Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Milwaukee at Minnesota Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

William Contreras is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

Target Field profiles as the #5 stadium in the game for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense.

The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the league’s 17th-best home run batter.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his home runs, Byron Buxton has been unlucky this year. His 20.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been quite a bit lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 29.4.

Brice Turang is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Brice Turang will hold the platoon advantage against Pablo Lopez today.

Brice Turang has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.7-mph average to last year’s 85.5-mph figure.

Brice Turang has shown favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 78th percentile with a 1.94 K/BB rate.

Willi Castro is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage today.

Willi Castro has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 10.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit lower than his 18.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Willi Castro has put up a .348 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 88th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Carlos Santana will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Carlos Santana’s launch angle this year (15.9°) is significantly higher than his 12.5° figure last year.

Carlos Santana’s launch angle of late (20.6° over the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 15.9° seasonal angle.

When it comes to plate discipline, Carlos Santana’s ability is quite good, sporting a 1.72 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Willi Castro’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 41.9% to 48.2%.

Sal Frelick is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

Sal Frelick will have the handedness advantage over Pablo Lopez today.

When estimating his home run talent, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ryan Jeffers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Grading out in the 92nd percentile, Ryan Jeffers has put up a .350 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

As it relates to his home run ability, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the past 14 days, Rhys Hoskins’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.4-mph over the course of the season to 98.9-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Jackson Chourio has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph to 92.2-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Joey Ortiz’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Sporting a .348 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Joey Ortiz finds himself in the 88th percentile for hitting ability.

Joey Ortiz has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a core skill for batting average), ranking in the 77th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Carlos Correa ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Carlos Correa is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage today.

Using Statcast metrics, Carlos Correa ranks in the 94th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .372.

Carlos Correa’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to evaluate power) has been 113.9 mph this year, ranking in the 87th percentile.

Brooks Lee has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (73% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Brooks Lee will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Brooks Lee has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, lifting balls between 23° and 34° 32.1% of the time in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage over Freddy Peralta in today’s game.

Max Kepler will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Pablo Lopez projects as the 16th-best starter in the majors currently when it comes to his strikeout skill, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Pablo Lopez has averaged 91.8 adjusted pitches per start this year, checking in at the 75th percentile.

Pablo Lopez will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats in all categories.

Pablo Lopez has put up a 13.5% Swinging Strike% this year, ranking in the 90th percentile.

Placing in the 88th percentile, Pablo Lopez has recorded a 27.7% K% this year.

As it relates to his home run talent, Matt Wallner ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Wallner is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Matt Wallner will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Matt Wallner will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his home run talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Willy Adames is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Christian Yelich ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

Christian Yelich will hold the platoon advantage against Pablo Lopez in today’s matchup.

Christian Yelich has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 8.4% seasonal rate to 15.8% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

Trevor Larnach will hold the platoon advantage over Freddy Peralta today.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Christian Yelich is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Joey Ortiz has put up a .347 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 82nd percentile.

By putting up a 1.22 K/BB rate this year, Joey Ortiz has displayed strong plate discipline, ranking in the 98th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Garrett Mitchell will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pablo Lopez in today’s matchup.

Freddy Peralta projects as the 10th-best SP in the game currently when it comes to his strikeout talent, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Compared to the average starting pitcher, Freddy Peralta has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an extra 6.8 adjusted pitches each outing.

The Minnesota Twins have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Byron Buxton, Trevor Larnach, Matt Wallner).

Out of all starting pitchers, Freddy Peralta’s fastball spin rate of 2455 rpm ranks in the 87th percentile this year.

Freddy Peralta has posted a 13.7% Swinging Strike% this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile.

Garrett Mitchell is remarkably athletic, ranking in the 96th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.51 ft/sec this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Byron Buxton ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

This year, Byron Buxton’s 10.7% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 78th percentile among his peers.

Byron Buxton’s 91.6-mph average exit velocity is among the best in MLB this year: 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

In the past 14 days, Rhys Hoskins has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 32.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 21.6°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Matt Wallner has been hot lately, putting up a a 33.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) over the past 14 days.

With a .341 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ryan Jeffers finds himself in the 76th percentile.

Carlos Correa has compiled a .298 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 98th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #7 park in the league for boosting base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Milwaukee Brewers has been 118.1 mph this year, ranking them as the #4 offense in the game by this stat.

Minnesota’s 14.4° launch angle (a reliable metric to evaluate the ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the majors this year: #4 overall.

William Contreras has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9.1% seasonal rate to 20% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

William Contreras has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.7-mph average to last year’s 94.7-mph figure.

Sal Frelick’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (11° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is significantly higher than his 6.5° seasonal figure.

In terms of plate discipline, Sal Frelick’s talent is quite impressive, posting a 1.91 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 80th percentile.

Sal Frelick’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Max Kepler ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Over the last 14 days, Willy Adames has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 10.8% to 21.1%.

Rhys Hoskins has performed at a clip of 29.8 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 92nd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Willy Adames has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.7-mph mark.

Over the last two weeks, Trevor Larnach’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.5-mph over the course of the season to 95.9-mph recently.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Saturday player match stat slumps with Brewers vs Twins Matchup

In the league, the 5th-tallest fences are at Target Field.

Pablo Lopez will have the handedness advantage against William Contreras in today’s matchup.

William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

As it relates to his batting average, William Contreras has experienced some positive variance this year. His .286 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .266.

Byron Buxton is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Hitting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, Byron Buxton will be at a disadvantage today.

Byron Buxton pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.

The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the strongest among all the teams in action today.

When estimating his home run talent, Brice Turang ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brice Turang has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brice Turang today.

Brice Turang has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph dropping to 80.3-mph over the past 14 days.

The 10th-deepest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Target Field.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Freddy Peralta in today’s game.

Willi Castro’s launch angle this year (11.4°) is quite a bit worse than his 15° figure last season.

Over the past 14 days, Willi Castro’s 10.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Santana in the 1st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Carlos Santana will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Freddy Peralta in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 4th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

This year, Sal Frelick has been pinch hit for in 21% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Sal Frelick today.

Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Freddy Peralta will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Jeffers in today’s matchup.

Ryan Jeffers pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Rhys Hoskins is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

Pablo Lopez will hold the platoon advantage against Rhys Hoskins in today’s matchup.

Rhys Hoskins pulls many of his flyballs (37.5% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Rhys Hoskins in today’s game.

Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.

11% of the time that Jackson Chourio has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Hitting from the same side that Pablo Lopez throws from, Jackson Chourio will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Joey Ortiz is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Joey Ortiz has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 12% of the time.

Pablo Lopez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Ortiz in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Joey Ortiz today.

Batting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, Carlos Correa will not have the upper hand today.

Carlos Correa has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph dropping to 83.9-mph in the past 14 days.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.5°, Carlos Correa has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.3°) in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brooks Lee in the 24th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Compiling a lowly an 85.5-mph average exit velocity over the past two weeks, Brooks Lee has been in a slump of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Max Kepler has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (85% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.

Brice Turang’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (3.2°) is considerably worse than his 10.2° angle last year.

Despite posting a .322 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brice Turang has experienced some positive variance given the .031 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .291.

Pablo Lopez’s four-seam fastball usage has risen by 5.2% from last season to this one (34.5% to 39.7%) .

Given the 0.27 gap between Pablo Lopez’s 10.47 K/9 and his 10.20 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the league this year when it comes to strikeouts and should see negative regression in the future.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Matt Wallner has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 33% of the time.

Milwaukee’s #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Matt Wallner, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Pablo Lopez will hold the platoon advantage over Willy Adames in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Willy Adames is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.3% rate (83rd percentile).

Willy Adames will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Placing in the 16th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.86 ft/sec this year, Brooks Lee is remarkably slow.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jackson Chourio in today’s game.

Christian Yelich has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.

Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Despite posting a .399 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Christian Yelich has been very fortunate given the .049 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .350.

This year, Trevor Larnach has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 44% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 11.8°, Trevor Larnach has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6.8°) in the last two weeks.

Garrett Mitchell is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Garrett Mitchell has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 10% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Garrett Mitchell has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Garrett Mitchell will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

With 6 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Freddy Peralta will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Freddy Peralta today.

Freddy Peralta has gone to his curveball 7.9% less often this season (4.6%) than he did last year (12.5%).

Freddy Peralta has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, posting an 11.36 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.99 — a 0.37 K/9 deviation.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Garrett Mitchell has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .326 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .290.

Byron Buxton’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (16.6°) is considerably lower than his 21.4° figure last year.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 2nd percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .198.

Trevor Larnach’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 23% to 19.5%.

Willi Castro has been cold in recent games, notching a 85.8-mph average exit velocity in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 14th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Over the past two weeks, Ryan Jeffers’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.5% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Pablo Lopez in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall pitching abilities.

The Milwaukee Brewers have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in future games, Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.351) implies that Matt Wallner has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .373 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Freddy Peralta as the 12th-best starting pitcher in the league right now.

The Minnesota Twins have been the luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season, William Contreras has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .343 figure is inflated compared to his .327 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Sal Frelick’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 85-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 81.6-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

In the past 14 days, Sal Frelick has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

In the last 14 days, Max Kepler’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.7% down to 0%.

Max Kepler has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph dropping to 84.5-mph in the last 14 days.

Carlos Santana has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.3% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past two weeks.