Giants @ Athletics Matchup Details

Positives for the San Francisco Giants Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Rodriguez in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Sutter Health Park grades out as the #2 park in baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.

,High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of all games today at 92°.

,The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Heliot Ramos is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

,When assessing his home run ability, Casey Schmitt ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Casey Schmitt is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 6th-best stadium in the majors for right-handed home runs.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Darell Hernaiz in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,The #3 park in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.

,The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Zack Gelof will hold that advantage today.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.

,Carlos Cortes is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Carlos Cortes will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Darell Hernaiz will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Aaron Civale will hold that advantage today.

,Aaron Civale has gone to his curveball 5.1% more often this season (22.5%) than he did last year (17.4%).

,Out of all starters, Aaron Civale’s fastball spin rate of 2430.3 rpm grades out in the 84th percentile since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Brent Rooker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Shea Langeliers as Major League Baseball’s 15th-best home run batter.

,Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

,Luis Arraez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

,In his previous game started, Tyler Mahle was in good form and allowed 2 ER.

,With a 0.95 gap between Tyler Mahle’s 5.18 ERA and his 4.23 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors this year and figures to perform better in the future.

,NULL’s 91.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs makes them the #22 team in MLB this year by this standard.

,Sutter Health Park ranks as the #6 venue in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Nick Kurtz projects as the 15th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nick Kurtz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Henry Bolte as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Mahle in today’s game.

,Jung Hoo Lee is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,Casey Schmitt’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 15.5% to 21.4%.

,In his previous GS, Aaron Civale was firing on all cylinders and conceded 2 ER.

,The Athletics have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Nick Kurtz, Henry Bolte, Zack Gelof).

,Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Drew Gilbert will have an edge in today’s game.

,Henry Bolte will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Matt Chapman has been unlucky this year, putting up a .279 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .332 — a .053 discrepancy.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 3rd-best batter in the game as it relates to his batting average skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Willy Adames has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 91.7-mph over the last week.

Negatives with the Athletics Game Today

Jesus Rodriguez is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

,The 6th-deepest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Sutter Health Park.

,Aaron Civale will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

,Jesus Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Jesus Rodriguez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 89.6-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 82.1-mph over the last 7 days.

,Batting from the same side that Aaron Civale throws from, Heliot Ramos will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

,Heliot Ramos hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Heliot Ramos in today’s game.

,Heliot Ramos’s launch angle this year (6.5°) is considerably lower than his 12° figure last season.

,Heliot Ramos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, falling from 10.9% on the season to 7.1% in the last two weeks.

,Today, Rafael Devers is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.9% rate (82nd percentile).

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Rafael Devers in today’s game.

,Rafael Devers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 15.1% to 11.1%.

,Rafael Devers has shown weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 19th percentile with a 3.92 K/BB rate.

,Aaron Civale will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Schmitt in today’s game.

,Casey Schmitt pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.8% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Casey Schmitt will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Casey Schmitt has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 14.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last 7 days.

,Despite posting a .359 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Casey Schmitt has experienced some positive variance given the .044 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .315.

,Darell Hernaiz is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.

,Hitting from the same side that Tyler Mahle throws from, Darell Hernaiz will have a tough challenge today.

,Darell Hernaiz hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.

,Darell Hernaiz’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 84.6-mph EV last year has dropped off to 81.9-mph.

,Darell Hernaiz’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 81.9-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 72.3-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Zack Gelof is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

,Tyler Mahle will have the handedness advantage over Zack Gelof in today’s game.

,In the past 7 days, Zack Gelof’s 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 37%.

,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.145) implies that Zack Gelof has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .210 actual batting average.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Darell Hernaiz in the 6th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Carlos Cortes’s BABIP skill is projected in the 17th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Carlos Cortes has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 38% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

,Carlos Cortes hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 83rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.

,Carlos Cortes has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 10.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,In the last 14 days, Carlos Cortes’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 93 mph to 90.5 mph.

,The San Francisco Giants (19.2 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone set of hitters of all teams on the slate today.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Shea Langeliers (the Athletics’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) profiles as a weak pitch framer.

,Aaron Civale has compiled a 7.7% Swinging Strike% this year, ranking in the 10th percentile.

,Tyler Mahle will have the handedness advantage over Brent Rooker today.

,Brent Rooker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.

,Willy Adames is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

,Aaron Civale will hold the platoon advantage over Willy Adames in today’s matchup.

,Willy Adames pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 81st percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

,Extreme flyball bats like Willy Adames usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Aaron Civale.

,Willy Adames will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Tyler Mahle will have the handedness advantage against Shea Langeliers today.

,Shea Langeliers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 83rd percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Despite posting a .427 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Shea Langeliers has had some very good luck given the .072 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .355.

,When assessing his home run talent, Luis Arraez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Luis Arraez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Over the past two weeks, Luis Arraez has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

,With a .000 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Luis Arraez is positioned in the 0th percentile for power.

,The #3 venue in MLB for boosting batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.

,Nick Kurtz has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Nick Kurtz has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 94.8-mph dropping to 92.1-mph over the last two weeks.

,In the last two weeks, Nick Kurtz’s 6.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.5%.

,Henry Bolte has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

,Tyler Mahle will hold the platoon advantage over Henry Bolte in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 17th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Sutter Health Park has the 9th-largest outfield in the majors — generally bad for HRs.

,Jeff McNeil has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.6-mph dropping to 81.7-mph over the past two weeks.

,Jeff McNeil’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 89.6-mph mark last season has dropped off to 83.5-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 5th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Jung Hoo Lee has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jung Hoo Lee today.

,Jung Hoo Lee’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 88.6-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 78.3-mph over the past week.

,Jung Hoo Lee’s launch angle in recent games (2° over the past week) is significantly worse than his 12.7° seasonal mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 13th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,Tyler Soderstrom has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Tyler Soderstrom has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph dropping to 85.1-mph in the past week.

,Tyler Soderstrom’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 47% to 33.3%.

,Tyler Soderstrom’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, going from 33.3% on the season to 20% in the last week.

,Placing in the 17th percentile, Tyler Soderstrom sports a .201 batting average this year.

,Over the past 7 days, Casey Schmitt’s 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 35.9%.

,It may be best to expect stronger performance for the San Francisco Giants offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

,Despite posting a .339 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Zack Gelof has been lucky given the .035 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .304.

,Using Statcast data, Zack Gelof ranks in the 8th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .220.

,Tyler Mahle will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Tyler Mahle’s 91.8-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 14th percentile among all starters.

,Tyler Mahle has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, notching a 9.07 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.12 — a 0.95 K/9 deviation.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Gilbert in the 25th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Drew Gilbert is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.

,This year, Drew Gilbert has been pinch hit for in 22% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Drew Gilbert in today’s matchup.

,Matt Chapman has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.

,Aaron Civale will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Chapman in today’s game.

,Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.

,Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt Chapman today.

,Matt Chapman’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 86.8-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 84.7-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Rodriguez in the 10th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,Luis Arraez’s 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) grades out in the 0th percentile this year.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Carlos Cortes’s 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.9%.

,Matt Chapman’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 92.3-mph EV last year has fallen off to 86.8-mph.

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