Guardians @ D-Backs Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the Cleveland Guardians Game Today

David Fry is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in the league for righty batting average.

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.

Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, David Fry will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

David Fry has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last season’s 90.6-mph mark.

When it comes to his home run skill, David Fry ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

David Fry’s launch angle this season (25.9°) is a significant increase over his 19.4° figure last year.

Angel Martinez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Eduardo Rodriguez.

Angel Martinez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.2-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.9-mph average.

There has been a significant improvement in Angel Martinez’s launch angle from last year’s 14.8° to 18.9° this year.

Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Batting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Adrian Del Castillo will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Adrian Del Castillo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Over the last 14 days, Adrian Del Castillo has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 4.3% to 9.5%.

Adrian Del Castillo’s launch angle in recent games (31° over the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 27.8° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adrian Del Castillo in the 75th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

The #3 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tanner Bibee in today’s game.

Tanner Bibee’s fastball spin rate has fallen 116 rpm this season (2245 rpm) below where it was last season (2361 rpm).

Arizona grades out as the #2 team in baseball when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle span that tends to best-produce base hits (42.4% rate this year).

The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Arizona Diamondbacks has been 117.9 mph this year, ranking them as the #5 squad in the game by this stat.

Tanner Bibee has averaged 95.4 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, grading out in the 94th percentile.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Adrian Del Castillo, Blaze Alexander, James McCann).

Tanner Bibee’s four-seamer percentage has dropped by 16% from last year to this one (43.4% to 27.4%) .

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Collin Kayfus in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 8th-best hitter in the majors.

Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the last 7 days, Ketel Marte’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.3% up to 21.7%.

When estimating his home run talent, Pavin Smith ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Pavin Smith is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Pavin Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Bibee in today’s matchup.

Pavin Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

This year, Pavin Smith’s 11.4% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 77th percentile among his peers.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Pavin Smith ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Carlos Santana is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Carlos Santana will get to bat from his better side against Eduardo Rodriguez today.

Carlos Santana’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 15.4% on the season to 25% over the last 14 days.

Carlos Santana has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 86th percentile with a 1.54 K/BB rate.

Jose Ramirez’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Jose Ramirez will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

Jose Ramirez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.6-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 88.8-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

In the past week’s worth of games, Jose Ramirez’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

In terms of his batting average, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has had bad variance on his side this year. His .246 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .265.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and James McCann will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

James McCann has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last year’s 86.9-mph average.

James McCann’s footspeed has gotten better this season. His 25.15 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.44 ft/sec now.

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Geraldo Perdomo will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Tanner Bibee in this game.

Geraldo Perdomo will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Geraldo Perdomo has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.1-mph average to last year’s 88.1-mph figure.

Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 13% to 20.2%.

Recording 91.5 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Eduardo Rodriguez checks in at the 77th percentile.

The Cleveland Guardians have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Collin Kayfus, Gabriel Arias, Bo Naylor).

Due to his reverse platoon split, Eduardo Rodriguez will be at an advantage squaring off against 6 bats in the projected batting order of opposing handedness in today’s matchup.

The 2nd-weakest projected batting order on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the Cleveland Guardians.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Gabriel Arias will have the handedness advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Gabriel Arias’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.7% up to 28.6%.

Gabriel Arias has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 103.2-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 97.5-mph.

Compared to his seasonal average of 6.4°, Gabriel Arias has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 25° mark in the past week.

Brayan Rocchio has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 3.4% seasonal rate to 25% over the last week.

Brayan Rocchio has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.5-mph average to last season’s 84.5-mph EV.

Brayan Rocchio’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 37.7% to 47.5%.

Compared to his seasonal average of 11.7°, Brayan Rocchio has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 21.3° mark in the past week.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Brayan Rocchio has experienced some negative variance this year. His .275 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .296.

Brayan Rocchio has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .235 BA is a fair amount lower than his .259 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Blaze Alexander will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Blaze Alexander has made big gains with his Barrel%, improving his 3.4% rate last season to 13.5% this year.

Blaze Alexander has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 93.5-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Blaze Alexander’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 12.2% on the season to 33.3% in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Batting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Alek Thomas will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the last 7 days, Alek Thomas’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.5% up to 16.7%.

Alek Thomas’s launch angle recently (12° in the past week’s worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 3.8° seasonal figure.

Steven Kwan is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

When it comes to plate discipline, Steven Kwan’s skill is quite impressive, putting up a 1.08 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Steven Kwan’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 47.8% on the season to 52.9% in the last 7 days.

Using Statcast data, Steven Kwan ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .290.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Corbin Carroll will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Negatives with the Arizona Diamondbacks Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Fry in the 24th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

The 3rd-deepest centerfield fences in the league are found in Chase Field.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the least humidity of the day at 24%.

Among every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for David Fry today.

Among all stadiums, the 10th-highest fences are at Chase Field.

The #5 park in the game for suppressing home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Angel Martinez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

In the past 7 days, Angel Martinez’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.4%.

Adrian Del Castillo’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Adrian Del Castillo has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Chase Field grades out as the #26 venue in the game for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tanner Bibee in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Arizona Diamondbacks in this game has an estimated true talent wOBA of .320, which is a good deal lower than their actual wOBA of .331 this year.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in the future,It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (David Rackley) calling pitches in this game.

Chase Field profiles as the #22 venue in MLB for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tanner Bibee struggled when it came to striking hitters out in his previous GS and accumulated 2 Ks.

Collin Kayfus is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Collin Kayfus will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will bat from his bad side against Tanner Bibee in today’s game.

Ketel Marte pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

Ketel Marte’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 96.8-mph figure last season has decreased to 94.6-mph.

This year, Pavin Smith has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 32% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Pavin Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 95.2-mph average last year has lowered to 92.2-mph.

Carlos Santana’s BABIP ability is projected in the 0th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Carlos Santana will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Ramirez in today’s game.

Over the past 14 days, Jose Ramirez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.6% down to 2.6%.

Batting from the same side that Tanner Bibee throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. encounters a tough challenge today.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph dropping to 80.5-mph over the last two weeks.

James McCann is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Tanner Bibee throws from, James McCann will be at a disadvantage today.

James McCann hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 15th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 19th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Despite posting a .361 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Geraldo Perdomo has experienced some positive variance given the .048 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313.

Eduardo Rodriguez’s 91.4-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 18th percentile among all starters.

Eduardo Rodriguez’s high utilization rate of his fastball (54.4% this year) is likely weakening his results, considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Eduardo Rodriguez has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 9.08 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.83 — a 0.25 K/9 gap.

Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded a 4.75 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that deals with the things a pitcher can most influence) this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile.

Rating highest in Major League Baseball this year, Cleveland Guardians bats jointly have compiled a 16.6° launch angle (an advanced standard to assess the ability to lift the ball for power).

Gabriel Arias is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

Gabriel Arias hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gabriel Arias today.

Brayan Rocchio is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brayan Rocchio in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 13th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Blaze Alexander is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

Tanner Bibee will hold the platoon advantage over Blaze Alexander in today’s game.

Blaze Alexander has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Alek Thomas is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Alek Thomas has been pinch hit for 11% of the time.

When estimating his home run skill, Steven Kwan ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Eduardo Rodriguez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Steven Kwan in today’s matchup.

Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

In today’s game, Corbin Carroll is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.3% rate (78th percentile).

Over the past 14 days, Corbin Carroll’s 5.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.5%.

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