Mariners vs Astros match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Friday, May 23rd

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Mariners vs Astros match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Friday, May 23rd

SEA @ HOU

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Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Friday, May 23rd
23/05/25 20:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Mariners vs Astros Series Game 2 Matchup Today

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Victor Caratini (the Astros’s expected catcher in today’s game) is considered to be a good pitch framer.

The #6 stadium in the majors for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

Minute Maid Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.

Given that groundball hitters perform worse against groundball pitchers, Ryan Gusto (36.9% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 3 GB hitters in the opposing team’s projected offense.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Ryan Gusto will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball batters like Benjamin Williamson tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Gusto.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Benjamin Williamson’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85.8-mph over the course of the season to 88.8-mph lately.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.289) suggests that Benjamin Williamson has been unlucky this year with his .251 actual wOBA.

Benjamin Williamson’s BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When estimating his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

J.P. Crawford has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (61% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

J.P. Crawford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Gusto in today’s game.

J.P. Crawford has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past week.

When it comes to his home run talent, Dylan Moore ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Dylan Moore pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Randy Arozarena is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Among all parks, Minute Maid Park’s LF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.

Randy Arozarena’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, going from 16.4% on the season to 50% in the past 7 days.

The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Ryan Gusto.

Leody Taveras has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Leody Taveras’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.3% up to 25%.

Leody Taveras’s launch angle this year (24.4°) is significantly higher than his 14.1° angle last year.

As it relates to his home run talent, Rowdy Tellez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rowdy Tellez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an edge today.

Rowdy Tellez has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 17.3% seasonal rate to 50% in the past week.

Over the past 7 days, Rowdy Tellez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.7-mph over the course of the season to 108.9-mph recently.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

Jorge Polanco has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 9% rate last season to 14.4% this season.

Jorge Polanco has seen a big increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.5-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 92-mph mark.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 6th-best home run hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Cal Raleigh has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 15.5% rate last season to 21.6% this season.

Cal Raleigh has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 21.6% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past 14 days.

Cal Raleigh has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 101.1-mph over the last 7 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) profiles as an elite pitch framer.

With 8 hitters who share the same handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Emerson Hancock ought to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Out of all SPs, Emerson Hancock’s fastball spin rate of 2451 rpm ranks in the 88th percentile this year.

Emerson Hancock has been unlucky this year, putting up a 6.21 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.88 — a 1.33 gap.

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Miles Mastrobuoni will have an edge in today’s game.

Miles Mastrobuoni has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.303) suggests that Miles Mastrobuoni has had bad variance on his side this year with his .237 actual wOBA.

Checking in at the 84th percentile of THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season, Miles Mastrobuoni demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields – a key skill for achieving a high batting average.

Negative Match Player Stats with Mariners vs Astros Series Game 2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Gusto to throw 82 pitches in this matchup (3rd-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

Considering the 1.51 deviation between Ryan Gusto’s 9.29 K/9 and his 7.78 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball this year in terms of strikeouts and should see worse results in future games.

When estimating his home run skill, Benjamin Williamson ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Benjamin Williamson is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Benjamin Williamson has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 12% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-tallest fence height (on average) in the majors.

Hitting from the same side that Ryan Gusto throws from, Benjamin Williamson will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Benjamin Williamson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.9% rate (95th percentile).

J.P. Crawford hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

J.P. Crawford will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Placing in the 21st percentile, J.P. Crawford sports a .164 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

In the past week, J.P. Crawford’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 91.9 mph to 87.7 mph.

Dylan Moore is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

11% of the time that Dylan Moore has started against a northpaw this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Hitting from the same side that Ryan Gusto throws from, Dylan Moore has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Typically, batters like Dylan Moore who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Ryan Gusto.

Ryan Gusto will have the handedness advantage against Randy Arozarena in today’s matchup.

Randy Arozarena will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Randy Arozarena has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 10% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last 7 days.

Randy Arozarena’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 92.4-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 80.5-mph in the past week.

Leody Taveras is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Leody Taveras in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 24.4°, Leody Taveras has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-18°) over the past two weeks.

Leody Taveras has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .249 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .209 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Rowdy Tellez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 50% of the time.

Rowdy Tellez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Rowdy Tellez today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 1st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

28% of the time that Jorge Polanco has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

The switch-hitting Jorge Polanco will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Ryan Gusto,In today’s matchup, Jorge Polanco is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.1% rate (98th percentile).

Typically, hitters like Jorge Polanco who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Ryan Gusto.

The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Ryan Gusto,Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.2% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Typically, batters like Cal Raleigh who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Ryan Gusto.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 5th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Emerson Hancock in the 10th percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Emerson Hancock to throw 84 pitches in this game (6th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Houston Astros with a 20.3% underlying K%.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Emerson Hancock (33.9% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 3 GB hitters in Houston’s projected offense.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Emerson Hancock’s overall pitching skill ranks in the 21st percentile among all starting pitchers in the game right now.

The Houston Astros have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better going forward,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 8th-best venue in the league for walks.

When it comes to his home run ability, Miles Mastrobuoni ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Miles Mastrobuoni is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Miles Mastrobuoni has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 34% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miles Mastrobuoni in the 19th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Miles Mastrobuoni in today’s matchup.

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