Cardinals @ D-Backs Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the St. Louis Cardinals Series Game 2 Game Today

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

,The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

,Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

,Based on Statcast data, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 92nd percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .367.

,Max Kepler is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best park in baseball for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters.

,Max Kepler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dustin May in today’s game… and even better, May has a large platoon split.

,Max Kepler is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage against Dustin May in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, May has a large platoon split.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Alec Burleson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

,Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today’s matchup.

,Alec Burleson has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.3-mph average to last season’s 92.6-mph figure.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Alec Burleson’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.3-mph over the course of the season to 100.2-mph in recent games.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Despite posting a .251 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has had some very poor luck given the .057 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .308.

,With a .348 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ivan Herrera finds himself in the 76th percentile.

,Jose Fermin’s launch angle of late (24.3° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 18.3° seasonal mark.

,With a .284 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jose Fermin has performed in the 92nd percentile.

,Jose Fermin has shown impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 75th percentile with a 1.99 K/BB rate.

,Chase Field projects as the #3 park in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Nathan Church will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jimmy Crooks in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Jimmy Crooks will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today’s game.

,Jimmy Crooks and his 17.1° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 83rd percentile, among the highest in the majors since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,Gabriel Moreno is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

,Gabriel Moreno will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

,Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt today.

,The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today.

,In the last two weeks, Nolan Arenado’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.5-mph over the course of the season to 90.7-mph of late.

,Nolan Arenado’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 38.1% to 43.3%.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Tim Tawa will hold that advantage today.

,As it relates to his batting average, Tim Tawa has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .197 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .221.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 16th-best batter in baseball.

,Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Ildemaro Vargas will hold that advantage today.

,JJ Wetherholt’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Geraldo Perdomo will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Dustin May) in today’s game.

,Geraldo Perdomo will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

,It may be wise to expect better numbers for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 6th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

,The #2 venue in the game for boosting BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

,Dustin May will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Dustin May allowed a whopping 6 earned runs in his last start.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Brandon Pfaadt will hold that advantage today.

,Brandon Pfaadt’s curveball percentage has jumped by 8% from last season to this one (9.9% to 17.9%) .

,When assessing his home run talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.

,Jordan Walker has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 14.6% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks.

,Jordan Walker has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last season’s 92.3-mph EV.

,Geraldo Perdomo has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 89.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 87-mph EV.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Over the last 7 days, JJ Wetherholt’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.4-mph over the course of the season to 97.1-mph of late.

,Corbin Carroll has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Sporting a .343 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Gabriel Moreno is ranked in the 79th percentile for offensive ability.

,When it comes to his home runs, Lars Nootbaar has been unlucky since the start of last season. His 12.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 23.6.

,Masyn Winn has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.1-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 87.7-mph figure.

,St. Louis Cardinals batters as a unit rank 4th- in Major League Baseball for power this year when assessing with their 93-mph exit velocity on flyballs.

,Over the past 14 days, Ketel Marte’s 25.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.7%.

Negatives with the Arizona Diamondbacks Series Game 2 Game Today

The league’s 10th-tallest average fence height can be found at Chase Field.

,The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

,Batting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Ivan Herrera encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,In today’s game, Ivan Herrera is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.9% rate (80th percentile).

,Ivan Herrera will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 9th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,33% of the time that Max Kepler has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

,In today’s matchup, Max Kepler is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.6% rate (79th percentile).

,Corbin Carroll pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.1% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

,Over the last 14 days, Corbin Carroll’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.5% down to 0%.

,Corbin Carroll’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 91.2-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 83.5-mph in the last 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-worst stadium in the majors for LHB home runs.

,In the league, Chase Field’s CF dimensions are the 3rd-deepest.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alec Burleson today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 21st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

,Chase Field ranks as the #25 ballpark in baseball for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fermin in the 9th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Jose Fermin is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Nathan Church is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Nathan Church has been pinch hit for 14% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

,Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nathan Church in today’s matchup.

,Jimmy Crooks is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Jimmy Crooks has been pulled from the game early 32% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

,Dustin May will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gabriel Moreno in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering May’s large platoon split.

,Gabriel Moreno has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

,Gabriel Moreno has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 7.4% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Lars Nootbaar will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Lars Nootbaar has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 9.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last 7 days.

,Ivan Herrera has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 6.1% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Nolan Arenado has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (51% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Tim Tawa ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Tim Tawa is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.

,Given Dustin May’s large platoon split, Tim Tawa will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.

,As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Ketel Marte will face a mismatch against Dustin May and his large platoon split today.

,Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Over the past week, Ketel Marte’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 92.2 mph to 87 mph.

,Ketel Marte’s launch angle this season (11.9°) is a significant dropoff from his 15.3° mark last year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 4th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Ildemaro Vargas is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

,As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Ildemaro Vargas will be at a big disadvantage against Dustin May and his large platoon split in today’s matchup.

,JJ Wetherholt hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

,JJ Wetherholt will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his home run talent, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,In today’s game, Geraldo Perdomo is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.7% rate (75th percentile).

,Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 20.2% to 13.9%.

,Dustin May has utilized his cutter 13.1% more often this year (22.3%) than he did last season (9.2%).

,Dustin May has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his ERA this year; his 4.55 figure is a good deal higher than his 3.29 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

,Tim Tawa hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Alec Burleson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.1%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 24th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Masyn Winn is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

,Brandon Pfaadt will have the handedness advantage over Masyn Winn in today’s matchup.

,Given Dustin May’s large platoon split, Nolan Arenado will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Pfaadt to throw 82 pitches in today’s game (11th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,Brandon Pfaadt allowed a whopping 5 earned runs in his last outing.

,Brandon Pfaadt’s 2462-rpm spin rate on his fastball this year is a substantial 106-rpm drop off from last year’s 2568-rpm rate.

,Brandon Pfaadt has notched a 2.1 K/BB rate this year, placing in the 25th percentile.

,When estimating his home run skill, Jose Fermin ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Jordan Walker will not have the upper hand today.

,In today’s game, Jordan Walker is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.9% rate (97th percentile).

,Dustin May will hold the platoon advantage against Lourdes Gurriel Jr. today… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering May’s large platoon split.

,This year, there has been a decline in Max Kepler’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.98 ft/sec last year to 25.78 ft/sec currently.

,Jordan Walker will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 7th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,In today’s matchup, Ildemaro Vargas is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.8% rate (90th percentile).

,Gabriel Moreno has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph dropping to 84-mph in the last 14 days.

,There has been a significant decline in Lars Nootbaar’s launch angle from last season’s 15.9° to 6.4° this year.

,In notching a .261 BABIP this year, Geraldo Perdomo grades out in the 18th percentile.

,Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Dustin May is projected to throw 83 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 13th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

,Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 5th-least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the St. Louis Cardinals with a 19.9% underlying K%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-worst venue in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

,Jordan Walker has been lucky this year, putting up a .379 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .346 — a .033 deviation.

,Masyn Winn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Masyn Winn in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jimmy Crooks in today’s game.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks (18.3 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone team of hitters on the slate today.

,Batting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Jose Fermin will be in a tough position today.

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