
MIL @ PIT



Brewers @ Pirates Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series : Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Saturday, September 6th
Time : 06/09/25 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Milwaukee Brewers Game Today
Tallying 91.7 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Mitch Keller falls in the 77th percentile.
This contest is forecasted to have the 3rd-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Mitch Keller has relied on his slider 8.5% more often this season (33.6%) than he did last season (25.1%).
Considering the 0.69 gap between Mitch Keller’s 7.62 K/9 and his 8.30 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the majors this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to see positive regression the rest of the season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the worst field in MLB for home runs.
Among all major league stadiums, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.
In his previous outing, Mitch Keller was firing on all cylinders and gave up 1 ER.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Brandon Woodruff in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent level.
The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Brandon Woodruff in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.
In his previous game started, Brandon Woodruff was on point and posted 8 strikeouts.
Ranking in the 81st percentile, Brandon Woodruff posted a 12.1% Swinging Strike% this year.
Brandon Woodruff has posted a 29.2% strikeout rate this year, grading out in the 93rd percentile.
Negatives with the Pittsburgh Pirates Game Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in the league for strikeouts.
PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.
Mitch Keller’s fastball velocity has dropped 1.1 mph this year (93.4 mph) below where it was last year (94.5 mph).
The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams playing today.
Brandon Woodruff’s high usage rate of his fastball (63.8% this year) is likely dampening his results, considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Brandon Woodruff has posted a .261 BABIP this year, making him one of the luckiest mound aces in Major League Baseball on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.
Given the 1.94 disparity between Brandon Woodruff’s 11.07 K/9 and his 9.13 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year when it comes to strikeouts and should negatively regress in the future.
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