World Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Cubs vs Dodgers Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Dodger Stadium grades out as the #4 venue in MLB for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium.

Among all major league parks, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.

The weather report predicts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.

Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the league.

Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

Dodger Stadium profiles as the #4 stadium in baseball for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Dodger Stadium ranks as the #9 park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Given that flyball pitchers hold a big edge over flyball batters, Colin Rea and his 35.4% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong spot in today’s matchup matching up with 4 opposing FB batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Colin Rea in the 5th percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.

The best projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Dodger Stadium ranks as the #5 field in MLB for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Nico Hoerner is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ian Happ is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Kyle Tucker projects as the 9th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow today.

Extreme groundball hitters like Justin Turner tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tyler Glasnow.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Max Muncy will hold the platoon advantage over Colin Rea in today’s game.

The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Muncy stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mookie Betts ranks as the 15th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

Mookie Betts is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Will Smith ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Will Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Will Smith will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When estimating his home run skill, Michael Conforto ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael Conforto is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Projected catcher Will Smith projects as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tyler Glasnow projects as the 2nd-best starting pitcher in MLB currently when assessing his strikeout skill, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tyler Glasnow has averaged 93.2 adjusted pitches per GS since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile.

Tyler Glasnow was on point in his previous start and posted 8 strikeouts.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 15th-best batter in baseball when assessing his BABIP talent.

Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

When it comes to his batting average ability, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Freddie Freeman projects as the 20th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Dansby Swanson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Andy Pages will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 81st percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

When it comes to his home run talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael Busch is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today’s matchup.

Negative Match Player Stats with Cubs vs Dodgers Series Game 3

Matthew Shaw is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Matthew Shaw will not have the upper hand today.

Matthew Shaw will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Matthew Shaw’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 93.4-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 91.3-mph in the last 14 days.

Matthew Shaw’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 14.3% on the season to 0% over the past week.

The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team in action today.

Shohei Ohtani has struggled with his Barrel%; his 21.5% rate last season has dropped to 15.4% this year.

Shohei Ohtani has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 105.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 101.4-mph.

There has been a significant decline in Shohei Ohtani’s launch angle from last year’s 16° to 10.5° this year.

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Colin Rea in the 11th percentile among all starting pitchers in the game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Colin Rea to be on a pitch count today, projecting a maximum of 81 pitches.

Colin Rea will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Grading out in the 81st percentile, Colin Rea has put up a 4.01 K/BB rate since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Tyler Glasnow will have the handedness advantage over Nico Hoerner in today’s game.

Nico Hoerner has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nico Hoerner today.

In the past two weeks, Nico Hoerner has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (1.4) implies that Nico Hoerner has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his 6.0 actual HR/600.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ian Happ in today’s matchup.

Ian Happ’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 90.8-mph EV last season has lowered to 86.1-mph.

Kyle Tucker pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kyle Tucker in today’s matchup.

Kyle Tucker has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 22.7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 17.6% over the past week.

In terms of his home runs, Kyle Tucker has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His 39.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 32.6.

Kyle Tucker has been lucky this year, notching a .460 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .382 — a .078 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 20th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Justin Turner is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Tyler Glasnow will hold the platoon advantage against Justin Turner today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Justin Turner in today’s game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Justin Turner’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.1% down to 0%.

Max Muncy is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

In today’s matchup, Max Muncy is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 39.3% rate (97th percentile).

Extreme flyball batters like Max Muncy generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Colin Rea.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Max Muncy has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .341 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .321.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 3rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Colin Rea will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mookie Betts in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball hitters like Mookie Betts usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Colin Rea.

Mookie Betts’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 91.3-mph figure last year has decreased to 88.4-mph.

Mookie Betts has been cold in recent games, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) in the past week.

In terms of his home runs, Mookie Betts has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His 23.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.7.

Will Smith is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Colin Rea will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Smith in today’s matchup.

Typically, hitters like Will Smith who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Colin Rea.

Over the past week, Michael Conforto’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16% down to 0%.

Michael Conforto’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 89.1-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 82.1-mph in the past week.

Michael Conforto’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, going from 19.2% on the season to 0% over the last week.

With a .275 BABIP since the start of last season, Michael Conforto is positioned in the 23rd percentile.

Tommy Edman is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

The switch-hitting Tommy Edman will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Colin Rea,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.4) may lead us to conclude that Tommy Edman has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his 33.0 actual HR/600.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.299) suggests that Tommy Edman has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .321 actual wOBA.

Posting a .235 BABIP since the start of last season, Tommy Edman has performed in the 18th percentile.

Tyler Glasnow projects as the 9th-best pitcher in Major League Baseball currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Chicago Cubs in today’s game holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .322, which is significantly lower than their actual wOBA of .340 this year.

It may be wise to expect worse results for the Chicago Cubs offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

Tyler Glasnow is an extreme groundball pitcher (45.8% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #5 HR venue among all stadiums — in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats across the board, and Tyler Glasnow will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Given that groundball batters have a significant advantage over flyball pitchers, Tyler Glasnow and his 45.8% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard spot in today’s outing going up against 0 opposing GB batters.

Tyler Glasnow will “start” for Los Angeles Dodgers in today’s game but will be treated as more of an opener and may not remain in the game more than a couple framess.

Colin Rea will have the handedness advantage against Teoscar Hernandez in today’s matchup.

Teoscar Hernandez has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Teoscar Hernandez’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 90.6-mph average last season has fallen to 83.9-mph.

Teoscar Hernandez’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 43.8% to 36.2%.

Notching a lowly an 83.8-mph average exit velocity in the last 14 days, Teoscar Hernandez has been in a slump lately.

As it relates to his home runs, Teoscar Hernandez has been lucky since the start of last season. His 31.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 29.1.

Checking in at the 15th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.74 ft/sec since the start of last season, Freddie Freeman is very slow.

Freddie Freeman has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 21.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is inflated compared to his 19.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Tyler Glasnow will hold the platoon advantage over Dansby Swanson today.

Dansby Swanson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Miguel Amaya’s BABIP ability is projected in the 16th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Miguel Amaya is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Tyler Glasnow will hold the platoon advantage over Miguel Amaya today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Miguel Amaya in today’s matchup.

Miguel Amaya has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.8-mph dropping to 83.8-mph over the last week.

Miguel Amaya’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 90.8-mph mark last year has lowered to 84.9-mph.

Andy Pages is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Andy Pages has a tough challenge today.

Typically, batters like Andy Pages who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Colin Rea.

With a 3.61 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Andy Pages has shown weak plate discipline, placing in the 21st percentile.

This year, Michael Busch has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 30% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Busch today.

In the past week’s worth of games, Michael Busch’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.

Michael Busch’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, falling from 13.2% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.215) implies that Michael Busch has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .253 actual batting average.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.313) provides evidence that Michael Busch has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .342 actual wOBA.

Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has struggled with his Barrel%; his 8% rate last year has fallen to 0% this year.

There has been a decrease in Pete Crow-Armstrong’s average exit velocity this season, from 88.7 mph last year to 85.4 mph now,Pete Crow-Armstrong has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.4-mph dropping to 79.5-mph in the past 7 days.

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