
CHC @ PIT






Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, August 28th
28/08/24 12:35:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Cubs vs Pirates Series Game 3 Series Game 3 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.
The #10 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.
The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Kyle Hendricks in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.
Batting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Seiya Suzuki meets a tough challenge today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Nick Gonzales is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Gonzales will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Miguel Amaya will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.
Miguel Amaya has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5% seasonal rate to 14.8% over the past 14 days.
Miguel Amaya has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.7-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.1-mph mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
Posting a 1.93 K/BB rate this year, Cody Bellinger has shown good plate discipline, ranking in the 80th percentile.
Rowdy Tellez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.
Rowdy Tellez will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Hendricks today.
Rowdy Tellez is certain to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the whole game since none of the available options for the Chicago Cubs share his handedness.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Jared Triolo has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 4.7% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Paul Skenes will hold the platoon advantage over Dansby Swanson in today’s game.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Dansby Swanson has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 23.9° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.3°.
Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense.
It may be sensible to expect better numbers for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 4th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Edwin Moscoso) calling pitches in this game.
Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kyle Hendricks in today’s matchup.
Kyle Hendricks’s 87.1-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 0th percentile among all starting pitchers.
Isaac Paredes is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Isaac Paredes will have a disadvantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 84th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Michael Busch is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
Over the past 14 days, Michael Busch has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 28.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 19.4°.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Pete Crow-Armstrong has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 6.9% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the past 14 days.
Pete Crow-Armstrong has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 97.9-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
Grading out in the 81st percentile, Michael Busch sits with a .340 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Hitting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Nico Hoerner encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
In terms of plate discipline, Nico Hoerner’s ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.57 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 91st percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Oneil Cruz will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Hendricks today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 77th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Michael A. Taylor has a ton of pop (77th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (31.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kyle Hendricks is a pitch-to-contact type (7th percentile K%) — great news for Taylor.
Michael A. Taylor will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
In terms of his home runs, Michael A. Taylor has been unlucky this year. His 8.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.6.
Nico Hoerner has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .253 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .279 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Michael A. Taylor’s true offensive talent to be a .284, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .043 gap between that figure and his actual .241 wOBA.
Dansby Swanson has been unlucky this year, putting up a .286 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .040 gap.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today’s game.
There has been a significant improvement in Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s launch angle from last year’s 7° to 10° this year.
Yasmani Grandal will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Yasmani Grandal has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last year’s 87.9-mph EV.
Over the past two weeks, Yasmani Grandal’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.7-mph over the course of the season to 99.7-mph in recent games.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
Ian Happ has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 13% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 14 days.
Oneil Cruz is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game since none of the available options for the Chicago Cubs share his handedness.
Compared to his seasonal average of 17.1°, Pete Crow-Armstrong has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 25.5° mark in the last two weeks.
Pete Crow-Armstrong has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .277 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .322 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 16.8% on the season to 21.9% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Bryan De La Cruz’s BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Bryan De La Cruz will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Bryan De La Cruz has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.4-mph EV.
Compared to his seasonal average of 11.5°, Jared Triolo has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 30.3° mark over the last 14 days.
Jared Triolo has been unlucky this year, notching a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .299 — a .041 deviation.
Over the last 14 days, Yasmani Grandal has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 19.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 13°.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Bryan Reynolds will hold that advantage today.
Nick Gonzales has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 11.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is deflated compared to his 20.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Last season, Bryan De La Cruz had an average launch angle of 12.3° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 17.1°.
Over the past week, Bryan De La Cruz’s 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.4%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 88th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Isaac Paredes’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (21.6°) is considerably better than his 18° angle last year.
Over the last 7 days, Seiya Suzuki’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.1% up to 20%.
Miguel Amaya’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 14.3% on the season to 22.2% over the past two weeks.
Compared to last season, Ian Happ has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.1% to 21.5% this season.
When it comes to his home runs, Michael Busch has experienced some negative variance this year. His 20.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been deflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 26.3.
Negative Match Player Stats with Cubs vs Pirates Series Game 3
The league’s 6th-tallest average fence height can be found at PNC Park.
PNC Park has the 8th-most fair ground among all major league parks — generally bad for home runs.
Over the last 14 days, Bryan Reynolds’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.6% down to 3.3%.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 9.1°, Bryan Reynolds has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2°) over the past 14 days.
Seiya Suzuki will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
When it comes to his batting average, Seiya Suzuki has had positive variance on his side this year. His .268 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .240.
Kyle Hendricks will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Gonzales in today’s game.
Grading out in the 18th percentile for power, Nick Gonzales has hit 10.8 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.
Nick Gonzales has shown weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 8th percentile with a 4.92 K/BB rate.
Miguel Amaya is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
This year, Miguel Amaya has been pinch hit for in 19% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.
Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Miguel Amaya in today’s game.
The #7 stadium in the game for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.
Cody Bellinger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Cody Bellinger in today’s matchup.
Rowdy Tellez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Rowdy Tellez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 16.1% to 12%.
Rowdy Tellez has posted a .291 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 24th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jared Triolo is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.
Batting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Jared Triolo will have a tough challenge today.
Jared Triolo’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (5°) is a significant dropoff from his 12.4° mark last year.
Dansby Swanson is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Dansby Swanson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Dansby Swanson’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 89.5-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 87.4-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Nick Gonzales has posted a .288 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile.
PNC Park ranks as the #23 ballpark in Major League Baseball for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
In the league, PNC Park’s LF fences are the 9th-deepest.
Kyle Hendricks’s four-seam fastball usage has dropped by 8.2% from last season to this one (20.3% to 12.1%) .
Kyle Hendricks has been unlucky this year, notching a 6.33 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.59 — a 1.74 disparity.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 1st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Today, Isaac Paredes is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 46.4% rate (100th percentile).
Isaac Paredes will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Isaac Paredes’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 86.9-mph figure last season has dropped to 84.8-mph.
Cody Bellinger has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 5.7% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last 7 days.
14% of the time that Michael Busch has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for.
Michael Busch will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Skenes in today’s game.
Michael Busch will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.
This year, Pete Crow-Armstrong has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.
Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the handedness advantage over Paul Skenes in today’s game.
In the past week, Michael Busch’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.2% down to 6.7%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
PNC Park grades out as the #23 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Oneil Cruz has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 17.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 7.1% over the last 14 days.
Oneil Cruz has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 94.9-mph dropping to 92.7-mph in the last two weeks.
In the last two weeks, Oneil Cruz’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (0.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.5°.
Posting a 3.95 K/BB rate this year, Oneil Cruz has shown poor plate discipline, checking in at the 17th percentile.
Michael A. Taylor is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Kyle Hendricks will hold the platoon advantage against Michael A. Taylor in today’s game.
Sporting a .286 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Miguel Amaya has performed in the 19th percentile for offensive skills.
Nico Hoerner will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kyle Hendricks in the 8th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kyle Hendricks is projected to throw 85 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 10th-least of all pitchers today.
The #4 field in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 17th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Michael A. Taylor has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 12% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past two weeks.
When it comes to his home run skill, Isiah Kiner-Falefa ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Kyle Hendricks will hold the platoon advantage against Isiah Kiner-Falefa in today’s matchup.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 88.8-mph EV last year has fallen off to 85.4-mph.
Yasmani Grandal’s BABIP ability is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Yasmani Grandal is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
The switch-hitting Yasmani Grandal will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Kyle Hendricks, In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has had positive variance on his side this year. His .319 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .283.
In terms of plate discipline, Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s skill is quite bad, putting up a 3.72 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 22nd percentile.
The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Paul Skenes.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ian Happ in today’s game.
Pete Crow-Armstrong will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Bryan De La Cruz is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
Kyle Hendricks will have the handedness advantage against Bryan De La Cruz in today’s matchup.
Bryan De La Cruz has displayed weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 5th percentile with a 5.19 K/BB rate.
Ranking in the 14th percentile, Yasmani Grandal has posted a .214 BABIP this year.
Dansby Swanson’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (14.3°) is significantly lower than his 17.8° figure last year.
Nico Hoerner has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.6-mph dropping to 82.1-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Nico Hoerner’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 43.8% on the season to 20% in the past 7 days.
Isaac Paredes’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 84.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 81.8-mph over the past 14 days.
Cody Bellinger’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 90.7-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 84.5-mph in the past 7 days.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Seiya Suzuki has had some very good luck this year. His .350 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .325.
Jared Triolo has posted a .258 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 5th percentile.
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