Todays Series Game 4 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Dodgers vs D-Backs Series Game 4 Series Game 4 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the game for LHB BABIP.

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

This contest is projected to have the 10th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Given Jack Flaherty’s large platoon split, Adrian Del Castillo will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

Adrian Del Castillo will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Miguel Rojas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (91% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Miguel Rojas will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Geraldo Perdomo has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.3-mph average to last year’s 87.1-mph mark.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

Considering Jack Flaherty’s large platoon split, Corbin Carroll will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Jack Flaherty’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 89th percentile among all SPs in the league right now.

Jack Flaherty has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying 6.6 more adjusted pitches-per-start than average.

The underlying talent of the Arizona Diamondbacks projected batting order today (.313 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be significantly weaker than their .332 wOBA this year.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress going forward, Luis Guillorme will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today’s game… and even more favorably, Flaherty has a large platoon split.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Luis Guillorme will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Tommy Edman’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tommy Edman has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (70% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

Shohei Ohtani has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.9-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 95.1-mph average.

Jake McCarthy’s BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake McCarthy is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Smith in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Will Smith will have an edge in today’s game.

As it relates to his strikeout ability, Jack Flaherty projects as the 13th-best SP in the league right now, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jack Flaherty has utilized his slider 5.6% more often this year (30.4%) than he did last year (24.8%).

Jack Flaherty has notched a 13.6% Swinging Strike percentage this year, grading out in the 90th percentile.

Ranking in the 98th percentile, Jack Flaherty has notched a 32.5% K% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

Mookie Betts projects as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mookie Betts is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

As it relates to his home run talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Chris Taylor will have the upper hand in today’s game.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Chris Taylor has suffered from bad luck this year. His .253 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .294.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Tommy Edman will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

Compared to last season, Tommy Edman has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.6% to 21.4% this season.

Adrian Del Castillo has been hot in recent games, posting a .416 wOBA in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Taylor in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Joc Pederson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Flaherty has a large platoon split.

In the last week, Luis Guillorme’s 14.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 9.9%.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future games, Kike Hernandez will have the handedness advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

Over the past week, Kike Hernandez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5% up to 18.2%.

Kike Hernandez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.7-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.1-mph figure.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Recording 91.8 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Eduardo Rodriguez falls in the 75th percentile.

Eduardo Rodriguez’s change-up usage has increased by 5.7% from last year to this one (18.9% to 24.6%) .

Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded a 24.4% Strikeout% since the start of last season, grading out in the 76th percentile.

In the past week, Eugenio Suarez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.8% up to 15.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Teoscar Hernandez will hold the platoon advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

Will Smith has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 10.9% seasonal rate to 42.9% in the last week’s worth of games.

Jake McCarthy will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Flaherty today… and the cherry on top, Flaherty has a large platoon split.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal average of 10.9°, Miguel Rojas has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 23° angle in the past two weeks.

Compared to his seasonal average of 17.8°, Geraldo Perdomo has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 23.7° figure in the past two weeks.

Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Mookie Betts will have an edge today.

Negative Match Player Stats with Dodgers vs D-Backs Series Game 4

Adrian Del Castillo is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield dimensions in the majors.

Checking in at the 6th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.06 ft/sec this year, Adrian Del Castillo is not very quick.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 4th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

In today’s game, Miguel Rojas is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.3% rate (92nd percentile).

The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams today.

Miguel Rojas will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Miguel Rojas’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 87.3-mph average last season has lowered to 84.6-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 13th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Geraldo Perdomo will face a mismatch against Jack Flaherty and his large platoon split today.

Geraldo Perdomo’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 87.7-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 82.2-mph over the last week.

The #2 field in MLB for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 16.5% to 10.3%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.0) suggests that Corbin Carroll has been very fortunate this year with his 19.3 actual HR/600.

Ramon De Jesus profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is likely to be umping in this game.

The #3 field in MLB for boosting base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have 7 bats in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Flaherty in this matchup, which is especially problematic given his large platoon split.

When assessing his home run skill, Luis Guillorme ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Guillorme is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

In today’s matchup, Luis Guillorme is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.5% rate (85th percentile).

Luis Guillorme has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86-mph dropping to 80.7-mph in the past week.

In the last week’s worth of games, Luis Guillorme’s 14.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45%.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tommy Edman in today’s matchup.

Tommy Edman has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 5.1% rate last season has fallen off to 0% this season.

Tommy Edman’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 90.6-mph average last season has fallen to 85.8-mph.

Eduardo Rodriguez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shohei Ohtani today.

Shohei Ohtani will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Jake McCarthy’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 14.8% on the season to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake McCarthy’s true offensive ability to be a .307, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .047 gap between that mark and his actual .354 wOBA.

Will Smith has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Will Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Will Smith will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

In the past week’s worth of games, Will Smith’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 21.9%.

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jack Flaherty in today’s matchup.

Joc Pederson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.6% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

In the past 14 days, Joc Pederson’s 27.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.4%.

Joc Pederson has been lucky this year, notching a .403 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .354 — a .049 disparity.

Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mookie Betts today.

This season, Mookie Betts’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 12.5% last year to just 5.7% this year.

Mookie Betts’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 92.4-mph mark last year has dropped to 90.4-mph.

Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Jack Flaherty will have the handedness advantage against Eugenio Suarez in today’s game… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Flaherty’s large platoon split.

Eugenio Suarez has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 85.5-mph in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 20th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Teoscar Hernandez has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Teoscar Hernandez in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 9.5°, Teoscar Hernandez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6°) in the past 14 days.

From last year to this one, Teoscar Hernandez’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 47.7% to 42.7%.

Chris Taylor is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-worst park in the game for righty home runs.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Chris Taylor in today’s game.

Chris Taylor’s launch angle this year (16.8°) is quite a bit lower than his 21.2° angle last year.

Adrian Del Castillo has displayed some bad exit velocity benchmarks of late, averaging just 104-mph on the top 5% of his batted balls over the past 14 days.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Luis Guillorme ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ranked in the 16th percentile, Chris Taylor’s average exit velocity of 85.5 mph ranks among the lowest in the majors this year.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 40.3% to 33.6%.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 33.6% on the season to 26.5% in the last two weeks.

Corbin Carroll has recorded a .243 BABIP this year, checking in at the 6th percentile.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 16.2°, Joc Pederson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (9°) in the last 14 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Eduardo Rodriguez’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 83rd percentile out of all SPs in Major League Baseball currently.

Today’s version of the Dodgers projected offense is weaker than usual, as their .332 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .346 overall projected rate.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Eduardo Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Kike Hernandez is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Kike Hernandez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kike Hernandez today.

Kike Hernandez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 13% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

Among all starting pitchers, Eduardo Rodriguez’s fastball velocity of 91.1 mph ranks in the 22nd percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kike Hernandez in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

As it relates to his home run talent, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his home run talent, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

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