Cubs vs Rockies match player stats Sunday, September 15th 2024. Chicago Cubs at Colorado Rockies Series Game 3

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Cubs vs Rockies match player stats Sunday, September 15th 2024. Chicago Cubs at Colorado Rockies Series Game 3

CHC @ COL

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Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Chicago Cubs at Colorado Rockies
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 15th
15/09/24 15:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Cubs vs Rockies Series Game 3 Matchup Today

As it relates to his home run skill, Michael Busch ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in baseball for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Batting from the opposite that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in the league for run-scoring.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Antonio Senzatela today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Michael Toglia is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Nico Hoerner has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .261 BA is considerably lower than his .284 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nico Hoerner has shown favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 91st percentile with a 1.59 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in the league for righty home runs.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ezequiel Tovar will hold that advantage in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Charlie Blackmon is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Charlie Blackmon will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Steele in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 81st percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Dansby Swanson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (77% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Michael Busch may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.

The Colorado Rockies have 7 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ezequiel Tovar, Brenton Doyle, Ryan McMahon, Michael Toglia, Jake Cave, Jordan Beck, Aaron Schunk).

David Rackley projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches in this game.

Kyle Hendricks has gone to his four-seamer 8.1% less often this season (12.2%) than he did last year (20.3%).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Isaac Paredes’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, rising from 37.7% on the season to 55.6% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Cal Quantrill will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats across the board.

Cal Quantrill’s change-up utilization has spiked by 12.1% from last season to this one (22.4% to 34.5%) .

When it comes to his home run talent, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The Colorado Rockies have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better going forward, The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in the majors for batting average.

Kyle Hendricks will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.

The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Pete Crow-Armstrong can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Ryan McMahon’s BABIP skill is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Negative Match Player Stats with Cubs vs Rockies Series Game 3

Michael Busch is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Busch in today’s game.

Over the last two weeks, Michael Busch’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.8% down to 0%.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Michael Busch has been very fortunate this year. His .337 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .311.

Hitting from the same side that Justin Steele throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.282) may lead us to conclude that Ezequiel Tovar has been very fortunate this year with his .320 actual wOBA.

By putting up a 9.69 K/BB rate this year, Ezequiel Tovar has shown poor plate discipline, grading out in the 0th percentile.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.218) provides evidence that Michael Busch has been very fortunate this year with his .254 actual batting average.

Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

By putting up a .286 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Pete Crow-Armstrong has performed in the 18th percentile.

With a 4.51 K/BB rate this year, Pete Crow-Armstrong has demonstrated weak plate discipline, placing in the 11th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Justin Steele throws from, Brenton Doyle will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Brenton Doyle has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 11% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.

Brenton Doyle’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 89.1-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 84.1-mph over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brenton Doyle’s true offensive talent to be a .299, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .034 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .333 wOBA.

Brenton Doyle has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 24th percentile with a 3.65 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Amaya in the 21st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Miguel Amaya is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

Antonio Senzatela will hold the platoon advantage over Miguel Amaya in today’s game.

Miguel Amaya will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

In the last week’s worth of games, Michael Toglia’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 17% down to 0%.

Michael Toglia’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 18.3% on the season to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Michael Toglia has been lucky this year, posting a .329 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .298 — a .031 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Nico Hoerner is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Antonio Senzatela will hold the platoon advantage over Nico Hoerner in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nico Hoerner in today’s game.

Antonio Senzatela will have the handedness advantage over Seiya Suzuki in today’s game.

Seiya Suzuki will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Seiya Suzuki’s 15.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.5%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.323) suggests that Seiya Suzuki has experienced some positive variance this year with his .354 actual wOBA.

Charlie Blackmon’s BABIP skill is projected in the 20th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Charlie Blackmon’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 86.4-mph figure last season has decreased to 84.4-mph.

Charlie Blackmon has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .247 mark is a fair amount higher than his .215 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to power, Charlie Blackmon grades out in the 20th percentile, having hit 11.5 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

Posting a .274 BABIP this year, Charlie Blackmon is ranked in the 24th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 12th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Sporting a .203 batting average this year, Michael Toglia has performed in the 6th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ryan McMahon’s true offensive skill to be a .311, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .012 difference between that figure and his actual .323 wOBA.

Antonio Senzatela will hold the platoon advantage over Dansby Swanson in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Dansby Swanson in today’s matchup.

In the last 7 days, Dansby Swanson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9% down to 0%.

Dansby Swanson has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph dropping to 76.7-mph over the last week.

When estimating his home run ability, Charlie Blackmon ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Charlie Blackmon has had positive variance on his side this year. His .306 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .281.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kyle Hendricks in the 15th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kyle Hendricks is projected to throw 83 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 13th-least of all pitchers on the slate.

Coors Field ranks as the #30 stadium in MLB for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Ian Happ will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Ian Happ has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 12.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last two weeks.

In the past two weeks, Ian Happ’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 94.8 mph to 86.1 mph.

Isaac Paredes’s BABIP talent is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the same side that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Isaac Paredes will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Isaac Paredes will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Isaac Paredes’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5% down to 0%.

Seiya Suzuki’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 42.4% on the season to 34.6% over the past 14 days.

When it comes to his batting average, Seiya Suzuki has been very fortunate this year. His .273 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .237.

Ryan McMahon has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92-mph dropping to 85.5-mph over the last 7 days.

Isaac Paredes’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 91.5-mph EV last season has dropped off to 89.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Quantrill to throw 71 pitches in this game (least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

In his previous outing, Cal Quantrill wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to post 2 Ks.

The worst projected lineup of the day in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Colorado Rockies.

In his previous game started, Kyle Hendricks was rolling and gave up 2 ER.

Kyle Hendricks has been unlucky this year, compiling a 6.51 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.52 — a 1.99 deviation.

Cody Bellinger is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Colorado (#3-best of the day).

Cody Bellinger will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

From last year to this one, Cody Bellinger’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 43.4% to 38.4%.

Cody Bellinger has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .270 BA is inflated compared to his .239 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Over the past week, Dansby Swanson’s 7.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.2%.

Miguel Amaya has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 5.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last week.

In the last week, Miguel Amaya’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 91.2 mph to 89 mph.

Over the last 14 days, Nico Hoerner’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 86.9 mph to 82 mph.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.302) implies that Cody Bellinger has had positive variance on his side this year with his .327 actual wOBA.

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