Cardinals vs White Sox match player stats | 2025 Tuesday, June 17th

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Cardinals vs White Sox match player stats | 2025 Tuesday, June 17th

STL @ CWS

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Matchup Details

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago White Sox

Todays Game is on Tuesday, June 17th
17/06/25 19:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Cardinals vs White Sox Matchup Today

Chase Meidroth is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #8 field in the game for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.5-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.

Chase Meidroth will hold the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Chase Meidroth has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Shane Smith is an extreme groundball pitcher (43.3% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Guaranteed Rate Field — the #4 HR venue among all parks — today.

Shane Smith’s 94.6-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 76th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Shane Smith has put up a 12.4% Swinging Strike% this year, placing in the 85th percentile.

Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Shane Smith (43.3% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in St. Louis’s projected batting order.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Shane Smith in the 75th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 2nd-shallowest in MLB.

Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.6% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

Extreme groundball bats like Nolan Arenado tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Shane Smith.

Michael A. Taylor will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today’s game.

When estimating his home run skill, Michael A. Taylor ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Michael A. Taylor will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 9th-best hitter in the league when estimating his BABIP talent.

Austin Slater is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Austin Slater will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Austin Slater ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Luis Robert Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 86th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

Ivan Herrera has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Miguel Vargas is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

Batting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge in today’s game.

Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball batters like Nolan Gorman usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Shane Smith.

Nolan Gorman projects as the 18th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The Chicago White Sox projected batting order profiles as the 3rd-weakest on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Pedro Pages (the Cardinals’s expected catcher in today’s game) projects as a good pitch framer.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Matthew Liberatore must realize this, because he has relied on his secondary pitches a lot this year: 62.1% of the time, grading out in the 90th percentile.

Matthew Liberatore has put up a 3.28 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that is concerned with the things most within a pitcher’s control) this year, checking in at the 86th percentile.

Matthew Liberatore has compiled a 5.66 K/BB rate this year, ranking in the 96th percentile.

The Chicago White Sox have 5 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Austin Slater, Kyle Teel, Luis Robert Jr., Ryan Noda, Michael A. Taylor).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Alec Burleson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Batting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an edge in today’s game.

Brendan Donovan has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Masyn Winn is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Vinny Capra will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Liberatore today.

Vinny Capra will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Negative Match Player Stats with Cardinals vs White Sox

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 6th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Compared to the average starting pitcher, Shane Smith has been granted a below-average leash this year, throwing an -7.9 fewer adjusted pitches each outing.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 4th-best venue in Major League Baseball for home runs.

The shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Guaranteed Rate Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 4th-worst ballpark in the game for strikeouts.

Hitting from the same side that Shane Smith throws from, Willson Contreras will be at a disadvantage today.

Willson Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Shane Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan Arenado in today’s game.

Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 10th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Michael A. Taylor is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.

Shane Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Ivan Herrera today.

Ivan Herrera will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 18th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Nolan Gorman is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

Nolan Gorman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

With 6 batters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Matthew Liberatore will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

Matthew Liberatore’s 2076-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 8th percentile among all starters.

Alec Burleson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Shane Smith throws from, Masyn Winn has a tough challenge today.

Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinny Capra in the 12th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Vinny Capra is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinny Capra in the 14th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

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