Cubs vs Reds match player stats | 2025 Thursday, September 18th

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CHC @ CIN

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Cubs @ Reds Matchup Details

Teams : Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds
Series :
Date : Todays Game is on Thursday, September 18th
Time : 18/09/25 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Chicago Cubs Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Moises Ballesteros in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Moises Ballesteros has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (73% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #2 venue in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.

This game is projected to have the 9th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best field in baseball for run-scoring.

Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums.

The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

Compared to his seasonal average of 13.6°, Matt Shaw has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 21.8° angle over the past 14 days.

Carson Kelly has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.2-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 89.2-mph average.

When estimating his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 12th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nico Hoerner is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Ian Happ is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Michael Busch is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Michael Busch will have the upper hand today.

Negatives with the Cincinnati Reds Game Today

Moises Ballesteros has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 27% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Moises Ballesteros in today’s game.

Grading out in the 23rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 26.29 ft/sec this year, Moises Ballesteros is quite slow.

Matt Shaw is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Greene throws from, Matt Shaw will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Matt Shaw will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks, Matt Shaw’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.4% down to 0%.

Matt Shaw’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 84.2-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 76.9-mph in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Batting from the same side that Hunter Greene throws from, Carson Kelly will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Carson Kelly today.

Carson Kelly has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 10.8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Greene throws from, Nico Hoerner will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nico Hoerner today.

Despite posting a .329 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nico Hoerner has been very fortunate given the .012 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ian Happ today.

Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

Hunter Greene will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dansby Swanson in today’s game.

Dansby Swanson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Dansby Swanson’s launch angle of late (0.5° in the last week) is considerably worse than his 13.6° seasonal mark.

By putting up a 3.75 K/BB rate this year, Dansby Swanson has displayed poor plate discipline, placing in the 18th percentile.

11% of the time that Michael Busch has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Michael Busch will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Michael Busch’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 21% on the season to 3.7% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Michael Busch’s true offensive skill to be a .346, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .013 disparity between that mark and his actual .359 wOBA.

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