D-Backs vs Red Sox match player stats Sunday, August 25th 2024. Arizona Diamondbacks at Boston Red Sox Series Game 3

D-Backs vs Red Sox match player stats Sunday, August 25th 2024. Arizona Diamondbacks at Boston Red Sox Series Game 3

ARI @ BOS

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Positive Match Player Stats for D-Backs vs Red Sox Series Game 3

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for run-scoring.

Josh Bell has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in action today.

When it comes to his home run ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.1% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball batters like Eugenio Suarez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Houck.

Eugenio Suarez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.9-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 92.2-mph.

Over the last two weeks, Eugenio Suarez has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 30.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 19.5°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

The shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Fenway Park.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage today.

Ceddanne Rafaela has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.4-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 86.7-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Triston Casas is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today’s matchup.

Triston Casas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Triston Casas will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Joc Pederson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Joc Pederson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

The #5 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

Given Tanner Houck’s large platoon split, Joc Pederson will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.

Joc Pederson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Jarren Duran is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Jarren Duran will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today’s game.

Wilyer Abreu hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Considering Tanner Houck’s large platoon split, Adrian Del Castillo will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Adrian Del Castillo has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Adrian Del Castillo has been hot in recent games, posting a a 19% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 5th-best venue in baseball for RHB BABIP.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today’s game.

By putting up a .348 BABIP this year, Connor Wong has performed in the 95th percentile.

Rafael Devers projects as the 17th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand today.

Rafael Devers has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Rob Refsnyder’s BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Rob Refsnyder will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Masataka Yoshida’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Masataka Yoshida has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Masataka Yoshida will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Houck in today’s game… and even better, Houck has a large platoon split.

Corbin Carroll has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Over the last week, Corbin Carroll’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.8% up to 29.4%.

Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Jake McCarthy’s BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake McCarthy is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Jake McCarthy will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Houck in today’s game… and the cherry on top, Houck has a large platoon split.

Jake McCarthy has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Jake McCarthy has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 91.4-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 87.2-mph.

Jake McCarthy’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (15.6°) is considerably higher than his 11.1° figure last season.

Tanner Houck has averaged 95.9 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 93rd percentile.

Given that groundball hitters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Tanner Houck (51.4% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today’s game with 3 GB hitters in the opposition’s projected offense.

Tanner Houck will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his metrics in all categories.

Tanner Houck was rolling in his last outing and compiled 8 strikeouts.

When estimating his home run talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB.

Geraldo Perdomo has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.4-mph average to last year’s 87.1-mph figure.

Geraldo Perdomo’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (20.4° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 13° seasonal angle.

Geraldo Perdomo has had some very poor luck with his home runs this year; his 4.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly deflated relative to his 12.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to plate discipline, Geraldo Perdomo’s skill is quite good, posting a 1.98 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 78th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Rob Refsnyder ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Rob Refsnyder has made significant strides with his Barrel%, improving his 3.9% rate last season to 10% this year.

Ceddanne Rafaela’s launch angle in recent games (23.1° in the past week’s worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 14.5° seasonal mark.

Ceddanne Rafaela has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 17.7° mark is among the highest in baseball this year (90th percentile).

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph to 90.9-mph in the past week.

There has been a significant improvement in Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s launch angle from last year’s 10.7° to 15.7° this season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Tanner Houck’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 92nd percentile among all SPs in baseball currently.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Arizona Diamondbacks in this game carries an estimated true talent wOBA of .313, which is quite a bit lower than their actual wOBA of .331 this year.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward, Joc Pederson has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.3-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 92.6-mph figure.

Wilyer Abreu will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Over the last 14 days, Adrian Del Castillo has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, notching a 25° angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Masataka Yoshida has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.3% seasonal rate to 13.9% in the past 14 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Triston Casas ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negative Match Player Stats with D-Backs vs Red Sox Series Game 3

Fenway Park has the 2nd-tallest average fence height among all stadiums.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

Extreme groundball bats like Josh Bell tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Houck.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Josh Bell today.

Josh Bell has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

Because of Tanner Houck’s large platoon split, Eugenio Suarez will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate today.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Eugenio Suarez today.

Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will not have the upper hand today.

As it relates to his batting average, Ceddanne Rafaela has been very fortunate this year. His .262 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .247.

Ceddanne Rafaela has compiled a .291 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 24th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Triston Casas’s launch angle this season (11.5°) is significantly lower than his 15.6° figure last season.

Triston Casas has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .370 figure is a good deal higher than his .269 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Joc Pederson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 23% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

Joc Pederson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Joc Pederson has been lucky this year, putting up a .407 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .353 — a .054 disparity.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Jarren Duran’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 93.7 mph to 90.8 mph.

Jarren Duran has been lucky this year, compiling a .368 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .336 — a .032 gap.

Wilyer Abreu has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 31% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Wilyer Abreu has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 12.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.224) suggests that Wilyer Abreu has had some very good luck this year with his .265 actual batting average.

Adrian Del Castillo’s BABIP skill is projected in the 22nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Adrian Del Castillo is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Adrian Del Castillo has been pinch hit for 12% of the time.

Triston Casas’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 40% to 34.8%.

This year, there has been a decline in Triston Casas’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 24.86 ft/sec last year to 23.93 ft/sec currently.

Connor Wong is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Brandon Pfaadt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connor Wong today.

Connor Wong has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 5.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past week.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 12.6°, Connor Wong’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls has dropped significantly in recent games (-2.7° in the past 14 days).

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.351) may lead us to conclude that Rafael Devers has had some very good luck this year with his .390 actual wOBA.

Brandon Pfaadt will hold the platoon advantage over Rob Refsnyder in today’s matchup.

Rob Refsnyder has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10% seasonal rate has lowered to 4.2% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

In the past week’s worth of games, Rob Refsnyder’s 7.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.5%.

Despite posting a .364 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Rob Refsnyder has had some very good luck given the .033 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331.

Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

Masataka Yoshida has been lucky this year, notching a .360 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .332 — a .028 gap.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Corbin Carroll in today’s matchup.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 16.5% to 9.8%.

Extreme flyball hitters like Jake McCarthy tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Tanner Houck.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake McCarthy in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 11.7°, Jake McCarthy has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6.7°) in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 11th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 40.3% to 34.3%.

Ranking in the 6th percentile, Corbin Carroll sports a .244 BABIP this year.

Lance Barksdale grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is likely to be umping today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Connor Wong (the Red Sox’s expected catcher in today’s game) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 9th-worst venue in MLB for strikeouts.

Given his large platoon split, Tanner Houck faces a tough challenge being matched up with 7 bats in the projected lineup of the opposite hand in this outing.

Josh Bell’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 88.7-mph seasonal average has decreased to 84.4-mph over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 14th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.

The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Tanner Houck… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Houck’s large platoon split.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Geraldo Perdomo in today’s matchup.

By putting up a 7.69 K/BB rate this year, Ceddanne Rafaela has demonstrated poor plate discipline, grading out in the 1st percentile.

Tanner Houck will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today’s matchup… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Houck’s large platoon split.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. today.

Over the last two weeks, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (5.2°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 12.4°.

When it comes to plate discipline, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s talent is quite bad, sporting a 4.16 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 17th percentile.

The #3 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Adrian Del Castillo in today’s game.

Connor Wong’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 89.1-mph EV last season has lowered to 86.6-mph.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Wilyer Abreu has been very fortunate this year. His .354 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .321.

Jake McCarthy has been lucky this year, putting up a .361 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .053 gap.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.258) implies that Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has had positive variance on his side this year with his .274 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 16th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Ranking in the 21st percentile, Eugenio Suarez has notched a .225 batting average this year.

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