut-fastball usage has dropped by 5.7% from last year to this one (37.4% to 31.7%) .

Given the 0.51 discrepancy between Aaron Civale’s 8.94 K/9 and his 8.43 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the majors this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to see negative regression in future games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 17th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Xavier Edwards’s launch angle lately (1.1° in the last two weeks) is significantly lower than his 6.1° seasonal figure.

In the last week, Nick Gordon’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%.