
SEA @ CLE


Mariners @ Guardians Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series : Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Saturday, August 30th
Time : 30/08/25 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Seattle Mariners Game Today
Daniel Schneemann has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (59% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 2nd-best park in the majors for LHB BABIP.
Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.
Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Daniel Schneemann will have the upper hand today.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Daniel Schneemann will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Daniel Schneemann has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, upping his 4.8% rate last season to 12.1% this year.
When assessing his home run ability, Kyle Manzardo ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an edge in today’s game.
Kyle Manzardo will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Cole Young will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Cole Young pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.9) implies that Cole Young has had bad variance on his side this year with his 10.6 actual HR/600.
Cole Young has displayed good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 88th percentile with a 1.62 K/BB rate.
Cole Young has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .291 rate is quite a bit lower than his .328 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Recording 96.9 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Gavin Williams ranks in the 97th percentile.
Gavin Williams will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats across the board.
When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Gavin Williams in the 78th percentile among all SPs in the game.
The Seattle Mariners have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Eugenio Suarez, Luke Raley, Cal Raleigh).
Progressive Field grades out as the #10 stadium in the majors for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Collin Kayfus will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Collin Kayfus has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Collin Kayfus will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Collin Kayfus has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 93.6-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 87.9-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Collin Kayfus in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as baseball’s 13th-best home run batter.
Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the game for right-handed base hits.
Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
This season, Eugenio Suarez has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.3 mph compared to last year’s 92.6 mph mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.
Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Jose Ramirez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Josh Naylor is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Josh Naylor will have an edge today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Josh Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an edge in today’s matchup.
J.P. Crawford has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
J.P. Crawford’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 16.6% to 19.8%.
J.P. Crawford’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, J.P. Crawford has suffered from bad luck this year. His .319 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .340.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.
In the past week’s worth of games, Randy Arozarena’s 35.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.4%.
Ranked in the 87th percentile, Randy Arozarena has one of the highest average exit velocities in Major League Baseball this year (91.6-mph).
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.4% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Jorge Polanco has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.3-mph average to last year’s 88.3-mph figure.
Jorge Polanco has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 95.1-mph in the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Nolan Jones will have an edge today.
Nolan Jones has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Bo Naylor is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Bo Naylor will have an edge in today’s game.
Bo Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
When assessing his home run ability, Bo Naylor ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.4% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as baseball’s 5th-best home run batter.
Cal Raleigh has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.5-mph average to last season’s 94.9-mph EV.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Logan Gilbert as the 18th-best starter in Major League Baseball right now.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher today) projects as an elite pitch framer.
Logan Gilbert was in good form in his last game started and gave up 1 ER.
Logan Gilbert projects as the 13th-best SP in Major League Baseball right now as it relates to his strikeout skill, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Cleveland Guardians have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Nolan Jones, Collin Kayfus, Gabriel Arias).
When it comes to his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
Julio Rodriguez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 15.5% on the season to 21.4% in the last 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Despite posting a .334 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Julio Rodriguez has experienced some negative variance given the .024 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .358.
The 5th-shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Progressive Field.
Brayan Rocchio will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
In comparison to his 84.5-mph average last year, Brayan Rocchio’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 86.9 mph.
Brayan Rocchio’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 37.7% to 47.3%.
Brayan Rocchio has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .270 figure is deflated compared to his .291 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.
Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Steven Kwan will have an advantage in today’s game.
Steven Kwan has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Steven Kwan will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Steven Kwan’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Negatives with the Cleveland Guardians Game Today
This year, Daniel Schneemann has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 15% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.
The weather report projects the most suitable pitching weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Daniel Schneemann hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 85th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.
Daniel Schneemann has compiled a .226 batting average this year, checking in at the 16th percentile.
Progressive Field has the 4th-highest fences in the league.
Progressive Field profiles as the #27 stadium in the majors for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Kyle Manzardo hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 5th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Sporting a .222 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Kyle Manzardo finds himself in the 11th percentile.
Sporting a .265 BABIP this year, Kyle Manzardo finds himself in the 17th percentile.
Cole Young is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.
The Cleveland Guardians infield defense profiles as the best among every team playing today.
Cole Young will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Over the last week, Cole Young’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%.
The 4th-best projected offense of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting skill is that of the Seattle Mariners.
It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Mark Wegner) calling pitches today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 4th-best ballpark in the game for BABIP.
The 3rd-shallowest LF dimensions in MLB are found in Progressive Field.
With 6 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected offense, Gavin Williams will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.
In his last GS, Gavin Williams was firing on all cylinders and allowed 2 ER.
Gavin Williams struggled when it came to striking batters out in his previous game started and notched 2 Ks.
Gavin Williams’s change-up utilization has dropped by 5.3% from last year to this one (5.4% to 0.1%) .
Collin Kayfus is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Collin Kayfus has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 11.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week.
Gavin Williams will hold the platoon advantage against Eugenio Suarez in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Eugenio Suarez in today’s matchup.
Eugenio Suarez has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .361 figure is inflated compared to his .312 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-worst park in the majors for right-handed home runs.
The switch-hitting Jose Ramirez will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Logan Gilbert,Jose Ramirez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 7.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last week.
Jose Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 90.9-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 86.6-mph over the past two weeks.
Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, falling from 43.3% on the season to 30% over the last 14 days.
Josh Naylor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 93.7-mph mark last year has dropped off to 90-mph.
Josh Naylor’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (5.1° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably worse than his 10.2° seasonal figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 15th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for J.P. Crawford in today’s matchup.
Over the past two weeks, J.P. Crawford’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 89.3 mph to 80.2 mph.
Batting from the same side that Gavin Williams throws from, Randy Arozarena will be at a disadvantage today.
Randy Arozarena hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.
Randy Arozarena will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Jorge Polanco has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (70% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jorge Polanco in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 19th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Nolan Jones is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.
When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Nolan Jones has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 26% of the time.
This season, there has been a decline in Nolan Jones’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.13 ft/sec last year to 27.55 ft/sec currently.
By putting up a .278 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Nolan Jones has performed in the 10th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Over the last 14 days, Bo Naylor’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.7% down to 0%.
In the past week’s worth of games, Bo Naylor’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19%.
Sporting a .282 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Bo Naylor grades out in the 12th percentile.
The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Gavin Williams,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Cal Raleigh today.
Cal Raleigh has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .389 figure is a fair amount higher than his .352 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
It may be wise to expect positive regression for the Cleveland Guardians offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.
Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Logan Gilbert in today’s game.
Logan Gilbert’s 94.8-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1.8-mph drop off from last year’s 96.6-mph figure.
It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Logan Gilbert has utilized his off-speed and breaking balls 5.6% less often this year (62.1%) than he did last season (67.7%).
Hitting from the same side that Gavin Williams throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have a disadvantage in today’s game.
Julio Rodriguez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Julio Rodriguez today.
When it comes to his home run ability, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brayan Rocchio is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
Brayan Rocchio has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph dropping to 81.7-mph over the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 24th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
By putting up a .268 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Brayan Rocchio is positioned in the 5th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 2nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Over the past 14 days, Steven Kwan’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 87.7 mph to 82.9 mph.
Steven Kwan’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (8.2° over the last two weeks) is considerably worse than his 12.7° seasonal mark.
This year, the hardest ball Steven Kwan has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 104.1 mph (a reliable metric to measure power), checking in at the 0th percentile.
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