
ARI @ CIN


Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Friday, June 6th
06/06/25 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for D-Backs vs Reds Matchup Today
When assessing his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
The #1 stadium in the majors for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.5-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.
Great American Ball Park has the 5th-shallowest LF fences among all stadiums.
Tim Tawa will have the handedness advantage against Nick Lodolo in today’s game.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the league.
Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.
When estimating his home run skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Tyler Stephenson’s BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Randal Grichuk is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Santiago Espinal is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Santiago Espinal will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 13% to 20.8%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Eduardo Rodriguez in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.
The Cincinnati Reds have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Elly De La Cruz, Matt McLain, Austin Wynns).
Projected catcher Gabriel Moreno grades out as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Eduardo Rodriguez has a reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 8 opposite-handed hitters in this game.
Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded a 26.2% strikeout rate this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Gabriel Moreno will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.
The #1 field in the majors for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so TJ Friedl can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Great American Ball Park ranks as the #5 park in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Nick Lodolo has averaged 92.2 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 78th percentile.
Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Nick Lodolo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Nick Lodolo has gone to his change-up 6.6% more often this year (23.1%) than he did last year (16.5%).
Spencer Steer will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s game.
Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.
Matt McLain’s BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Matt McLain will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s game.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Matt McLain ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
In Major League Baseball, Great American Ball Park’s right field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.
Negative Match Player Stats with D-Backs vs Reds
As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s game.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Elly De La Cruz has had some very good luck this year. His .339 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .314.
Tim Tawa is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
Tim Tawa will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ketel Marte today.
In terms of his home runs, Ketel Marte has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His 37.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 29.7.
Despite posting a .422 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ketel Marte has had some very good luck given the .046 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .376.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Eugenio Suarez today.
Eugenio Suarez’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 91-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 84.5-mph over the last 7 days.
Eugenio Suarez has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 38.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal higher than his 29.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Placing in the 3rd percentile, Eugenio Suarez has put up a .223 BABIP this year.
In terms of his batting average, Tyler Stephenson has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .254 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .235.
In terms of his home runs, Tyler Stephenson has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His 23.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 17.1.
Randal Grichuk will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
From last season to this one, Randal Grichuk’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 18.1% to 12.5%.
Randal Grichuk has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .284 figure is considerably higher than his .257 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week.
In the past week, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 92.1 mph to 82.4 mph.
Sporting a .248 BABIP this year, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. finds himself in the 13th percentile.
In the past two weeks, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s 9.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.6%.
When assessing his home run talent, Santiago Espinal ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
In the past week, Santiago Espinal’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 86.2 mph to 78.3 mph.
Santiago Espinal’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (6.3°) is considerably lower than his 11.3° mark last year.
Over the last week, Santiago Espinal’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.5%.
In notching a .270 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Santiago Espinal is ranked in the 7th percentile for offensive skills.
Checking in at the 11th percentile, Santiago Espinal has put up a .265 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
When assessing his home run talent, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Geraldo Perdomo has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.
Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Geraldo Perdomo has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 84.9-mph over the past two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Geraldo Perdomo’s true offensive skill to be a .304, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .045 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .349 wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Eduardo Rodriguez to be on a bit of a short leash today, projecting a maximum of 65 pitches.
Eduardo Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Among all starting pitchers, Eduardo Rodriguez’s fastball velocity of 91.3 mph ranks in the 15th percentile this year.
Gabriel Moreno is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
Typically, bats like Gabriel Moreno who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Nick Lodolo.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gabriel Moreno today.
Gabriel Moreno’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 91.7-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 81.5-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.308) may lead us to conclude that Gabriel Moreno has had some very good luck this year with his .332 actual wOBA.
TJ Friedl’s BABIP talent is projected in the 11th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Eduardo Rodriguez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against TJ Friedl in today’s matchup.
TJ Friedl has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph dropping to 83.5-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
TJ Friedl’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 18.8% to 12.3%.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.246) suggests that TJ Friedl has been lucky this year with his .300 actual batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 13th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
TJ Friedl has been lucky this year, notching a .354 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .060 discrepancy.
The Arizona Diamondbacks (19.4 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup of all teams on the slate.
Projected catcher Tyler Stephenson grades out as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Nick Lodolo struggled when it came to striking batters out in his last start and put up 1 Ks.
Spencer Steer is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.
Spencer Steer has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 5.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 14 days.
Spencer Steer’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 90.6-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 86.9-mph over the past 7 days.
Spencer Steer has posted a .286 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 16th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Spencer Steer has notched a .262 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 9th percentile.
Matt McLain has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (62% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.
Matt McLain has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 8.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past 14 days.
Matt McLain’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 89.6-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 84.7-mph in the past 7 days.
Placing in the 4th percentile, Matt McLain has posted a .245 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Ranking in the 2nd percentile, Matt McLain sports a .166 batting average this year.
Posting a .273 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Matt McLain is positioned in the 6th percentile.
Nick Lodolo will hold the platoon advantage against Corbin Carroll in today’s matchup.
Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
As it relates to his home runs, Corbin Carroll has been lucky this year. His 39.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 32.0.
Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, decreasing from 38.8% on the season to 18.5% over the last two weeks.
Corbin Carroll has been lucky this year, notching a .383 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .358 — a .025 disparity.
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