
ARI @ BOS





Positive Match Player Stats for D-Backs vs Red Sox
As it relates to his home run skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.2% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Extreme groundball batters like Eugenio Suarez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.
Among every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.
Eugenio Suarez is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Boston (#2-worst of the day).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Brayan Bello’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 80th percentile among all SPs in the game right now.
Brayan Bello has averaged 91.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Arizona Diamondbacks in this game holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .312, which is quite a bit worse than their actual wOBA of .329 this year.
Considering that groundball pitchers have a big advantage over groundball bats, Brayan Bello and his 51% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong spot in this game squaring off against 3 opposing GB bats.
Brayan Bello will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his metrics across the board.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 89th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an edge in today’s game.
Wilyer Abreu hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Wilyer Abreu will hold that advantage in today’s game.
When estimating his home run talent, Triston Casas ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Triston Casas is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.
Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage against Zac Gallen in today’s matchup.
Triston Casas hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Triston Casas will hold that advantage in today’s game.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Josh Bell is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
Josh Bell has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Joc Pederson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.
Given Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Joc Pederson will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.
Joc Pederson is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP.
Joc Pederson pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jarren Duran ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
Jarren Duran will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today’s game.
Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s shallowest LF fences today.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Jake McCarthy is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Jake McCarthy will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today’s game… and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split.
Jake McCarthy is likely to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP.
Jake McCarthy has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Triston Casas ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 16th-best hitter in baseball.
Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today’s matchup.
Rafael Devers has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s shallowest LF fences today.
Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.
Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split.
The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corbin Carroll has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
Corbin Carroll has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
When it comes to his BABIP ability, Jarren Duran is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Negative Match Player Stats with D-Backs vs Red Sox
Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.
Brayan Bello will have the handedness advantage against Eugenio Suarez today… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Bello’s large platoon split.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Eugenio Suarez in today’s game.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Connor Wong (the Red Sox’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have 8 hitters in the projected lineup that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today’s game, which is especially precarious given his large platoon split.
When it comes to his home run ability, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Geraldo Perdomo will be at a big disadvantage against Brayan Bello and his large platoon split in this game.
Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Typically, batters like Josh Bell who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Brayan Bello.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Josh Bell in today’s matchup.
Joc Pederson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 11th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Typically, hitters like Jake McCarthy who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Brayan Bello.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake McCarthy today.
Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 15th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
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