Todays Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Mariners vs Astros Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz as the 17th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his batting average skill.

Yainer Diaz is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 8th-best infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

Yainer Diaz will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

Minute Maid Park profiles as the #5 venue in the league for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In the majors, Minute Maid Park’s left field fences are the shallowest.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Randy Arozarena is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Over the past two weeks, Randy Arozarena’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94-mph over the course of the season to 98.1-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Mauricio Dubon will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 5th-best stadium in the league for lefty home runs.

Jason Heyward will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Miller in today’s matchup… and even better, Miller has a large platoon split.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jason Heyward will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Extreme flyball bats like Jorge Polanco tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown.

The Houston Astros infield defense profiles as the 8th-best among every team playing today.

Jorge Polanco has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.4-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.3-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Justin Turner is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Josh Rojas will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown today.

Last season, Josh Rojas had an average launch angle of 10.5° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 16.6°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Hunter Brown in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall pitching abilities.

Hunter Brown has averaged 95.2 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 91st percentile.

Hunter Brown is an extreme groundball pitcher (48.9% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Minute Maid Park — the #9 HR venue in the majors — today.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Hunter Brown will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Jon Singleton is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Jon Singleton will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today’s game… and the cherry on top, Miller has a large platoon split.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Luke Raley is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Brown today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Jason Heyward has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 4.9% seasonal rate to 11.8% over the last 14 days.

Jake Meyers will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.325) implies that Jake Meyers has had bad variance on his side this year with his .285 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Hunter Brown in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.

The Seattle Mariners have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jorge Polanco, Luke Raley, Cal Raleigh, Dylan Moore).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 9th-best stadium in the game for strikeouts.

Julio Rodriguez projects as the 18th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Meyers’s BABIP ability is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Josh Rojas has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .288 rate is considerably lower than his .304 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) grades out as an elite pitch framer.

Bryce Miller will hold the platoon advantage against 6 opposing batters in this matchup.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

Extreme flyball bats like Cal Raleigh are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown.

Compared to his seasonal average of 21.3°, Cal Raleigh has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 24.5° mark in the past 14 days.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 15th-best home run batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batters such as Justin Turner with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hunter Brown who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Jeremy Pena will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Brown in today’s game.

Jon Singleton will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

The 3rd-best projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the Houston Astros.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jose Altuve ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

J.P. Crawford’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 16.6% on the season to 27.3% in the last 7 days.

J.P. Crawford’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, going from 46% on the season to 59.3% over the past two weeks.

Negative Match Player Stats with Mariners vs Astros

The #7 ballpark in baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which often leads to less offense.

Given Bryce Miller’s large platoon split, Yainer Diaz will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.

Yainer Diaz has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will be challenged by the game’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

Yainer Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 21.6% to 12.1%.

Among all stadiums, the 3rd-tallest fences are at Minute Maid Park.

Batting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Julio Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

Julio Rodriguez’s launch angle lately (0.4° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit lower than his 10.5° seasonal mark.

When it comes to plate discipline, Julio Rodriguez’s talent is quite weak, sporting a 3.72 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 20th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Randy Arozarena will be in a tough position today.

Randy Arozarena hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Randy Arozarena in today’s matchup.

Because of Bryce Miller’s large platoon split, Jose Altuve will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.

In the past 7 days, Jose Altuve’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.5% down to 0%.

Jose Altuve’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 90.5-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 86.9-mph in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 14th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Mauricio Dubon is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.

Bryce Miller will have the handedness advantage over Mauricio Dubon in today’s matchup… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Miller’s large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jason Heyward in the 9th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Jason Heyward is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Jason Heyward pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

Jorge Polanco has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (67% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

The #7 park in the game for suppressing base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

In today’s game, Jorge Polanco is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 39.5% rate (98th percentile).

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jorge Polanco today.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Justin Turner meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Justin Turner in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Justin Turner’s true offensive skill to be a .312, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .014 difference between that mark and his actual .326 wOBA.

Mauricio Dubon has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

Josh Rojas is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Josh Rojas hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Josh Rojas will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The 2nd-best projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

It may be wise to expect positive regression for the Seattle Mariners offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the unluckiest offense in baseball this year.

Minute Maid Park profiles as the #9 stadium in the majors for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Singleton in the 6th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Jon Singleton hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jon Singleton has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 9.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week.

Bryce Miller will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alex Bregman in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Miller’s large platoon split.

Alex Bregman has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 6.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Alex Bregman’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 88.9-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 82.3-mph in the past week.

Luke Raley hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Luke Raley will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Luke Raley has displayed weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 9th percentile with a 4.63 K/BB rate.

Luke Raley has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 29.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal higher than his 26.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jason Heyward’s launch angle of late (3.5° in the last week’s worth of games) is significantly worse than his 9.9° seasonal angle.

Jake Meyers is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

Bryce Miller will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Meyers today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Miller’s large platoon split.

Over the last two weeks, Jake Meyers’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.2% down to 0%.

Jake Meyers’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 88.5-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 75.9-mph over the past 7 days.

Given that flyball pitchers struggle the most against groundball hitters, Hunter Brown (48.9% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today’s game with 4 GB hitters in Seattle’s projected lineup.

Hunter Brown has used his slider 21% less often this season (4.1%) than he did last season (25.1%).

Considering the 0.04 discrepancy between Hunter Brown’s 9.38 K/9 and his 9.34 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the majors this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to see worse results in the future.

Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.

Given Bryce Miller’s large platoon split, Jeremy Pena will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

In the past week, Jeremy Pena’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.7% down to 0%.

Over the last week, Jeremy Pena’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 91.3 mph to 84.2 mph.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Bryce Miller is projected to throw 84 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-most on the slate today.

The Houston Astros (19.3 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the least strikeout-heavy set of hitters of the day.

Bryce Miller will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Today, Cal Raleigh is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.1% rate (98th percentile).

Cal Raleigh is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Houston (#3-best of the day).

Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Cal Raleigh has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 15% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

As it relates to his home run talent, Jeremy Pena ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

J.P. Crawford is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

J.P. Crawford hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for J.P. Crawford in today’s game.

Jon Singleton’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 88.8-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 80.9-mph over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bryce Miller in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.

Houston Astros hitters collectively rank 26th- in Major League Baseball for power this year when judging by their 91.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs.

In his previous start, Hunter Brown performed well and conceded 2 ER.

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