Cardinals @ D-Backs Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the St. Louis Cardinals Series Game 3 Game Today

The #3 venue in MLB for boosting offensive stats to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

,Masyn Winn will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

,Masyn Winn has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph to 93.5-mph in the past two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Ketel Marte is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-best field in MLB for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters.

,Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

,Ketel Marte will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jordan Walker is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-best field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average.

,Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Jordan Walker will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Jordan Walker has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94.2-mph to 97-mph in the past 14 days.

,Jose Fermin will hold the platoon advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez today.

,Jose Fermin’s launch angle of late (21.1° in the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 17.6° seasonal figure.

,With a .284 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jose Fermin finds himself in the 92nd percentile.

,Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

,As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Geraldo Perdomo will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Andre Pallante in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Geraldo Perdomo has posted a .354 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 85th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Sporting a 0.9 K/BB rate this year, Geraldo Perdomo has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 99th percentile.

,Chase Field grades out as the #3 stadium in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alec Burleson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Alec Burleson is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Alec Burleson has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 11.7% seasonal rate to 42.9% over the last 7 days.

,Alec Burleson has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph to 100.3-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

,This season, Alec Burleson has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.1 mph compared to last year’s 92.6 mph mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Corbin Carroll is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

,Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage against Andre Pallante in today’s matchup.

,Corbin Carroll has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP.

,Corbin Carroll will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

,Ivan Herrera will have the handedness advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Ivan Herrera grades out in the 92nd percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .367.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

,JJ Wetherholt has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.7-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 94.5-mph.

,JJ Wetherholt’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 17.4% on the season to 26.9% over the last two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ketel Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 14% on the season to 40% in the last week.

,Ketel Marte has been unlucky this year, compiling a .328 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .363 — a .035 disparity.

,Ryan Waldschmidt’s BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Extreme groundball hitters like Ryan Waldschmidt tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Andre Pallante.

,Ryan Waldschmidt will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Tim Tawa will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Tim Tawa has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 6.5% seasonal rate to 18.8% over the past two weeks.

,In the past 14 days, Tim Tawa’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 95.7-mph in recent games.

,Max Kepler is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Max Kepler will have an edge today.

,Max Kepler has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP.

,Checking in at the 75th percentile, JJ Wetherholt has put up a .346 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,This season, Max Kepler has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.7 mph compared to last year’s 92.7 mph mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Jordan in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Blaze Jordan will have the handedness advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today.

,Blaze Jordan has been unlucky this year, notching a .256 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .047 gap.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nelson Velazquez in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,Nelson Velazquez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.

,Nelson Velazquez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s game.

,In terms of plate discipline, Ivan Herrera’s ability is quite strong, sporting a 1.44 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 89th percentile.

,In the last two weeks, Tim Tawa’s 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19%.

,Nolan Arenado will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Nolan Arenado has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 7.2% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the last 7 days.

,Nolan Arenado has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.7-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal EV of 88.8-mph.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Nolan Arenado’s 26.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.4%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Gabriel Moreno’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, increasing from 17.8% on the season to 25% in the last week.

,By putting up a .343 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Gabriel Moreno is ranked in the 79th percentile for hitting ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward,Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andre Pallante in today’s game.

,Eduardo Rodriguez’s 91.4-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 9th percentile among all SPs.

,Eduardo Rodriguez has been lucky this year, compiling a 2.29 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.75 — a 2.46 deviation.

,Eduardo Rodriguez has been one of the luckiest mound aces in the game on balls in play this year with a .244 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.

,Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded a 1.98 K/BB rate this year, grading out in the 16th percentile.

,St. Louis’s 93-mph exit velocity on flyballs makes them the #3 club in the game this year by this metric.

,Eduardo Rodriguez has averaged 94.2 adjusted pitches per outing this year, grading out in the 88th percentile.

,Eduardo Rodriguez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 6.24 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.57 — a 1.33 K/9 difference.

,Throwing 91.5 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Andre Pallante places him the 76th percentile.

,Ranking in the 96th percentile, Jordan Walker sports a .382 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

,Masyn Winn’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the Arizona Diamondbacks Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 24th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Masyn Winn is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Masyn Winn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense profiles as the 4th-best out of every team in action today.

,Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Andre Pallante,Today, Ketel Marte is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.1% rate (94th percentile).

,Over the last week, Ketel Marte’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.9% down to 0%.

,Ketel Marte’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 90.9-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 80.1-mph over the past 7 days.

,Sporting a .255 BABIP this year, Ketel Marte is positioned in the 13th percentile.

,Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jordan Walker in today’s matchup.

,Over the past 7 days, Jordan Walker’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.1% down to 0%.

,Jordan Walker has been lucky this year, putting up a .376 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .346 — a .030 deviation.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fermin in the 9th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,Jose Fermin is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

,Chase Field has the 4th-most fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally bad for dingers.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Fermin today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 12th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,The #2 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

,Geraldo Perdomo’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 86.9-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 83.9-mph in the past 7 days.

,Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 20.2% to 13.4%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 24th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,In the last 7 days, Geraldo Perdomo’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.4%.

,Batting from the same side that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Alec Burleson will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

,Alec Burleson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Corbin Carroll pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

,In the last 14 days, Corbin Carroll’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.1% down to 0%.

,Over the last 7 days, Corbin Carroll’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.3%.

,Ivan Herrera hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

,Ivan Herrera will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Ivan Herrera has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past two weeks.

,Ivan Herrera has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph dropping to 84.8-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Batting from the same side that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, JJ Wetherholt faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,JJ Wetherholt hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,JJ Wetherholt will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,JJ Wetherholt has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.4% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

,Hitting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Gabriel Moreno will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Gabriel Moreno has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

,Gabriel Moreno has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 7.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last 14 days.

,There has been a significant decline in Gabriel Moreno’s launch angle from last year’s 14.4° to 11.4° this year.

,Gabriel Moreno has been lucky this year, compiling a .363 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .331 — a .032 discrepancy.

,Ryan Waldschmidt is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Andre Pallante will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Waldschmidt today.

,Tim Tawa is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Andre Pallante will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tim Tawa in today’s game.

,Tim Tawa hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tim Tawa’s true offensive skill to be a .291, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .026 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .317 wOBA.

,In notching a .279 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Tim Tawa is ranked in the 13th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,This year, Max Kepler has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 29% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

,In today’s matchup, Max Kepler is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.9% rate (81st percentile).

,Max Kepler has put up a .293 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 24th percentile.

,Max Kepler has recorded a .232 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 2nd percentile.

,Blaze Jordan is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Blaze Jordan hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Blaze Jordan will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Ranking in the 13th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.6 ft/sec this year, Blaze Jordan is not very quick.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fermin in the 18th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Chase Field grades out as the #25 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Nelson Velazquez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Blaze Jordan ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

,Andre Pallante will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan Arenado in today’s game.

,Using Statcast data, Nolan Arenado grades out in the 3rd percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .258.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Andre Pallante’s overall pitching skill ranks in the 77th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the majors currently.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the worst venue in baseball for home runs.

,Andre Pallante turned in a great performance in his previous start and conceded 0 ER.

,Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Andre Pallante has relied on his secondary offerings 8% more often this season (50.8%) than he did last season (42.8%).

,Arizona’s 91-mph exit velocity on flyballs makes them the #28 club in the league this year by this metric.

,Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Eduardo Rodriguez will hold that advantage today.

,Eduardo Rodriguez turned in a great performance in his last game started and conceded 0 ER.

,Eduardo Rodriguez’s change-up utilization has increased by 6.6% from last year to this one (20.4% to 27%) .

,The #2 ballpark in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

,Eduardo Rodriguez has compiled a 7.9% Swinging Strike% this year, placing in the 7th percentile.

,Eduardo Rodriguez has compiled a 17.3% K% this year, placing in the 17th percentile.

,Placing in the 13th percentile, Andre Pallante recorded an 8.4% Swinging Strike percentage this year.

,When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Andre Pallante in the 16th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.

,Andre Pallante has notched a 17.8% Strikeout% this year, grading out in the 19th percentile.

,Jordan Walker’s launch angle in recent games (-0.5° in the past 7 days) is considerably worse than his 11.5° seasonal figure.

,Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 89.6-mph mark last year has fallen to 86.9-mph.

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