
ARI @ MIL





Todays Series Game 4 Matchup Details
Series Game 4
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 22nd
22/09/24 14:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for D-Backs vs Brewers Series Game 4 Matchup Today
When estimating his home run skill, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
In the majors, American Family Field’s centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest.
On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Rhys Hoskins will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Rhys Hoskins will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Eugenio Suarez has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.2% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Eugenio Suarez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.3-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 92.9-mph.
As it relates to his home run talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
Christian Walker’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 91-mph now compared to just 88-mph then.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.
Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Jackson Chourio will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
American Family Field profiles as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Ortiz in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Joey Ortiz will have an edge in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Joey Ortiz will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
As it relates to plate discipline, Geraldo Perdomo’s skill is quite impressive, sporting a 1.79 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 86th percentile.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
William Contreras is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.
William Contreras will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today’s matchup.
Ketel Marte projects as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.
Ketel Marte has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.8-mph average to last season’s 91.1-mph figure.
Ketel Marte has been hot lately, posting a 95-mph average exit velocity over the past 14 days.
Sal Frelick hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Sal Frelick will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Posting a 1.94 K/BB rate this year, Sal Frelick has shown favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 80th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Frankie Montas in the 75th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.
Frankie Montas has averaged 95.2 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, grading out in the 91st percentile.
The #2 stadium in baseball for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.
Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Frankie Montas will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The 4th-best projected lineup on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 7th-best venue in the league for walks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Joc Pederson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
Joc Pederson will hold the platoon advantage over Frankie Montas in today’s game.
Joc Pederson has recorded a .391 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 97th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
There has been a significant improvement in Gabriel Moreno’s launch angle from last season’s 4° to 9° this season.
Gabriel Moreno has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 9.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably lower than his 12.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When it comes to his home run skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Willy Adames is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
Willy Adames will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today’s matchup.
Jordan Montgomery’s curveball rate has increased by 8.4% from last season to this one (22.2% to 30.6%) .
Jordan Montgomery has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 6.15 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.06 — a 0.91 K/9 gap.
Brice Turang hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Brice Turang will hold that advantage today.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.292) provides evidence that Brice Turang has had bad variance on his side this year with his .258 actual batting average.
Jake McCarthy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Frankie Montas in today’s game.
Jake McCarthy’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (14.2°) is a considerable increase over his 11.1° figure last year.
Using Statcast data, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .286.
Rhys Hoskins has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13% seasonal rate to 26.7% in the past two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 10th-best stadium in the game for lefty home runs.
Utilizing Statcast metrics, Gabriel Moreno grades out in the 85th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .274.
Gabriel Moreno has displayed good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 97th percentile with a 1.32 K/BB rate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Posting a 1.63 K/BB rate this year, Joey Ortiz has displayed good plate discipline, ranking in the 91st percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Sal Frelick’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Brice Turang has displayed good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 75th percentile with a 2.1 K/BB rate.
Negative Match Player Stats with D-Backs vs Brewers Series Game 4
Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 8th-worst field in the game for boosting offensive stats to righties.
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
Out of every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Rhys Hoskins’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, falling from 16.7% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.
Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
Frankie Montas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eugenio Suarez in today’s game.
Out of all the teams in action today, the best infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers.
Batting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Christian Walker meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Christian Walker will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
American Family Field grades out as the #22 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Jackson Chourio’s launch angle of late (2.4° in the past two weeks) is considerably lower than his 7.3° seasonal angle.
Despite posting a .340 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jackson Chourio has been lucky given the .014 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.
Jackson Chourio has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 23.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 18.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Joey Ortiz is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
In today’s game, Joey Ortiz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.7% rate (93rd percentile).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 13th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.
American Family Field projects as the #22 stadium in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Geraldo Perdomo will bat from his bad side against Frankie Montas in today’s game.
William Contreras’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (1.9° over the last two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 9.2° seasonal figure.
William Contreras has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .361 figure is inflated compared to his .342 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Frankie Montas, Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.
When estimating his home run ability, Sal Frelick ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Sal Frelick is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 8th-worst park in MLB for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters.
Jordan Montgomery will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sal Frelick today.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have 6 bats in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Frankie Montas today.
It may be wise to expect negative regression for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in the league this year.
Frankie Montas’s 95-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 83rd percentile among all SPs.
25% of the time that Joc Pederson has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
Joc Pederson pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.
Frankie Montas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gabriel Moreno today.
Gabriel Moreno has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Willy Adames has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 79.7-mph in the past 14 days.
When it comes to his batting average, Willy Adames has been very fortunate this year. His .248 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .234.
When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jordan Montgomery in the 21st percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jordan Montgomery is projected to throw 85 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 12th-least of all pitchers today.
Jordan Montgomery will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Jordan Montgomery’s 91.1-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.5-mph drop off from last season’s 92.6-mph figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 4th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Brice Turang is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Batting from the same side that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage today.
When assessing his home run ability, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jake McCarthy is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
Christian Walker’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 94.4-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 90.5-mph over the past 14 days.
Christian Walker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, going from 17.9% on the season to 6.9% in the last 14 days.
Rhys Hoskins’s BABIP talent is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 16.5% to 11.5%.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Joc Pederson in today’s game.
Over the last 7 days, Joc Pederson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.8% down to 0%.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ketel Marte today.
Ketel Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 14.7% on the season to 7.7% in the last week.
Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 40.3% to 34.8%.
Sal Frelick’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 85.5-mph figure last season has fallen off to 83.1-mph.
The Milwaukee Brewers have been the 4th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in future games, Jordan Montgomery has been unlucky in regards to his ERA this year; his 5.83 figure is a good deal higher than his 4.62 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Willy Adames’s true offensive talent to be a .329, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .011 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .340 wOBA.
In the past week’s worth of games, Joey Ortiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 91.3 mph to 86.7 mph.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 7.5°, Joey Ortiz’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly in recent games (-3.4° in the past 14 days).
Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gabriel Moreno in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Eugenio Suarez in today’s game.
When estimating his home run talent, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake McCarthy in today’s matchup.
Brice Turang’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 88.2-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 83-mph over the past two weeks.
Jake McCarthy has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.7-mph dropping to 82.5-mph over the last 14 days.
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