Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Arizona at Los Angeles Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for lefty home runs.

Dodger Stadium has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums.

Dodger Stadium has the lowest fences in Major League Baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Landon Knack throws from, Joc Pederson will have the upper hand today.

Over the past 14 days, Joc Pederson’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.5-mph over the course of the season to 96.6-mph of late.

Joc Pederson has put up a .384 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 94th percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Jason Heyward will have an edge today.

Jason Heyward will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.

Jason Heyward will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Gavin Lux will hold the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today’s matchup.

Gavin Lux will probably have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.

Gavin Lux hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Gavin Lux will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Despite posting a .252 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gavin Lux has had bad variance on his side given the .051 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .303.

Jason Heyward’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, increasing from 15.6% on the season to 21.4% over the last week.

By putting up a 1.84 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jason Heyward has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 84th percentile.

The #8 field in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

Dodger Stadium has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums.

Batting from the opposite that Landon Knack throws from, Jake McCarthy will have the upper hand today.

Extreme flyball bats like Jake McCarthy usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Landon Knack.

When estimating his home run talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best venue in the majors for RHB home runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Zac Gallen in the 93rd percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

Zac Gallen has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher this year, recording 6.2 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than average.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Teoscar Hernandez, Cavan Biggio, Andy Pages).

In his previous outing, Zac Gallen turned in a great performance and compiled 7 strikeouts.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Teoscar Hernandez will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 3rd-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Will Smith ranks as the 18th-best batter in the game.

Will Smith is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 20th-best hitter in MLB.

Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

Ketel Marte has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last year’s 91.1-mph mark.

Compared to last year, Geraldo Perdomo has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 37.1% to 44.3% this season.

Geraldo Perdomo has exhibited good plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 95th percentile with a 1.46 K/BB rate.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Christian Walker has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last year’s 88-mph EV.

Based on Statcast data, Christian Walker grades out in the 90th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .352.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage today.

In the last 7 days, Miguel Rojas’s 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 9.6%.

Miguel Rojas has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, placing in the 89th percentile with a 1.63 K/BB rate.

Miguel Rojas has notched a .283 batting average this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Jake McCarthy’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (15.8°) is significantly higher than his 11.1° figure last year.

When it comes to his home run skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Despite posting a .267 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Eugenio Suarez has experienced some negative variance given the .048 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .315.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 85th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Andy Pages is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

Over the last week, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.6% up to 21.4%.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.7-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 92.2-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Gabriel Moreno hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Batters such as Gabriel Moreno with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Landon Knack who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

When it comes to his home run skill, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Andy Pages will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Andy Pages’s 21.6° launch angle (an advanced stat to evaluate a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the majors: 97th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup profiles as the 2nd-strongest on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for home runs.

Ketel Marte has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.3-mph to 97.1-mph over the past 7 days.

In notching a .278 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Ketel Marte has performed in the 87th percentile.

Freddie Freeman will have the handedness advantage over Zac Gallen in today’s matchup.

Freddie Freeman will probably have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.

Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage against Landon Knack today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Corbin Carroll’s true offensive ability to be a .328, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .052 deviation between that figure and his actual .276 wOBA.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Landon Knack will hold that advantage today.

In his last start, Landon Knack was in good form and accumulated 7 strikeouts.

Landon Knack’s 2403-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 81st percentile among all starting pitchers.

The 5th-best projected offense of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Teoscar Hernandez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 14.3% to 17.5%.

Teoscar Hernandez has posted a .333 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 75th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Freddie Freeman projects as the 10th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

There has been a significant improvement in Gabriel Moreno’s launch angle from last year’s 4° to 9.9° this year.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.248) suggests that Gabriel Moreno has been unlucky this year with his .232 actual batting average.

Ranking in the 98th percentile of THE BAT X’s Spray Score this year, Gabriel Moreno demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields – a key ability for achieving a high batting average.

Will Smith will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Will Smith has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 93-mph.

Thursday Series Game 3 player match stat slumps with D-Backs vs Dodgers Matchup

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams today.

Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Over the last two weeks, Corbin Carroll’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 90.5 mph to 87.3 mph.

In the past two weeks, Corbin Carroll’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (0.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 4.6°.

Joc Pederson has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 18% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Joc Pederson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Joc Pederson in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jason Heyward in the 8th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Jason Heyward is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Jason Heyward has been pinch hit for 18% of the time.

In today’s matchup, Jason Heyward is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.5% rate (94th percentile).

Gavin Lux is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.

The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among every team today.

In the past 7 days, Gavin Lux’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 89.4 mph to 81.9 mph.

Gavin Lux’s launch angle of late (0.2° over the past week) is considerably lower than his 6.5° seasonal figure.

When assessing his home run ability, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake McCarthy is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams today.

Jake McCarthy will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Jake McCarthy’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 88.5-mph average last year has fallen to 85.1-mph.

Landon Knack will hold the platoon advantage over Christian Walker in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Christian Walker today.

Christian Walker’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 95-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 86.7-mph in the past week.

Stu Scheurwater projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Zac Gallen today.

Zac Gallen will hold the platoon advantage against Teoscar Hernandez today.

Teoscar Hernandez has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

Teoscar Hernandez has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 15.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.

Over the past 7 days, Shohei Ohtani’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 19.3% up to 25%.

Shohei Ohtani has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 95.1-mph dropping to 92.3-mph in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Shohei Ohtani’s true offensive skill to be a .402, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .032 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .434 wOBA.

Zac Gallen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Smith today.

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Landon Knack, Today, Ketel Marte is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.5% rate (83rd percentile).

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ketel Marte in today’s game.

Ketel Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 13.5% on the season to 6.3% over the last two weeks.

When estimating his home run talent, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Landon Knack, Freddie Freeman’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (5.2° over the past two weeks) is significantly lower than his 14.8° seasonal mark.

Miguel Rojas is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Miguel Rojas has been pinch hit for 19% of the time.

Zac Gallen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miguel Rojas in today’s game.

Miguel Rojas has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

From last season to this one, Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16.5% to 8.4%.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 11.6°, Jake McCarthy has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.6°) in the last two weeks.

Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

Landon Knack will hold the platoon advantage over Eugenio Suarez today.

Typically, bats like Eugenio Suarez who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Landon Knack.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 5th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Andy Pages will be at a disadvantage today.

Andy Pages is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Arizona (#2-best of all teams on the slate today).

Andy Pages has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 83.8-mph over the past week.

Batting from the same side that Landon Knack throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. today.

As it relates to plate discipline, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s talent is quite poor, sporting a 4.73 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 9th percentile.

Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Landon Knack throws from, Gabriel Moreno encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Gabriel Moreno will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Teoscar Hernandez’s launch angle in recent games (4.6° over the last two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 10.8° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 25th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Joc Pederson’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (10.1°) is significantly lower than his 13.2° mark last season.

Jason Heyward has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph dropping to 84.3-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Zac Gallen as the 12th-best starter in Major League Baseball right now.

Zac Gallen was in good form in his previous game started and gave up 0 ER.

Zac Gallen’s fastball velocity over his last 3 outings (94.6 mph) has been a significant increase over than his seasonal rate (92.4 mph).

Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Landon Knack to throw 80 pitches in this game (4th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Landon Knack (37% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in Arizona’s projected offense.

Landon Knack turned in a great performance in his last game started and gave up 1 ER.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 21.6°, Andy Pages has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.8°) over the past two weeks.

Sporting a 4.85 K/BB rate this year, Andy Pages has shown poor plate discipline, ranking in the 8th percentile.

When assessing his home run ability, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Eugenio Suarez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 16th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.