Cardinals @ Reds Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the St. Louis Cardinals Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Brady Singer in the 25th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.

,The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

,Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest right field fences in the majors.

,As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

,Brady Singer’s fastball velocity has dropped 1.2 mph this year (90.4 mph) below where it was last year (91.6 mph).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

,Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 field in MLB for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Blake Dunn’s BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Great American Ball Park ranks as the #1 park in the game for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums.

,Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Blake Dunn will have the upper hand today.

,Matt McLain is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Matt McLain will have an advantage today.

,Matt McLain has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Matt McLain will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Eugenio Suarez will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Liberatore in today’s game.

,Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.2% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Ivan Herrera has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jordan Walker, Pedro Pages, Nolan Gorman).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Jordan Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Dane Myers is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Dane Myers will have an edge today.

,Dane Myers has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Given Brady Singer’s huge platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.

,Victor Scott II will have the handedness advantage against Brady Singer today… and even better, Singer has a huge platoon split.

,Victor Scott II has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Victor Scott II has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 89.7-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 87.7-mph mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Sal Stewart is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Sal Stewart will have an advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,JJ Bleday pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,JJ Bleday will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Alec Burleson’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage over Brady Singer in today’s game… and even better, Singer has a huge platoon split.

,Alec Burleson has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Dane Myers’s BABIP talent is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Over the past 7 days, Masyn Winn’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.3%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

,Elly De La Cruz has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Masyn Winn’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 47.6% on the season to 62.5% over the past 7 days.

,When assessing his home run ability, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Tyler Stephenson will have the upper hand today.

,Tyler Stephenson has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Spencer Steer ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Spencer Steer is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Spencer Steer will have an edge today.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,JJ Bleday has made big improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 7.8% rate last year to 14.1% this season.

,Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.2% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage today.

,Nolan Gorman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Nolan Gorman has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 97-mph over the past week.

,Blake Dunn will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Elly De La Cruz will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Because of Brady Singer’s huge platoon split, JJ Wetherholt will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Jordan Walker has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.4-mph average to last season’s 92.3-mph average.

,The Cincinnati Reds have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Elly De La Cruz, Eugenio Suarez, Blake Dunn).

,Pedro Pages, the Cardinals’s expected catcher today, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Over the last 14 days, Victor Scott II’s 64.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.1%.

,Over the last week, Ivan Herrera’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.8% up to 12.5%.

,Sal Stewart has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Sal Stewart ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,JJ Bleday has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last year’s 88.7-mph figure.

Negatives with the Cincinnati Reds Series Game 3 Game Today

The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 9th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in the future,Chris Conroy grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be behind the plate in this game.

,Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats across the board, and Brady Singer will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Brady Singer has relied on his slider 5.8% more often this year (45.1%) than he did last season (39.3%).

,Brady Singer’s 2442.2-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 85th percentile out of all starters.

,JJ Wetherholt will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 16.2°, JJ Wetherholt has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (11.3°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Blake Dunn is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

,In the last 14 days, Blake Dunn’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 5.3% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.299) implies that Blake Dunn has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .320 actual wOBA.

,Blake Dunn has compiled a .195 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Blake Dunn and his 5.7° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 14th percentile, among the lowest in the game since the start of last season.

,Matt McLain has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 6.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Based on Statcast data, Matt McLain ranks in the 14th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .286.

,Utilizing Statcast data, Matt McLain grades out in the 11th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .216.

,Sporting a .256 BABIP this year, Matt McLain has performed in the 21st percentile.

,Eugenio Suarez’s BABIP skill is projected in the 20th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Eugenio Suarez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Eugenio Suarez has struggled with his Barrel%; his 14.3% rate last season has fallen to 8.6% this season.

,There has been a decrease in Eugenio Suarez’s average exit velocity this year, from 90.2 mph last year to 83.9 mph now,There has been a significant decline in Eugenio Suarez’s launch angle from last season’s 22° to 16.9° this season.

,Considering Brady Singer’s huge platoon split, Ivan Herrera will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ivan Herrera today.

,Ivan Herrera’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 13.1% to 8.8%.

,Brady Singer has recorded a 15.8% K% this year, grading out in the 13th percentile.

,Given Brady Singer’s huge platoon split, Jordan Walker will be at a colossal disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.

,Jordan Walker will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,In the last week, Jordan Walker’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16% down to 0%.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Jordan Walker’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.3%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Walker’s true offensive ability to be a .333, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .062 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .395 wOBA.

,Over the past week, Dane Myers’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.4% down to 0%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Dane Myers’s true offensive skill to be a .298, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .034 gap between that mark and his actual .332 wOBA.

,Dane Myers has paced 10.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 17th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Dane Myers has compiled a .282 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 15th percentile.

,Checking in at the 9th percentile, Dane Myers sports a .157 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season.

,Nolan Gorman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Nolan Gorman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 18.9% to 14.5%.

,Posting a .288 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Nolan Gorman is positioned in the 16th percentile for offensive skills.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Victor Scott II ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Victor Scott II is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

,Victor Scott II has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 26% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Victor Scott II in today’s game.

,Victor Scott II’s launch angle this season (6.2°) is a significant dropoff from his 14.8° mark last year.

,JJ Bleday is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

,Batting from the same side that Matthew Liberatore throws from, JJ Bleday faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Despite posting a .430 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes JJ Bleday has been lucky given the .098 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .332.

,JJ Bleday has notched a .263 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 5th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Alec Burleson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Alec Burleson’s launch angle this year (9.4°) is a considerable dropoff from his 15.2° angle last year.

,From last season to this one, Matt McLain’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 93.1 mph to 89.6 mph.

,With a 12.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Matt McLain finds himself in the 22nd percentile for power.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 22nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,Masyn Winn is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

,Brady Singer will have the handedness advantage against Masyn Winn today… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Singer’s huge platoon split.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Masyn Winn in today’s matchup.

,Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 89.6-mph average last year has dropped off to 84.5-mph.

,As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Matthew Liberatore in this game.

,Despite posting a .376 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Elly De La Cruz has had positive variance on his side given the .046 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.

,Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.

,In the last 7 days, Tyler Stephenson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.3% down to 0%.

,Tyler Stephenson’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 89.9-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 83.3-mph over the last 14 days.

,Tyler Stephenson has posted a .230 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,In notching a .210 batting average since the start of last season, Tyler Stephenson is ranked in the 8th percentile.

,Spencer Steer has been lucky this year, putting up a .342 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .024 gap.

,Spencer Steer has recorded a .298 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 23rd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,From last year to this one, Masyn Winn’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 14.8% to 11.3%.

,Eugenio Suarez has been lucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 41.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 33.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Nolan Gorman has posted a .199 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 10th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,JJ Bleday has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .229 rate is a fair amount higher than his .176 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Spencer Steer grades out in the 12th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .218.

,Dane Myers has notched a .292 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 20th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 8th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,When assessing his home run skill, Blake Dunn ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Blake Dunn has paced 7.6 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 21st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Ranking in the 23rd percentile, JJ Wetherholt has notched a .259 BABIP this year.

,With 8 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Matthew Liberatore will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

,Matthew Liberatore will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Matthew Liberatore wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out in his previous outing and put up 2 Ks.

,Matthew Liberatore has utilized his cut-fastball 7% less often this year (3.6%) than he did last season (10.6%).

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