
CLE @ STL






Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 22nd
22/09/24 14:15:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Guardians vs Cardinals Series Game 3 Matchup Today
When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Gavin Williams in the 81st percentile among all starting pitchers in the league.
Brennan Miller profiles as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be behind the plate in today’s game.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Bo Naylor (the Guardians’s expected catcher today) is considered to be a good pitch framer.
With 6 hitters who share the same handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Gavin Williams ought to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.
In his previous outing, Gavin Williams was firing on all cylinders and put up 7 strikeouts.
Masyn Winn is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.
Masyn Winn will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Masyn Winn has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 89.9-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal figure of 87.9-mph.
In notching a .274 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Masyn Winn is ranked in the 85th percentile.
Kyle Manzardo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (91% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
Kyle Manzardo will hold the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today’s matchup.
Kyle Manzardo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
Extreme flyball batters like Kyle Manzardo generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Andre Pallante.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.
Brendan Donovan will hold the platoon advantage over Gavin Williams in today’s game.
In the last two weeks, Brayan Rocchio’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20%.
Andre Pallante has averaged 92.2 adjusted pitches per start this year, placing in the 75th percentile.
Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Andre Pallante will hold that advantage today.
Andre Pallante was in good form in his last game started and accumulated 9 strikeouts.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Lane Thomas ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Lane Thomas is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.
The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the worst among every team today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Paul Goldschmidt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Josh Naylor ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Josh Naylor is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Josh Naylor will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Alec Burleson is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage over Gavin Williams in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
Bats such as Jose Ramirez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Andre Pallante who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Pedro Pages will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Over the past 14 days, Pedro Pages’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.7-mph over the course of the season to 95.2-mph lately.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Lars Nootbaar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams in today’s game.
Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Lars Nootbaar will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
In terms of plate discipline, Nolan Arenado’s talent is quite strong, sporting a 2.06 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 76th percentile.
Compared to his seasonal average of 13.4°, Paul Goldschmidt has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 21° angle in the last week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Bo Naylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante today.
Bo Naylor has a ton of pop (79th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (27.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante is a pitch-to-contact type (25th percentile K%) — great news for Naylor.
Bo Naylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Andres Gimenez will have the upper hand today.
Extreme flyball batters like Bo Naylor tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Andre Pallante.
Angel Martinez is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.
Angel Martinez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.3-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 87.4-mph.
As it relates to plate discipline, Angel Martinez’s ability is quite good, putting up a 1.77 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 88th percentile.
Over the last week, Jordan Walker’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.4% up to 23.1%.
Lane Thomas has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal average of 89.5-mph.
It may be smart to expect improved performance for the St. Louis Cardinals offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 7th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.
Alec Burleson will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Andres Gimenez has suffered from bad luck this year. His .280 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .308.
Andres Gimenez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .250 figure is considerably lower than his .276 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 79th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Negative Match Player Stats with Guardians vs Cardinals Series Game 3
The St. Louis Cardinals (20.9 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 4th-least strikeout-prone group of hitters of all teams on the slate today.
Busch Stadium grades out as the #25 stadium in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 81°.
Gavin Williams will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Gavin Williams has utilized his slider 14.7% less often this season (7.4%) than he did last year (22.1%).
HRs are generally less common at ballparks with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest among all major league parks.
Hitting from the same side that Gavin Williams throws from, Masyn Winn encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Out of all the teams playing today, the best infield defense is that of the the Cleveland Guardians.
In the last week’s worth of games, Masyn Winn’s 5.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.7%.
Masyn Winn has been lucky this year, putting up a .312 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .290 — a .022 discrepancy.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 14th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Kyle Manzardo has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 23% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.
Kyle Manzardo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Kyle Manzardo has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .254 BA is a fair amount higher than his .215 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Busch Stadium profiles as the #27 venue in the majors for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Brendan Donovan has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Brendan Donovan’s launch angle of late (9.8° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit worse than his 13.2° seasonal angle.
When assessing his home run skill, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brayan Rocchio is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today’s game.
This year, Brayan Rocchio has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 10% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.
The 2nd-deepest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Busch Stadium.
When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Andre Pallante in the 11th percentile among all starters in MLB.
Given that flyball pitchers struggle the most against groundball hitters, Andre Pallante (59.6% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today’s game with 3 GB hitters in Cleveland’s projected offense.
Andre Pallante’s high utilization percentage of his fastball (68.9% this year) is likely weakening his results, consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Busch Stadium ranks as the #27 field in the game for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Andre Pallante will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lane Thomas in today’s game.
In today’s game, Lane Thomas is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.7% rate (78th percentile).
Lane Thomas will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Lane Thomas’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 94.8-mph EV last year has decreased to 89.5-mph.
Gavin Williams will have the handedness advantage over Paul Goldschmidt in today’s matchup.
Paul Goldschmidt has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph dropping to 79.9-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
Josh Naylor will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Josh Naylor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, falling from 14.3% on the season to 7.7% over the last 14 days.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (23.4) suggests that Josh Naylor has had some very good luck this year with his 30.5 actual HR/600.
Alec Burleson has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal angle of 13.4°, Alec Burleson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.1°) in the last 14 days.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (16.4) provides evidence that Alec Burleson has had some very good luck this year with his 22.1 actual HR/600.
Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Jose Ramirez has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 7.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 2.2% over the past 14 days.
In the last week, Jose Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 90.7 mph to 85.3 mph.
Pedro Pages is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Gavin Williams will have the handedness advantage over Pedro Pages today.
Over the past 7 days, Pedro Pages’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.6%.
When it comes to his home run talent, Masyn Winn ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.
Over the last week, Lars Nootbaar’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.1%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Gavin Williams will hold the platoon advantage against Nolan Arenado today.
Today, Nolan Arenado is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 42.8% rate (100th percentile).
Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 88.8-mph average last season has dropped to 86-mph.
Paul Goldschmidt has shown poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 25th percentile with a 3.52 K/BB rate.
In the last two weeks, Alec Burleson has recorded a mere a 3% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 8th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Bo Naylor is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.
15% of the time that Bo Naylor has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bo Naylor today.
Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 86-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 83.6-mph in the last two weeks.
Jordan Walker is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Gavin Williams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Walker today.
Jordan Walker’s launch angle recently (6° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is quite a bit worse than his 12.1° seasonal mark.
The Cleveland Guardians have been the 6th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward, Busch Stadium ranks as the #28 park in the majors for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.
Extreme groundball bats like Andres Gimenez tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Andre Pallante.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andres Gimenez in today’s matchup.
Using Statcast metrics, Bo Naylor is in the 2nd percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .196.
As it relates to his home run ability, Angel Martinez ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will bat from his worse side (0) today against Andre Pallante, Angel Martinez pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Angel Martinez in today’s game.
Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 44.3% to 38.8%.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.318) may lead us to conclude that Josh Naylor has had some very good luck this year with his .332 actual wOBA.
Josh Naylor has posted a .244 BABIP this year, placing in the 5th percentile.
In the last 14 days, Angel Martinez’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.4%.
Angel Martinez has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) over the past 14 days.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.296) suggests that Kyle Manzardo has had some very good luck this year with his .319 actual wOBA.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Gavin Williams’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 78th percentile out of all SPs in the majors right now.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Brayan Rocchio will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Andre Pallante in this game.
Jordan Walker has put up a .191 batting average this year, grading out in the 23rd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 17th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Andres Gimenez has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.2-mph dropping to 83.4-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
With a .260 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Bo Naylor finds himself in the 3rd percentile for hitting ability.
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